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Liverpool FC

Premier League · season 2026-27 · 7 matches

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5League position5 of 20 in the regular season table (12 points, 7 played).
1626Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 3 of 20 in Premier League. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Liverpool5th of 20Above average 2 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5WDWLWPoints rate · last 1047%league 45%Goal difference −1 in the last 10 · Elo +2.5 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Nothing above the league rate in the cautious reading.
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

Liverpool FC – Brighton & Hove Albion FC

· Home

41%1≈ 1 in 2.42
25%X≈ 1 in 3.93
33%2≈ 1 in 3.02

Explore Liverpool FC

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator48%chance of a top-4 finishWhere does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.40difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time85%won after leading at half-time (40 of 47)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model3upsets in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 2.0)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores2–0the team's most common score (17 of 121 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers5Alexander Isak, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1626Elo rating: #3 in Premier LeagueHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 121

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1626now
1684highest27 Apr 2025
1501lowest13 Aug 2023
−12last 10 matches
Liverpool FCleague average (teams of the same season)
150015501600165017002023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
17 Oct 2026Brentford (A)2–11626+51538
11 Oct 2026Man City (H)0–31621−81538
20 Sep 2026Bournemouth (A)1–01629+51538
12 Sep 2026Fulham (H)0–01625−21538
4 Sep 2026Ipswich Town (A)2–01627+41538
29 Aug 2026Nottingham (H)2–21623−21538
23 Aug 2026Newcastle (A)2–21625−11538
24 May 2026Brentford (H)1–11626−21528
15 May 2026Aston Villa (A)2–41628−81528
9 May 2026Chelsea (H)1–11636−21528
3 May 2026Man United (A)2–31638−61528
25 Apr 2026Crystal Palace (H)3–11644+41528
19 Apr 2026Everton (A)2–11639+41528
11 Apr 2026Fulham (H)2–01635+41528
21 Mar 2026Brighton Hove (A)1–21631−61528
15 Mar 2026Tottenham (H)1–11637−31528
3 Mar 2026Wolverhampton (A)1–21640−81528
28 Feb 2026West Ham (H)5–21647+31528
22 Feb 2026Nottingham (A)1–01644+41528
11 Feb 2026Sunderland (A)1–01641+41528
8 Feb 2026Man City (H)1–21637−51528
31 Jan 2026Newcastle (H)4–11642+61528
24 Jan 2026Bournemouth (A)2–31636−61528
17 Jan 2026Burnley (H)1–11643−41528
8 Jan 2026Arsenal (A)0–01646+11528
4 Jan 2026Fulham (A)2–21645−11528
1 Jan 2026Leeds United (H)0–01646−31528
27 Dec 2025Wolverhampton (H)2–11649+11528
20 Dec 2025Tottenham (A)2–11647+41528
13 Dec 2025Brighton Hove (H)2–01644+41528
6 Dec 2025Leeds United (A)3–31639−21528
3 Dec 2025Sunderland (H)1–11641−21528
30 Nov 2025West Ham (A)2–01643+51528
22 Nov 2025Nottingham (H)0–31638−141528
9 Nov 2025Man City (A)0–31652−81528
1 Nov 2025Aston Villa (H)2–01660+51528
25 Oct 2025Brentford (A)2–31655−61528
19 Oct 2025Man United (H)1–21661−81528
4 Oct 2025Chelsea (A)1–21669−61528
27 Sep 2025Crystal Palace (A)1–21675−61528
20 Sep 2025Everton (H)2–11681+21528
14 Sep 2025Burnley (A)1–01679+21528
31 Aug 2025Arsenal (H)1–01677+41528
25 Aug 2025Newcastle (A)3–21673+41528
15 Aug 2025Bournemouth (H)4–21669+41528
25 May 2025Crystal Palace (H)1–11665−21516
19 May 2025Brighton Hove (A)2–31667−71516
11 May 2025Arsenal (H)2–21674−11516
4 May 2025Chelsea (A)1–31675−91516
27 Apr 2025Tottenham (H)5–11684+41516
20 Apr 2025Leicester City (A)1–01680+21516
13 Apr 2025West Ham (H)2–11678+21516
6 Apr 2025Fulham (A)2–31676−71516
2 Apr 2025Everton (H)1–01683+21516
8 Mar 2025Southampton (H)3–11681+21516
26 Feb 2025Newcastle (H)2–01679+41516
23 Feb 2025Man City (A)2–01675+81516
19 Feb 2025Aston Villa (A)2–21667−11516
16 Feb 2025Wolverhampton (H)2–11668+21516
12 Feb 2025Everton (A)2–21666−21516
1 Feb 2025Bournemouth (A)2–01668+61516
25 Jan 2025Ipswich Town (H)4–11662+31516
18 Jan 2025Brentford (A)2–01659+51516
14 Jan 2025Nottingham (A)1–11654−11516
5 Jan 2025Man United (H)2–21655−31516
29 Dec 2024West Ham (A)5–01658+71516
26 Dec 2024Leicester City (H)3–11652+31516
22 Dec 2024Tottenham (A)6–31649+81516
14 Dec 2024Fulham (H)2–21641−31516
4 Dec 2024Newcastle (A)3–31643−11516
1 Dec 2024Man City (H)2–01644+61516
24 Nov 2024Southampton (A)3–21638+31516
9 Nov 2024Aston Villa (H)2–01635+51516
2 Nov 2024Brighton Hove (H)2–11630+31516
27 Oct 2024Arsenal (A)2–21627+11516
20 Oct 2024Chelsea (H)2–11626+31516
5 Oct 2024Crystal Palace (A)1–01623+41516
28 Sep 2024Wolverhampton (A)2–11619+31516
21 Sep 2024Bournemouth (H)3–01616+51516
14 Sep 2024Nottingham (H)0–11611−81516
1 Sep 2024Man United (A)3–01619+71516
25 Aug 2024Brentford (H)2–01611+41516
17 Aug 2024Ipswich Town (A)2–01608+61516
19 May 2024Wolverhampton (H)2–01601+41500
13 May 2024Aston Villa (A)3–3159701500
5 May 2024Tottenham (H)4–21597+51500
27 Apr 2024West Ham (A)2–21592−11500
24 Apr 2024Everton (A)0–21593−91500
21 Apr 2024Fulham (A)3–11602+61500
14 Apr 2024Crystal Palace (H)0–11596−81500
7 Apr 2024Man United (A)2–21603−11500
4 Apr 2024Sheffield Utd (H)3–11604+31500
31 Mar 2024Brighton Hove (H)2–11601+31500
10 Mar 2024Man City (H)1–11598−11500
2 Mar 2024Nottingham (A)1–01599+41500
21 Feb 2024Luton Town (H)4–11595+41500
17 Feb 2024Brentford (A)4–11590+71500
10 Feb 2024Burnley (H)3–11583+41500
4 Feb 2024Arsenal (A)1–31580−71500
31 Jan 2024Chelsea (H)4–11587+61500
21 Jan 2024Bournemouth (A)4–01581+91500
1 Jan 2024Newcastle (H)4–21572+51500
26 Dec 2023Burnley (A)2–01567+61500
23 Dec 2023Arsenal (H)1–11561−11500
17 Dec 2023Man United (H)0–01562−21500
9 Dec 2023Crystal Palace (A)2–11563+51500
6 Dec 2023Sheffield Utd (A)2–01559+61500
3 Dec 2023Fulham (H)4–31553+31500
25 Nov 2023Man City (A)1–11549+11500
12 Nov 2023Brentford (H)3–01549+71500
5 Nov 2023Luton Town (A)1–1154201500
29 Oct 2023Nottingham (H)3–01542+61500
21 Oct 2023Everton (H)2–01536+61500
8 Oct 2023Brighton Hove (A)2–21530+11500
30 Sep 2023Tottenham (A)1–21530−41500
24 Sep 2023West Ham (H)3–11534+61500
16 Sep 2023Wolverhampton (A)3–11528+81500
3 Sep 2023Aston Villa (H)3–01520+71500
27 Aug 2023Newcastle (A)2–11513+61500
19 Aug 2023Bournemouth (H)3–11507+61500
13 Aug 2023Chelsea (A)1–11501—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

