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Premier League

England · 2026-27

Standings · Regular season 7–8 matches per team · 75 played in total

The table from official results: points, matches, wins-draws-losses, goals. Teams level on points are ordered by the competition's official rules, written under the table.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Man City8701209+1121
2Arsenal8701135+821
3Brighton Hove7511235+1816
4Chelsea84131715+213
5Liverpool733198+112
6Aston Villa8323912-311
7Brentford7241138+510
8Leeds United724196+310
9Everton824289-110
10Ipswich Town83141216-410
11Hull City723287+19
12Tottenham8233810-29
13Fulham8224810-28
14Newcastle72231014-48
15Man United71421010+07
16Crystal Palace7214917-87
17Bournemouth7133913-46
18Nottingham8134610-46
19Coventry City8206615-96
20Sunderland7115614-84

Tie-break (official order): goal difference, goals scored, points in head-to-head matches, away goals in head-to-head matches, play-off. Source: Premier League Handbook, Rule C.17 (quoted by the Premier League, official article of 18 May 2026) (read on 2026-09-24). An = mark means the criteria that can be computed from results are exhausted (fair play, draw or play-off would decide) and the teams share the place.

Elo ratings n = 20

Elo rating: a number that goes up when a team gets more from its matches than expected and down when it gets less. Beating a strong opponent is worth more than beating a weak one; a new team enters at the league average.

Own rating (H = 50, K = 10): parameters calibrated walk-forward on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs baseline 0.1679) and used in every league. Rating changes only with results.

Latest results n = 10

The latest official results in the competition, newest first.

Upcoming fixtures n = 10

The next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. When the model has an estimate, the 1 / X / 2 percentages are the estimated chances of a home win, a draw and an away win; ❄ means the estimate was frozen before the match and no longer changes.

1X2
Man United–Bournemouth45%≈ 1 in 2.2026%≈ 1 in 3.8629%≈ 1 in 3.49
Hull City–Brentfordinsufficient data: a team has fewer than 8 matches
Crystal Palace–Newcastle34%≈ 1 in 2.9227%≈ 1 in 3.7639%≈ 1 in 2.56
Liverpool–Brighton Hove41%≈ 1 in 2.4225%≈ 1 in 3.9333%≈ 1 in 3.02
Sunderland–Leeds United31%≈ 1 in 3.2131%≈ 1 in 3.2238%≈ 1 in 2.64
Chelsea–Man United44%≈ 1 in 2.2925%≈ 1 in 3.9731%≈ 1 in 3.21
Man City–Brighton Hove54%≈ 1 in 1.8724%≈ 1 in 4.1622%≈ 1 in 4.45
Hull City–Ipswich Towninsufficient data: a team has fewer than 8 matches
Brentford–Nottingham47%≈ 1 in 2.1327%≈ 1 in 3.6426%≈ 1 in 3.89
Coventry City–Sunderland35%≈ 1 in 2.8932%≈ 1 in 3.1534%≈ 1 in 2.98

kick-off (UTC). 1 / X / 2 = the model's estimate (home win / draw / away win), refreshed hourly and frozen within the last hour before kick-off (❄). How good is the model?.

Explore Premier League

This league's analysis pages. Each card shows a real figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see where it comes from and what it does not say.

Expected points n = 20

Expected points: for every match played, the model (trained only on matches before that day, never on the result) gives the 1 / X / 2 chances; a team's expected points are 3 × its win chance + its draw chance, added up over matches. The difference = real points minus expected: plus = it took more than the chances suggested, minus = less. “†” = matches with a team that had no history in the model, taken at the league average (not the same as “(s)” in the simulator).

#Teammatchesptsexpecteddifference
1Man City82116.1+4.9
2Arsenal †82115.9+5.1
3Nottingham8611.6-5.6
4Liverpool71211.4+0.6
5Chelsea81311.0+2.0
6Man United †7710.7-3.7
7Fulham8810.7-2.7
8Everton81010.6-0.6
9Hull City †7910.4-1.4
10Brighton Hove71610.4+5.6
11Brentford71010.3-0.3
12Newcastle7810.2-2.2
13Aston Villa8119.6+1.4
14Bournemouth769.4-3.4
15Tottenham898.7+0.3
16Leeds United7108.7+1.3
17Crystal Palace778.1-1.1
18Coventry City †868.0-2.0
19Sunderland747.7-3.7
20Ipswich Town8105.2+4.8

Round summaries n = 8

One summary for every played round of the season: results, figures, table and Elo moves, streaks, what the model said.

Ongoing streaks near a record since 2023-24 · n = 5

Ongoing streaks close to a record: how many matches in a row the team has kept a streak (unbeaten, scoring, clean sheets…), against its own record and the competition record in our database, which starts with the 2023-24 season. Streaks of at least 3 matches within one match of a record are listed. A streak describes the past; the next match can end it at any time.

TeamStreakin a rowown recordleague recordnext match
Brighton Hoveclean sheets4 ties league record44@ Liverpool 25 Oct 2026
Brighton Hovewins in a row4 ties own record413@ Liverpool 25 Oct 2026
Sunderlandwinless5 ties own record515vs Leeds United 25 Oct 2026
Man Cityscoring24 ties own record2444vs Brighton Hove 31 Oct 2026
Brighton Hoveunbeaten5632@ Liverpool 25 Oct 2026

Draws n = 1215

How often matches in this league ended level: in the latest season and across all seasons in our database, then split by how far apart the two teams' Elo ratings were before kick-off (a small gap = an evenly matched game). Each rate comes with the number of matches and a 95 % interval.

28% 21/75 · 19%–39%season 2026-27
25% 300/1215 · 22%–27%all seasons in our database (since 2023-24)
Elo gap before kick-offmatchesdrawsdraw rate
0–5057915326% 153/579 · 23%–30%
50–1002987425% 74/298 · 20%–30%
100–1501764224% 42/176 · 18%–31%
150–2501312418% 24/131 · 13%–26%
250+14321% 3/14 · 8%–48%

17 matches without an Elo rating for both teams (a team's first match in our database) are left out of the split.

Most draws in 2026-27 (at least 5 matches)

Teams n = 20

All teams in the season shown on the page. Teams with at least 5 matches have their own page.

All matches this season n = 380

Every match of the current season, by matchday: played ones with the score, scheduled ones with the date. Tap a matchday to open it and a match to see its page.

Matchday 1 n = 10
Matchday 2 n = 10
Matchday 3 n = 10
Matchday 4 n = 10
Matchday 5 n = 10
Matchday 6 n = 10
Matchday 7 n = 10
Matchday 8 n = 10
Matchday 9 n = 10
Matchday 10 n = 10
Matchday 11 n = 10
Matchday 12 n = 10
Matchday 13 n = 10
Matchday 14 n = 10
Matchday 15 n = 10
Matchday 16 n = 10
Matchday 17 n = 10
Matchday 18 n = 10
Matchday 19 n = 10
Matchday 20 n = 10
Matchday 21 n = 10
Matchday 22 n = 10
Matchday 23 n = 10
Matchday 24 n = 10
Matchday 25 n = 10
Matchday 26 n = 10
Matchday 27 n = 10
Matchday 28 n = 10
Matchday 29 n = 10
Matchday 30 n = 10
Matchday 31 n = 10
Matchday 32 n = 10
Matchday 33 n = 10
Matchday 34 n = 10
Matchday 35 n = 10
Matchday 36 n = 10
Matchday 37 n = 10
Matchday 38 n = 10

Updated 25 Oct 2026