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Chelsea FC

Premier League · season 2026-27 · 8 matches

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4League position4 of 20 in the regular season table (13 points, 8 played).
1554Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 7 of 20 in Premier League. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Chelsea4th of 20Above average 2 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5DLWWLPoints rate · last 1053%league 45%Goal difference +2 in the last 10 · Elo −4.7 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Concedes19 of 20league 75%
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

Chelsea FC – Manchester United FC

· Home

44%1≈ 1 in 2.29
25%X≈ 1 in 3.97
31%2≈ 1 in 3.21

Explore Chelsea FC

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator52%chance of a top-6 finishWhere does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.42difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time72%won after leading at half-time (33 of 46)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model1upset in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 0.9)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores1–2the team's most common score (12 of 122 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers5João Pedro, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1554Elo rating: #7 in Premier LeagueHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 122

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1554now
1600highest4 Mar 2026
1490lowest24 Sep 2023
0last 10 matches
Chelsea FCleague average (teams of the same season)
148015001520154015601580160016202023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
24 Oct 2026Tottenham (H)0–21554−111538
17 Oct 2026Everton (A)2–01565+81538
10 Oct 2026Bournemouth (H)5–11557+81538
18 Sep 2026Brentford (A)0–31549−81538
12 Sep 2026Hull City (H)2–21558−11538
6 Sep 2026Arsenal (A)1–21559−21538
30 Aug 2026Brighton Hove (H)4–31561+41538
24 Aug 2026Fulham (A)3–21557+51538
24 May 2026Sunderland (A)1–21552−51528
19 May 2026Tottenham (H)2–11557+31528
9 May 2026Liverpool (A)1–11554+21528
4 May 2026Nottingham (H)1–31552−101528
21 Apr 2026Brighton Hove (A)0–31562−81528
18 Apr 2026Man United (H)0–11570−61528
12 Apr 2026Man City (H)0–31576−81528
21 Mar 2026Everton (A)0–31584−101528
14 Mar 2026Newcastle (H)0–11594−61528
4 Mar 2026Aston Villa (A)4–11600+101528
1 Mar 2026Arsenal (A)1–21590−31528
21 Feb 2026Burnley (H)1–11593−31528
10 Feb 2026Leeds United (H)2–21597−21528
7 Feb 2026Wolverhampton (A)3–11599+41528
31 Jan 2026West Ham (H)3–21594+21528
25 Jan 2026Crystal Palace (A)3–11592+71528
17 Jan 2026Brentford (H)2–01585+51528
7 Jan 2026Fulham (A)1–21579−51528
4 Jan 2026Man City (A)1–11585+21528
30 Dec 2025Bournemouth (H)2–21583−21528
27 Dec 2025Aston Villa (H)1–21584−61528
20 Dec 2025Newcastle (A)2–2159001528
13 Dec 2025Everton (H)2–01590+51528
6 Dec 2025Bournemouth (A)0–0158501528
3 Dec 2025Leeds United (A)1–31585−91528
30 Nov 2025Arsenal (H)1–11594+11528
22 Nov 2025Burnley (A)2–01594+51528
8 Nov 2025Wolverhampton (H)3–01589+41528
1 Nov 2025Tottenham (A)1–01585+51528
25 Oct 2025Sunderland (H)1–21580−71528
18 Oct 2025Nottingham (A)3–01587+81528
