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Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Premier League · season 2026-27 · 7 matches

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3League position3 of 20 in the regular season table (16 points, 7 played).
1575Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 4 of 20 in Premier League. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Brighton Hove3rd of 20Good form 3 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5DWWWWPoints rate · last 1063%league 45%Goal difference +17 in the last 10 · Elo +34.3 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Clean sheet10 of 20league 25%Not both teams score14 of 20league 44%Wins12 of 20league 36%
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

Liverpool FC – Brighton & Hove Albion FC

· Away

41%1≈ 1 in 2.42
25%X≈ 1 in 3.93
33%2≈ 1 in 3.02

Explore Brighton & Hove Albion FC

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator78%chance of a top-4 finishWhere does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.52difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time74%won after leading at half-time (31 of 42)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model1upset in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 1.0)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores1–1the team's most common score (20 of 121 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers3Jack Hinshelwood, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1575Elo rating: #4 in Premier LeagueHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 121

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1575now
1575highest18 Oct 2026
1479lowest19 May 2024
+29last 10 matches
Brighton & Hove Albion FCleague average (teams of the same season)
14601480150015201540156015802023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
18 Oct 2026Crystal Palace (H)5–01575+71538
10 Oct 2026Sunderland (A)2–01569+71538
19 Sep 2026Arsenal (H)3–01561+121538
13 Sep 2026Coventry City (A)5–01550+101538
5 Sep 2026Leeds United (H)1–11540−11538
30 Aug 2026Chelsea (A)3–41541−41538
23 Aug 2026Aston Villa (H)4–01545+91538
24 May 2026Man United (H)0–31536−101528
17 May 2026Leeds United (A)0–11546−51528
9 May 2026Wolverhampton (H)3–01551+41528
2 May 2026Newcastle (A)1–31546−71528
21 Apr 2026Chelsea (H)3–01553+81528
18 Apr 2026Tottenham (A)2–21545−11528
11 Apr 2026Burnley (A)2–01546+51528
21 Mar 2026Liverpool (H)2–11541+61528
14 Mar 2026Sunderland (A)1–01535+51528
4 Mar 2026Arsenal (H)0–11530−31528
1 Mar 2026Nottingham (H)2–11533+41528
21 Feb 2026Brentford (A)2–01529+91528
11 Feb 2026Aston Villa (A)0–11521−31528
8 Feb 2026Crystal Palace (H)0–11524−61528
31 Jan 2026Everton (H)1–11530−11528
24 Jan 2026Fulham (A)1–21531−51528
19 Jan 2026Bournemouth (H)1–11536−11528
7 Jan 2026Man City (A)1–11537+21528
3 Jan 2026Burnley (H)2–01534+41528
30 Dec 2025West Ham (A)2–21531−11528
27 Dec 2025Arsenal (A)1–21531−21528
20 Dec 2025Sunderland (H)0–01534−11528
13 Dec 2025Liverpool (A)0–21535−41528
7 Dec 2025West Ham (H)1–11539−21528
3 Dec 2025Aston Villa (H)3–41541−51528
30 Nov 2025Nottingham (A)2–01546+81528
22 Nov 2025Brentford (H)2–11538+41528
9 Nov 2025Crystal Palace (A)0–01534+11528
1 Nov 2025Leeds United (H)3–01534+71528
