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Arsenal FC

Premier League · season 2026-27 · 8 matches

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2League position2 of 20 in the regular season table (21 points, 8 played).
1713Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 1 of 20 in Premier League. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Arsenal2nd of 20Good form 3 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5WLWWWPoints rate · last 1090%league 45%Goal difference +10 in the last 10 · Elo +0.5 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Wins16 of 20league 36%Clean sheet11 of 20league 25%Scores19 of 20league 75%
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

Liverpool FC – Arsenal FC

· Away

25%1≈ 1 in 3.99
29%X≈ 1 in 3.49
46%2≈ 1 in 2.16

Explore Arsenal FC

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator59%title chanceWhere does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.34difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time84%won after leading at half-time (49 of 58)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model1upset in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 1.3)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores1–0the team's most common score (20 of 122 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers3Bukayo Saka, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1713Elo rating: #1 in Premier LeagueHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 122

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1713now
1716highest12 Sep 2026
1504lowest12 Aug 2023
+14last 10 matches
Arsenal FCleague average (teams of the same season)
1500155016001650170017502023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
24 Oct 2026Everton (H)2–01713+31538
18 Oct 2026Nottingham (A)1–01710+31538
10 Oct 2026Leeds United (H)2–11707+21538
19 Sep 2026Brighton Hove (A)0–31705−121538
12 Sep 2026Sunderland (A)2–01716+41538
6 Sep 2026Chelsea (H)2–11712+21538
31 Aug 2026Aston Villa (A)1–01710+41538
21 Aug 2026Coventry City (H)3–01706+31538
24 May 2026Crystal Palace (A)2–11703+31528
18 May 2026Burnley (H)1–01700+11528
10 May 2026West Ham (A)1–01699+31528
2 May 2026Fulham (H)3–01696+41528
25 Apr 2026Newcastle (H)1–01692+21528
19 Apr 2026Man City (A)1–21690−41528
11 Apr 2026Bournemouth (H)1–21695−81528
14 Mar 2026Everton (H)2–01702+31528
4 Mar 2026Brighton Hove (A)1–01699+31528
1 Mar 2026Chelsea (H)2–11696+31528
22 Feb 2026Tottenham (A)4–11693+51528
18 Feb 2026Wolverhampton (A)2–21688−31528
12 Feb 2026Brentford (A)1–11691−21528
7 Feb 2026Sunderland (H)3–01693+41528
31 Jan 2026Leeds United (A)4–01689+61528
25 Jan 2026Man United (H)2–31683−81528
17 Jan 2026Nottingham (A)0–01691−21528
8 Jan 2026Liverpool (H)0–01693−11528
3 Jan 2026Bournemouth (A)3–21694+31528
30 Dec 2025Aston Villa (H)4–11691+51528
27 Dec 2025Brighton Hove (H)2–11686+21528
20 Dec 2025Everton (A)1–01683+31528
13 Dec 2025Wolverhampton (H)2–11680+11528
6 Dec 2025Aston Villa (A)1–21679−61528
3 Dec 2025Brentford (H)2–01684+31528
30 Nov 2025Chelsea (A)1–11681−11528
23 Nov 2025Tottenham (H)4–11682+41528
8 Nov 2025Sunderland (A)2–21678−21528
1 Nov 2025Burnley (A)2–01679+31528
26 Oct 2025Crystal Palace (H)1–01676+31528
18 Oct 2025Fulham (A)1–01673+31528
4 Oct 2025West Ham (H)2–01670+31528
28 Sep 2025Newcastle (A)2–11667+41528
21 Sep 2025Man City (H)1–11663−11528
13 Sep 2025Nottingham (H)3–01664+41528
31 Aug 2025Liverpool (A)0–11660−41528
23 Aug 2025Leeds United (H)5–01664+51528
17 Aug 2025Man United (A)1–01659+31528
25 May 2025Southampton (A)2–11656+21516
18 May 2025Newcastle (H)1–01654+31516
11 May 2025Liverpool (A)2–21651+11516
3 May 2025Bournemouth (H)1–21650−71516
23 Apr 2025Crystal Palace (H)2–21657−31516
20 Apr 2025Ipswich Town (A)4–01660+51516
12 Apr 2025Brentford (H)1–11655−31516
5 Apr 2025Everton (A)1–11658−21516
1 Apr 2025Fulham (H)2–11659+21516
16 Mar 2025Chelsea (H)1–01657+31516
9 Mar 2025Man United (A)1–11654−21516
26 Feb 2025Nottingham (A)0–01656−11516
22 Feb 2025West Ham (H)0–11657−81516
15 Feb 2025Leicester City (A)2–01665+41516
2 Feb 2025Man City (H)5–11661+81516
25 Jan 2025Wolverhampton (A)1–01654+31516
18 Jan 2025Aston Villa (H)2–21651−21516
15 Jan 2025Tottenham (H)2–11653+31516
4 Jan 2025Brighton Hove (A)1–11650−21516
1 Jan 2025Brentford (A)3–11652+51516
27 Dec 2024Ipswich Town (H)1–01647+21516
21 Dec 2024Crystal Palace (A)5–11645+71516
14 Dec 2024Everton (H)0–01638−31516
8 Dec 2024Fulham (A)1–11641−11516
4 Dec 2024Man United (H)2–01642+41516
30 Nov 2024West Ham (A)5–21638+61516
23 Nov 2024Nottingham (H)3–01632+41516
10 Nov 2024Chelsea (A)1–1162701516
2 Nov 2024Newcastle (A)0–11628−61516
27 Oct 2024Liverpool (H)2–21633−11516
19 Oct 2024Bournemouth (A)0–21634−101516
5 Oct 2024Southampton (H)3–11644+31516
28 Sep 2024Leicester City (H)4–21641+41516
22 Sep 2024Man City (A)2–21637+11516
15 Sep 2024Tottenham (A)1–01636+41516
31 Aug 2024Brighton Hove (H)1–11632−21516
24 Aug 2024Aston Villa (A)2–01634+71516
17 Aug 2024Wolverhampton (H)2–01628+31516
19 May 2024Everton (H)2–11624+31500
12 May 2024Man United (A)1–01622+41500
4 May 2024Bournemouth (H)3–01618+51500
28 Apr 2024Tottenham (A)3–21613+51500
23 Apr 2024Chelsea (H)5–01608+61500
20 Apr 2024Wolverhampton (A)2–01602+61500
14 Apr 2024Aston Villa (H)0–21595−101500
6 Apr 2024Brighton Hove (A)3–01605+81500
3 Apr 2024Luton Town (H)2–01597+41500
31 Mar 2024Man City (A)0–01594+11500
9 Mar 2024Brentford (H)2–11593+31500
4 Mar 2024Sheffield Utd (A)6–01590+71500
24 Feb 2024Newcastle (H)4–11584+61500
17 Feb 2024Burnley (A)5–01578+71500
11 Feb 2024West Ham (A)6–01570+111500
4 Feb 2024Liverpool (H)3–11560+71500
30 Jan 2024Nottingham (A)2–11552+51500
20 Jan 2024Crystal Palace (H)5–01548+71500
31 Dec 2023Fulham (A)1–21541−51500
28 Dec 2023West Ham (H)0–21546−91500
23 Dec 2023Liverpool (A)1–11556+11500
17 Dec 2023Brighton Hove (H)2–01555+61500
9 Dec 2023Aston Villa (A)0–11549−41500
5 Dec 2023Luton Town (A)4–31554+41500
2 Dec 2023Wolverhampton (H)2–11549+31500
25 Nov 2023Brentford (A)1–01546+51500
11 Nov 2023Burnley (H)3–11541+51500
4 Nov 2023Newcastle (A)0–11536−51500
28 Oct 2023Sheffield Utd (H)5–01541+61500
21 Oct 2023Chelsea (A)2–2153401500
8 Oct 2023Man City (H)1–01534+41500
30 Sep 2023Bournemouth (A)4–01530+101500
24 Sep 2023Tottenham (H)2–21520−11500
17 Sep 2023Everton (A)1–01521+51500
3 Sep 2023Man United (H)3–11515+61500
26 Aug 2023Fulham (H)2–21509−11500
21 Aug 2023Crystal Palace (A)1–01510+61500
12 Aug 2023Nottingham (H)2–11504—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

