Premier League · Matchday 5
2026-27 · 18 Sep 2026 – 20 Sep 2026 ← matchday 4 matchday 6 →
Round on radar: all leagues, before and after
Results 10 played
Every match of the round with the final score. Matches not yet played are shown as postponed.
kick-off (UTC).
The round in numbers
The round's figures against the season average before it: goals per match, how often both teams scored, how often there were at least 3 goals, and how results split between home wins, draws and away wins.
Table moves
How the table changed: each team's position before and after the round. At the top, the biggest climbs and drops.
| Team | before → after | pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford FC | 7 → 4 | +3 | 9 |
| Newcastle United FC | 12 → 9 | +3 | 8 |
| Aston Villa FC | 19 → 16 | +3 | 4 |
| Hull City AFC | 4 → 8 | -4 | 8 |
| Chelsea FC | 6 → 10 | -4 | 7 |
| Tottenham Hotspur FC | 17 → 20 | -3 | 2 |
Elo moves
The Elo rating before and after the round. It rises when a team gets more from a match than expected and falls when it gets less; beating a strong opponent moves it more than beating a weak one.
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 1550 → 1561 | +11.6 |
| Brentford FC | 1529 → 1537 | +8.2 |
| Coventry City FC | 1479 → 1485 | +6.2 |
| Arsenal FC | 1716 → 1705 | -11.6 |
| Chelsea FC | 1558 → 1550 | -8.2 |
| Nottingham Forest FC | 1514 → 1508 | -6.2 |
Streaks ended and new records
Streaks of at least 5 matches that ended in this round, and streaks that became a new own record (the longest in our database for that team).
| Team | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal FC | scoring | 20 | ended |
| AFC Bournemouth | scoring | 12 | ended |
| Crystal Palace FC | conceding | 10 | ended |
| Arsenal FC | unbeaten | 9 | ended |
| Arsenal FC | wins in a row | 9 | ended |
| Chelsea FC | scoring | 8 | ended |
| Chelsea FC | both teams score | 8 | ended |
| AFC Bournemouth | both teams score | 6 | ended |
| Manchester City FC | scoring | 21 | new own record old record: 20 |
| Chelsea FC | conceding | 21 | new own record old record: 20 |
| Brentford FC | unbeaten | 7 | new own record old record: 6 |
| Fulham FC | winless | 5 | new own record old record: 4 |
What the model said
Only estimates frozen within the last hour before each match; nothing recomputed afterwards. “Hit” = the most probable result was the real one. The round's Brier score: 0 = perfect, 0.6667 = random guessing. “Surprise” = how unlikely the real result was for the model (higher = more surprising).
No estimate was frozen before the matches of this round. The model was published on 24 Sep 2026; estimates are frozen within the last hour before each match, starting with the first round after publication.
How the chances moved
The difference between the simulator's chances before the round and after it: who gained and who lost the most for 1st place, the top 4 and the bottom 3.
No simulator run before this round; the comparison appears from the first round with a run before and one after.
Updated 25 Oct 2026 06:37