25 Oct 2025Man United (A)2–41527−71528
18 Oct 2025Newcastle (H)2–11534+51528
5 Oct 2025Wolverhampton (A)1–11529−11528
27 Sep 2025Chelsea (A)3–11530+101528
20 Sep 2025Tottenham (H)2–21520−11528
13 Sep 2025Bournemouth (A)1–21521−41528
31 Aug 2025Man City (H)2–11525+61528
24 Aug 2025Everton (A)0–21519−71528
16 Aug 2025Fulham (H)1–11526−11528
25 May 2025Tottenham (A)4–11528+91516
19 May 2025Liverpool (H)3–21518+71516
10 May 2025Wolverhampton (A)2–01512+81516
4 May 2025Newcastle (H)1–1150401516
26 Apr 2025West Ham (H)3–21504+41516
19 Apr 2025Brentford (A)2–41500−71516
12 Apr 2025Leicester City (H)2–21507−21516
5 Apr 2025Crystal Palace (A)1–21509−41516
2 Apr 2025Aston Villa (H)0–31513−101516
15 Mar 2025Man City (A)2–21523+21516
8 Mar 2025Fulham (H)2–11521+41516
25 Feb 2025Bournemouth (H)2–11517+51516
22 Feb 2025Southampton (A)4–01512+81516
14 Feb 2025Chelsea (H)3–01504+91516
1 Feb 2025Nottingham (A)0–71495−91516
25 Jan 2025Everton (H)0–11504−61516
19 Jan 2025Man United (A)3–11510+81516
16 Jan 2025Ipswich Town (A)2–01502+81516
4 Jan 2025Arsenal (H)1–11494+21516
30 Dec 2024Aston Villa (A)2–21492+11516
27 Dec 2024Brentford (H)0–01491−11516
21 Dec 2024West Ham (A)1–1149201516
15 Dec 2024Crystal Palace (H)1–31492−91516
8 Dec 2024Leicester City (A)2–2150101516
5 Dec 2024Fulham (A)1–31500−71516
29 Nov 2024Southampton (H)1–11507−21516
23 Nov 2024Bournemouth (A)2–11508+61516
9 Nov 2024Man City (H)2–11503+71516
2 Nov 2024Liverpool (A)1–21496−31516
26 Oct 2024Wolverhampton (H)2–21499−21516
19 Oct 2024Newcastle (A)1–01501+61516
6 Oct 2024Tottenham (H)3–21494+51516
28 Sep 2024Chelsea (A)2–41489−51516
22 Sep 2024Nottingham (H)2–21494−11516
14 Sep 2024Ipswich Town (H)0–01496−11516
31 Aug 2024Arsenal (A)1–11496+21516
24 Aug 2024Man United (H)2–11494+51516
17 Aug 2024Everton (A)3–01489+101516
19 May 2024Man United (H)0–21479−81500
15 May 2024Chelsea (H)1–21487−51500
11 May 2024Newcastle (A)1–11492+11500
5 May 2024Aston Villa (H)1–01491+51500
28 Apr 2024Bournemouth (A)0–31486−81500
25 Apr 2024Man City (H)0–41494−81500
13 Apr 2024Burnley (A)1–11501−11500
6 Apr 2024Arsenal (H)0–31502−81500
3 Apr 2024Brentford (A)0–0151001500
31 Mar 2024Liverpool (A)1–21510−31500
10 Mar 2024Nottingham (H)1–01513+41500
2 Mar 2024Fulham (A)0–31509−81500
24 Feb 2024Everton (H)1–11518−11500
18 Feb 2024Sheffield Utd (A)5–01519+91500
10 Feb 2024Tottenham (A)1–21510−41500
3 Feb 2024Crystal Palace (H)4–11514+71500
30 Jan 2024Luton Town (A)0–41507−101500
22 Jan 2024Wolverhampton (H)0–01517−11500
2 Jan 2024West Ham (A)0–01518+11500
28 Dec 2023Tottenham (H)4–21517+71500
21 Dec 2023Crystal Palace (A)1–1151001500
17 Dec 2023Arsenal (A)0–21510−61500
9 Dec 2023Burnley (H)1–11516−21500
6 Dec 2023Brentford (H)2–11517+41500
3 Dec 2023Chelsea (A)2–31513−41500
25 Nov 2023Nottingham (A)3–21518+51500
12 Nov 2023Sheffield Utd (H)1–11512−21500
4 Nov 2023Everton (A)1–1151401500
29 Oct 2023Fulham (H)1–11514−11500
21 Oct 2023Man City (A)1–21515−41500
8 Oct 2023Liverpool (H)2–21519−11500
30 Sep 2023Aston Villa (A)1–61519−91500
24 Sep 2023Bournemouth (H)3–11528+61500
16 Sep 2023Man United (A)3–11523+81500
2 Sep 2023Newcastle (H)3–11515+61500
26 Aug 2023West Ham (H)1–31508−91500
19 Aug 2023Wolverhampton (A)4–11517+101500
12 Aug 2023Luton Town (H)4–11508—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

