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Brentford FC

Premier League · season 2026-27 · 7 matches

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7League position7 of 20 in the regular season table (10 points, 7 played).
1533Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 9 of 20 in Premier League. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Brentford7th of 20Above average 2 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5DDWDLPoints rate · last 1040%league 45%Goal difference +2 in the last 10 · Elo +4.7 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Nothing above the league rate in the cautious reading.
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

Hull City AFC – Brentford FC

· Away

The model's estimate appears at most 14 days before kick-off.

Explore Brentford FC

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator40%chance of a top-6 finishWhere does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.51difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time63%won after leading at half-time (26 of 41)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model0upsets in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 0.8)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores1–2the team's most common score (14 of 121 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers3Kevin Schade, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1533Elo rating: #9 in Premier LeagueHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 121

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1533now
1538highest10 Oct 2026
1453lowest16 Mar 2024
+9last 10 matches
Brentford FCleague average (teams of the same season)
1440146014801500152015402023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
17 Oct 2026Liverpool (H)1–21533−51538
10 Oct 2026Aston Villa (A)2–21538+11538
18 Sep 2026Chelsea (H)3–01537+81538
12 Sep 2026Bournemouth (A)2–21529+11538
5 Sep 2026Sunderland (H)1–11528−11538
30 Aug 2026Leeds United (A)1–1152901538
22 Aug 2026Tottenham (H)3–01528+61538
24 May 2026Liverpool (A)1–11522+21528
17 May 2026Crystal Palace (H)2–21520−11528
9 May 2026Man City (A)0–31521−41528
2 May 2026West Ham (H)3–01525+61528
27 Apr 2026Man United (A)1–21519−41528
18 Apr 2026Fulham (H)0–01523−11528
11 Apr 2026Everton (H)2–21524−11528
21 Mar 2026Leeds United (A)0–0152501528
16 Mar 2026Wolverhampton (H)2–21524−21528
3 Mar 2026Bournemouth (A)0–01526+11528
28 Feb 2026Burnley (A)4–31526+41528
21 Feb 2026Brighton Hove (H)0–21522−91528
12 Feb 2026Arsenal (H)1–11531+21528
7 Feb 2026Newcastle (A)3–21529+61528
1 Feb 2026Aston Villa (A)1–01523+71528
25 Jan 2026Nottingham (H)0–21516−91528
17 Jan 2026Chelsea (A)0–21526−51528
7 Jan 2026Sunderland (H)3–01531+71528
4 Jan 2026Everton (A)4–21524+91528
1 Jan 2026Tottenham (H)0–01515−11528
27 Dec 2025Bournemouth (H)4–11516+81528
20 Dec 2025Wolverhampton (A)2–01508+61528
14 Dec 2025Leeds United (H)1–11502−11528
6 Dec 2025Tottenham (A)0–21503−71528
3 Dec 2025Arsenal (A)0–21510−31528
29 Nov 2025Burnley (H)3–11513+41528
22 Nov 2025Brighton Hove (A)1–21509−41528
9 Nov 2025Newcastle (H)3–11513+81528
1 Nov 2025Crystal Palace (A)0–21505−61528
25 Oct 2025Liverpool (H)3–21511+61528
20 Oct 2025West Ham (A)2–01505+81528
5 Oct 2025Man City (H)0–11497−41528
27 Sep 2025Man United (H)3–11501+61528
20 Sep 2025Fulham (A)1–31494−71528
13 Sep 2025Chelsea (H)2–21501+11528
30 Aug 2025Sunderland (A)1–21500−41528
23 Aug 2025Aston Villa (H)1–01505+51528
17 Aug 2025Nottingham (A)1–31500−61528
25 May 2025Wolverhampton (A)1–1150601516
18 May 2025Fulham (H)2–31506−61516
10 May 2025Ipswich Town (A)1–01512+41516
4 May 2025Man United (H)4–31507+41516
1 May 2025Nottingham (A)2–01503+91516
19 Apr 2025Brighton Hove (H)4–21494+71516
12 Apr 2025Arsenal (A)1–11487+31516
6 Apr 2025Chelsea (H)0–0148401516
2 Apr 2025Newcastle (A)1–21484−31516
15 Mar 2025Bournemouth (A)2–11487+61516
8 Mar 2025Aston Villa (H)0–11481−51516
26 Feb 2025Everton (H)1–11486−11516
21 Feb 2025Leicester City (A)4–01487+91516
15 Feb 2025West Ham (A)1–01478+61516
2 Feb 2025Tottenham (H)0–21472−81516
26 Jan 2025Crystal Palace (A)2–11480+61516
18 Jan 2025Liverpool (H)0–21474−51516
14 Jan 2025Man City (H)2–21478+11516
4 Jan 2025Southampton (A)5–01477+101516
1 Jan 2025Arsenal (H)1–31467−51516
27 Dec 2024Brighton Hove (A)0–01472+11516
21 Dec 2024Nottingham (H)0–21471−81516
15 Dec 2024Chelsea (A)1–21479−31516
7 Dec 2024Newcastle (H)4–21482+81516
4 Dec 2024Aston Villa (A)1–31474−51516
30 Nov 2024Leicester City (H)4–11480+81516
23 Nov 2024Everton (A)0–01472+11516
9 Nov 2024Bournemouth (H)3–21472+51516
4 Nov 2024Fulham (A)1–21467−41516
26 Oct 2024Ipswich Town (H)4–31471+41516
19 Oct 2024Man United (A)1–21466−41516
5 Oct 2024Wolverhampton (H)5–31470+61516
28 Sep 2024West Ham (H)1–11464−11516
21 Sep 2024Tottenham (A)1–31465−51516
14 Sep 2024Man City (A)1–21470−21516
31 Aug 2024Southampton (H)3–11472+71516
25 Aug 2024Liverpool (A)0–21465−41516
18 Aug 2024Crystal Palace (H)2–11469+51516
19 May 2024Newcastle (H)2–41464−71500
11 May 2024Bournemouth (A)2–11472+61500
4 May 2024Fulham (H)0–0146601500
27 Apr 2024Everton (A)0–11466−41500
20 Apr 2024Luton Town (A)5–11470+101500
13 Apr 2024Sheffield Utd (H)2–01460+51500
6 Apr 2024Aston Villa (A)3–31455+21500
3 Apr 2024Brighton Hove (H)0–0145301500
30 Mar 2024Man United (H)1–1145301500
16 Mar 2024Burnley (A)1–21453−51500
9 Mar 2024Arsenal (A)1–21458−31500
2 Mar 2024Chelsea (H)2–2146001500
26 Feb 2024West Ham (A)2–41460−61500
20 Feb 2024Man City (A)0–11466−31500
17 Feb 2024Liverpool (H)1–41469−71500
10 Feb 2024Wolverhampton (A)2–01476+91500
5 Feb 2024Man City (H)1–31467−71500
31 Jan 2024Tottenham (A)2–31474−31500
20 Jan 2024Nottingham (H)3–21477+41500
30 Dec 2023Crystal Palace (A)1–31473−71500
27 Dec 2023Wolverhampton (H)1–41479−101500
17 Dec 2023Aston Villa (H)1–21489−51500
9 Dec 2023Sheffield Utd (A)0–11494−51500
6 Dec 2023Brighton Hove (A)1–21500−41500
2 Dec 2023Luton Town (H)3–11504+61500
25 Nov 2023Arsenal (H)0–11498−51500
12 Nov 2023Liverpool (A)0–31503−71500
4 Nov 2023West Ham (H)3–21510+41500
28 Oct 2023Chelsea (A)2–01506+91500
21 Oct 2023Burnley (H)3–01497+71500
7 Oct 2023Man United (A)1–21490−41500
1 Oct 2023Nottingham (A)1–11495+11500
23 Sep 2023Everton (H)1–31494−91500
16 Sep 2023Newcastle (A)0–11503−51500
2 Sep 2023Bournemouth (H)2–21508−11500
26 Aug 2023Crystal Palace (H)1–11509−11500
19 Aug 2023Fulham (A)3–01509+101500
13 Aug 2023Tottenham (H)2–21499—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