Liverpool FCleague, last 12 months · n = 374

league · Wins: 268 of 748 (36%)league · Scores: 558 of 748 (75%)league · 3+ goals: 205 of 374 (55%)league · Both teams score: 210 of 374 (56%)league · Concedes: 558 of 748 (75%)league · Leads at half-time: 225 of 748 (30%)team · Wins: 9 of 20 (45%)team · Scores: 18 of 20 (90%)team · 3+ goals: 11 of 20 (55%)team · Both teams score: 13 of 20 (65%)team · Concedes: 14 of 20 (70%)team · Leads at half-time: 6 of 20 (30%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
Liverpool FCleague
Winswon the match45%9 of 2026–66%36%268 of 74832–39%
Scoresscored at least once90%18 of 2070–97%75%558 of 74871–78%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)55%11 of 2034–74%55%205 of 37450–60%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)65%13 of 2043–82%56%210 of 37451–61%
Concedesconceded at least once70%14 of 2048–85%75%558 of 74871–78%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)30%6 of 2015–52%30%225 of 74827–33%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

WDWLW
10points
2.00per match
3-1-1W-D-L
5scored
4conceded

Last 7 matches n = 7

DDWDWLW
12points
1.71per match
3-3-1W-D-L
9scored
8conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 7

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

1unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 5
1scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 3
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 3
1both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 2

Goals: home and away n = 7

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches71.29league 1.421.14league 1.4243%3 of 7 · league 52%57%4 of 7 · league 52%43%3 of 7 · league 27%29%2 of 7 · league 27%
Home30.67league 1.571.67league 1.2733%1 of 3 · league 52%67%2 of 3 · league 52%33%1 of 3 · league 25%67%2 of 3 · league 29%
Away41.75league 1.270.75league 1.5750%2 of 4 · league 52%50%2 of 4 · league 52%50%2 of 4 · league 29%0%0 of 4 · league 25%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

Not enough data yet (7 of 8 matches needed).

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 3

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Andoni Iraola4 Jun 2026now71.71
Arne Slot1 Jun 202430 May 2026761.89
Jürgen Klopp8 Oct 201519 May 2024382.16
Whole period in our database13 Aug 202317 Oct 20261211.97

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 7

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

17 Oct 2026AwayABrentford FC2–1
11 Oct 2026HomeHManchester City FC0–3
20 Sep 2026AwayAAFC Bournemouth1–0
12 Sep 2026HomeHFulham FC0–0
4 Sep 2026AwayAIpswich Town FC2–0
29 Aug 2026HomeHNottingham Forest FC2–2
23 Aug 2026AwayANewcastle United FC2–2

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

HomeHBrighton & Hove Albion FC
HomeHArsenal FC
AwayACrystal Palace FC
HomeHManchester United FC
AwayAEverton FC

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 4

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Alexander Isak56——
Víctor Muñoz27——
Cody Gakpo16—3
Dominik Szoboszlai161—

The players in the list have 9 goals between them; the team has scored 9 in the league. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 18

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026