Brighton & Hove Albion FCleague, last 12 months · n = 374

league · Wins: 268 of 748 (36%)league · Scores: 558 of 748 (75%)league · 3+ goals: 205 of 374 (55%)league · Both teams score: 210 of 374 (56%)league · Concedes: 558 of 748 (75%)league · Leads at half-time: 225 of 748 (30%)team · Wins: 12 of 20 (60%)team · Scores: 16 of 20 (80%)team · 3+ goals: 12 of 20 (60%)team · Both teams score: 6 of 20 (30%)team · Concedes: 10 of 20 (50%)team · Leads at half-time: 9 of 20 (45%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
Brighton & Hove Albion FCleague
Winswon the match60%12 of 2039–78%36%268 of 74832–39%
Scoresscored at least once80%16 of 2058–92%75%558 of 74871–78%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)60%12 of 2039–78%55%205 of 37450–60%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)30%6 of 2015–52%56%210 of 37451–61%
Concedesconceded at least once50%10 of 2030–70%75%558 of 74871–78%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)45%9 of 2026–66%30%225 of 74827–33%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

DWWWW
13points
2.60per match
4-1-0W-D-L
16scored
1conceded

Last 7 matches n = 7

WLDWWWW
16points
2.29per match
5-1-1W-D-L
23scored
5conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 7

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

5unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 5
7scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 7
4clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 4
0both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 2

Goals: home and away n = 7

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches73.29league 1.420.71league 1.4229%2 of 7 · league 52%71%5 of 7 · league 52%71%5 of 7 · league 27%0%0 of 7 · league 27%
Home43.25league 1.570.25league 1.2725%1 of 4 · league 52%75%3 of 4 · league 52%75%3 of 4 · league 25%0%0 of 4 · league 29%
Away33.33league 1.271.33league 1.5733%1 of 3 · league 52%67%2 of 3 · league 52%67%2 of 3 · league 29%0%0 of 3 · league 25%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

Not enough data yet (7 of 8 matches needed).

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 2

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Fabian Hürzeler1 Jul 2024now831.57
Roberto De Zerbi18 Sep 202220 May 2024381.26
Whole period in our database12 Aug 202318 Oct 20261211.47

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 7

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

18 Oct 2026HomeHCrystal Palace FC5–0
10 Oct 2026AwayASunderland AFC2–0
19 Sep 2026HomeHArsenal FC3–0
13 Sep 2026AwayACoventry City FC5–0
5 Sep 2026HomeHLeeds United FC1–1
30 Aug 2026AwayAChelsea FC3–4
23 Aug 2026HomeHAston Villa FC4–0

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

AwayALiverpool FC
AwayAManchester City FC
HomeHBrentford FC
AwayAHull City AFC
HomeHNewcastle United FC

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 11

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Jack Hinshelwood32——
Charalampos Kostoulas37—2
Pascal Groß3714
Yasin Ayari26—1
Malick Yalcouyé27——
Maxim De Cuyper27—2
Chema Andrés15—1
Jaouen Hadjam16——
Lewis Dunk16——
Diego Gómez17—2
Luka Vušković17——

The players in the list have 20 goals between them; the team has scored 23 in the league. A 3-goal difference between the source's scorer list and the results; the source does not say who scored the rest. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 19

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026