4 Oct 2025Liverpool (H)2–11579+61528
27 Sep 2025Brighton Hove (H)1–31573−101528
20 Sep 2025Man United (A)1–21583−61528
13 Sep 2025Brentford (A)2–21589−11528
30 Aug 2025Fulham (H)2–01590+51528
22 Aug 2025West Ham (A)5–11585+81528
17 Aug 2025Crystal Palace (H)0–01577−11528
25 May 2025Nottingham (A)1–01579+51516
16 May 2025Man United (H)1–01574+31516
11 May 2025Newcastle (A)0–21571−71516
4 May 2025Liverpool (H)3–11577+91516
26 Apr 2025Everton (H)1–01569+31516
20 Apr 2025Fulham (A)2–11565+51516
13 Apr 2025Ipswich Town (H)2–21560−21516
6 Apr 2025Brentford (A)0–0156301516
3 Apr 2025Tottenham (H)1–01563+41516
16 Mar 2025Arsenal (A)0–11559−31516
9 Mar 2025Leicester City (H)1–01563+21516
25 Feb 2025Southampton (H)4–01560+41516
22 Feb 2025Aston Villa (A)1–21556−51516
14 Feb 2025Brighton Hove (A)0–31561−91516
3 Feb 2025West Ham (H)2–11570+31516
25 Jan 2025Man City (A)1–31567−51516
20 Jan 2025Wolverhampton (H)3–11572+41516
14 Jan 2025Bournemouth (H)2–21568−11516
4 Jan 2025Crystal Palace (A)1–1157001516
30 Dec 2024Ipswich Town (A)0–21570−91516
26 Dec 2024Fulham (H)1–21579−71516
22 Dec 2024Everton (A)0–01586−11516
15 Dec 2024Brentford (H)2–11587+31516
8 Dec 2024Tottenham (A)4–31584+51516
4 Dec 2024Southampton (A)5–11579+81516
1 Dec 2024Aston Villa (H)3–01571+71516
23 Nov 2024Leicester City (A)2–11564+51516
10 Nov 2024Arsenal (H)1–1156001516
3 Nov 2024Man United (A)1–1155901516
27 Oct 2024Newcastle (H)2–11560+41516
20 Oct 2024Liverpool (A)1–21556−31516
6 Oct 2024Nottingham (H)1–11559−21516
28 Sep 2024Brighton Hove (H)4–21561+51516
21 Sep 2024West Ham (A)3–01556+81516
14 Sep 2024Bournemouth (A)1–01547+51516
1 Sep 2024Crystal Palace (H)1–11543−11516
25 Aug 2024Wolverhampton (A)6–21544+91516
18 Aug 2024Man City (H)0–21535−61516
19 May 2024Bournemouth (H)2–11542+41500
15 May 2024Brighton Hove (A)2–11538+51500
11 May 2024Nottingham (A)3–21533+51500
5 May 2024West Ham (H)5–01528+81500
2 May 2024Tottenham (H)2–01521+71500
27 Apr 2024Aston Villa (A)2–21514+11500
23 Apr 2024Arsenal (A)0–51512−61500
15 Apr 2024Everton (H)6–01519+81500
7 Apr 2024Sheffield Utd (A)2–21511−11500
4 Apr 2024Man United (H)4–31512+41500
30 Mar 2024Burnley (H)2–21507−21500
11 Mar 2024Newcastle (H)3–21509+41500
2 Mar 2024Brentford (A)2–2150501500
17 Feb 2024Man City (A)1–11505+21500
12 Feb 2024Crystal Palace (A)3–11503+81500
4 Feb 2024Wolverhampton (H)2–41495−91500
31 Jan 2024Liverpool (A)1–41504−61500
13 Jan 2024Fulham (H)1–01510+41500
30 Dec 2023Luton Town (A)3–21506+51500
27 Dec 2023Crystal Palace (H)2–11500+41500
24 Dec 2023Wolverhampton (A)1–21496−51500
16 Dec 2023Sheffield Utd (H)2–01501+51500
10 Dec 2023Everton (A)0–21496−71500
6 Dec 2023Man United (A)1–21502−41500
3 Dec 2023Brighton Hove (H)3–21507+41500
25 Nov 2023Newcastle (A)1–41502−71500
12 Nov 2023Man City (H)4–4151001500
6 Nov 2023Tottenham (A)4–11510+111500
28 Oct 2023Brentford (H)0–21498−91500
21 Oct 2023Arsenal (H)2–2150701500
7 Oct 2023Burnley (A)4–11508+91500
2 Oct 2023Fulham (A)2–01498+91500
24 Sep 2023Aston Villa (H)0–11490−61500
17 Sep 2023Bournemouth (A)0–01495+11500
2 Sep 2023Nottingham (H)0–11495−61500
25 Aug 2023Luton Town (H)3–01500+71500
20 Aug 2023West Ham (A)1–31493−61500
13 Aug 2023Liverpool (H)1–11499—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