Brentford FCleague, last 12 months · n = 374

league · Wins: 268 of 748 (36%)league · Scores: 558 of 748 (75%)league · 3+ goals: 205 of 374 (55%)league · Both teams score: 210 of 374 (56%)league · Concedes: 558 of 748 (75%)league · Leads at half-time: 225 of 748 (30%)team · Wins: 4 of 20 (20%)team · Scores: 15 of 20 (75%)team · 3+ goals: 12 of 20 (60%)team · Both teams score: 12 of 20 (60%)team · Concedes: 14 of 20 (70%)team · Leads at half-time: 6 of 20 (30%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
Brentford FCleague
Winswon the match20%4 of 208–42%36%268 of 74832–39%
Scoresscored at least once75%15 of 2053–89%75%558 of 74871–78%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)60%12 of 2039–78%55%205 of 37450–60%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)60%12 of 2039–78%56%210 of 37451–61%
Concedesconceded at least once70%14 of 2048–85%75%558 of 74871–78%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)30%6 of 2015–52%30%225 of 74827–33%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

DDWDL
6points
1.20per match
1-3-1W-D-L
9scored
7conceded

Last 7 matches n = 7

WDDDWDL
10points
1.43per match
2-4-1W-D-L
13scored
8conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 7

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

0unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 6
7scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 7
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 1
2both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 3

Goals: home and away n = 7

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches71.86league 1.421.14league 1.4271%5 of 7 · league 52%71%5 of 7 · league 52%29%2 of 7 · league 27%0%0 of 7 · league 27%
Home42.00league 1.570.75league 1.2750%2 of 4 · league 52%75%3 of 4 · league 52%50%2 of 4 · league 25%0%0 of 4 · league 29%
Away31.67league 1.271.67league 1.57100%3 of 3 · league 52%67%2 of 3 · league 52%0%0 of 3 · league 29%0%0 of 3 · league 25%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

Not enough data yet (7 of 8 matches needed).

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 2

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Keith Andrews27 Jun 2025now451.40
Thomas Frank16 Oct 201812 Jun 2025761.25
Whole period in our database13 Aug 202317 Oct 20261211.31

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 7

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

17 Oct 2026HomeHLiverpool FC1–2
10 Oct 2026AwayAAston Villa FC2–2
18 Sep 2026HomeHChelsea FC3–0
12 Sep 2026AwayAAFC Bournemouth2–2
5 Sep 2026HomeHSunderland AFC1–1
30 Aug 2026AwayALeeds United FC1–1
22 Aug 2026HomeHTottenham Hotspur FC3–0

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

AwayAHull City AFC
HomeHNottingham Forest FC
AwayABrighton & Hove Albion FC
HomeHEverton FC
AwayAManchester United FC

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 9

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Kevin Schade37——
Keane Lewis-Potter27—1
Vitaly Janelt27——
Fabio Carvalho16——
Jaidon Anthony17—1
Kristoffer Ajer17——
Michael Kayode17——
Thiago17—1
Yegor Yarmolyuk17—1

The players in the list have 13 goals between them; the team has scored 13 in the league. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 19

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026