Arsenal FCleague, last 12 months · n = 374

league · Wins: 268 of 748 (36%)league · Scores: 558 of 748 (75%)league · 3+ goals: 205 of 374 (55%)league · Both teams score: 210 of 374 (56%)league · Concedes: 558 of 748 (75%)league · Leads at half-time: 225 of 748 (30%)team · Wins: 16 of 20 (80%)team · Scores: 19 of 20 (95%)team · 3+ goals: 11 of 20 (55%)team · Both teams score: 8 of 20 (40%)team · Concedes: 9 of 20 (45%)team · Leads at half-time: 8 of 20 (40%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
Arsenal FCleague
Winswon the match80%16 of 2058–92%36%268 of 74832–39%
Scoresscored at least once95%19 of 2076–99%75%558 of 74871–78%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)55%11 of 2034–74%55%205 of 37450–60%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)40%8 of 2022–61%56%210 of 37451–61%
Concedesconceded at least once45%9 of 2026–66%75%558 of 74871–78%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)40%8 of 2022–61%30%225 of 74827–33%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

WLWWW
12points
2.40per match
4-0-1W-D-L
7scored
4conceded

Last 8 matches n = 8

WWWWLWWW
21points
2.62per match
7-0-1W-D-L
13scored
5conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 8

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

3unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 4
3scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 4
2clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 2
0both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 1

Goals: home and away n = 8

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches81.62league 1.420.62league 1.4225%2 of 8 · league 52%50%4 of 8 · league 52%62%5 of 8 · league 27%12%1 of 8 · league 27%
Home42.25league 1.570.50league 1.2750%2 of 4 · league 52%75%3 of 4 · league 52%50%2 of 4 · league 25%0%0 of 4 · league 29%
Away41.00league 1.270.75league 1.570%0 of 4 · league 52%25%1 of 4 · league 52%75%3 of 4 · league 29%25%1 of 4 · league 25%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half n = 8

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

scoredconcededscored per matchconceded per match
1st half430.500.38
2nd half921.120.25

From half-time scores, 8 matches.

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 1

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Mikel Arteta20 Dec 2019now1222.20
Whole period in our database12 Aug 202324 Oct 20261222.20

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 8

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

24 Oct 2026HomeHEverton FC2–0
18 Oct 2026AwayANottingham Forest FC1–0
10 Oct 2026HomeHLeeds United FC2–1
19 Sep 2026AwayABrighton & Hove Albion FC0–3
12 Sep 2026AwayASunderland AFC2–0
6 Sep 2026HomeHChelsea FC2–1
31 Aug 2026AwayAAston Villa FC1–0
21 Aug 2026HomeHCoventry City FC3–0

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

AwayALiverpool FC
HomeHHull City AFC
AwayANewcastle United FC
HomeHManchester City FC
AwayABrentford FC

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 6

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Bukayo Saka371—
Bruno Guimarães26——
Kai Havertz27——
Martin Ødegaard27——
Noni Madueke17——
Riccardo Calafiori17—2

The players in the list have 11 goals between them; the team has scored 13 in the league. A 2-goal difference between the source's scorer list and the results; the source does not say who scored the rest. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 19

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026