Chelsea FCleague, last 12 months · n = 374

league · Wins: 268 of 748 (36%)league · Scores: 558 of 748 (75%)league · 3+ goals: 205 of 374 (55%)league · Both teams score: 210 of 374 (56%)league · Concedes: 558 of 748 (75%)league · Leads at half-time: 225 of 748 (30%)team · Wins: 6 of 20 (30%)team · Scores: 13 of 20 (65%)team · 3+ goals: 14 of 20 (70%)team · Both teams score: 12 of 20 (60%)team · Concedes: 19 of 20 (95%)team · Leads at half-time: 6 of 20 (30%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
Chelsea FCleague
Winswon the match30%6 of 2015–52%36%268 of 74832–39%
Scoresscored at least once65%13 of 2043–82%75%558 of 74871–78%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)70%14 of 2048–85%55%205 of 37450–60%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)60%12 of 2039–78%56%210 of 37451–61%
Concedesconceded at least once95%19 of 2076–99%75%558 of 74871–78%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)30%6 of 2015–52%30%225 of 74827–33%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

DLWWL
7points
1.40per match
2-1-2W-D-L
9scored
8conceded

Last 8 matches n = 8

WWLDLWWL
13points
1.62per match
4-1-3W-D-L
17scored
15conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 8

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

0unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 2
0scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 4
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 1
0both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 4

Goals: home and away n = 8

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches82.12league 1.421.88league 1.4262%5 of 8 · league 52%75%6 of 8 · league 52%12%1 of 8 · league 27%25%2 of 8 · league 27%
Home42.75league 1.572.00league 1.2775%3 of 4 · league 52%75%3 of 4 · league 52%0%0 of 4 · league 25%25%1 of 4 · league 29%
Away41.50league 1.271.75league 1.5750%2 of 4 · league 52%75%3 of 4 · league 52%25%1 of 4 · league 29%25%1 of 4 · league 25%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half n = 8

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

scoredconcededscored per matchconceded per match
1st half951.120.62
2nd half8101.001.25

From half-time scores, 8 matches.

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 5

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Xabi Alonso1 Jul 2026now81.62
Calum McFarlane22 Apr 20261 Jun 202641.00
Liam Rosenior6 Jan 202622 Apr 2026141.21
Enzo Maresca1 Jul 20241 Jan 2026571.74
Mauricio Pochettino1 Jul 202330 Jun 2024381.66
Whole period in our database13 Aug 202324 Oct 20261221.61

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 8

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

24 Oct 2026HomeHTottenham Hotspur FC0–2
17 Oct 2026AwayAEverton FC2–0
10 Oct 2026HomeHAFC Bournemouth5–1
18 Sep 2026AwayABrentford FC0–3
12 Sep 2026HomeHHull City AFC2–2
6 Sep 2026AwayAArsenal FC1–2
30 Aug 2026HomeHBrighton & Hove Albion FC4–3
24 Aug 2026AwayAFulham FC3–2

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

HomeHManchester United FC
AwayASunderland AFC
HomeHLeeds United FC
AwayANottingham Forest FC
HomeHCrystal Palace FC

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 6

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
João Pedro56—3
Morgan Rogers47—1
Pedro Neto37—1
Jordan Henderson23—1
Cole Palmer27—3
Romeo Lavia17——

The players in the list have 17 goals between them; the team has scored 17 in the league. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 17

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026