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Manchester City FC

Premier League · season 2026-27 · 8 matches

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1League position1 of 20 in the regular season table (21 points, 8 played).
1703Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 2 of 20 in Premier League. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Man City1st of 20Good form 3 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5WWWWLPoints rate · last 1073%league 45%Goal difference +10 in the last 10 · Elo +9.8 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Wins14 of 20league 36%Scores20 of 20league 75%
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

Manchester City FC – Brighton & Hove Albion FC

· Home

54%1≈ 1 in 1.87
24%X≈ 1 in 4.16
22%2≈ 1 in 4.45

Explore Manchester City FC

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator37%title chanceWhere does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.31difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time76%won after leading at half-time (52 of 68)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model2upsets in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 1.5)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores3–0the team's most common score (13 of 122 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers8Erling Haaland, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1703Elo rating: #2 in Premier LeagueHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 122

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1703now
1709highest17 Oct 2026
1510lowest11 Aug 2023
+11last 10 matches
Manchester City FCleague average (teams of the same season)
1500155016001650170017502023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
24 Oct 2026Aston Villa (A)1–21703−61538
17 Oct 2026Ipswich Town (H)3–21709+11538
11 Oct 2026Liverpool (A)3–01708+81538
20 Sep 2026Sunderland (H)5–31700+31538
13 Sep 2026Man United (A)1–01697+41538
5 Sep 2026Coventry City (H)1–01693+21538
28 Aug 2026Crystal Palace (A)4–11691+51538
23 Aug 2026Bournemouth (H)2–11686+31538
24 May 2026Aston Villa (H)1–21683−71528
19 May 2026Bournemouth (A)1–11690−11528
13 May 2026Crystal Palace (H)3–01692+41528
9 May 2026Brentford (H)3–01688+41528
4 May 2026Everton (A)3–31684−21528
22 Apr 2026Burnley (A)1–01686+21528
19 Apr 2026Arsenal (H)2–11684+41528
12 Apr 2026Chelsea (A)3–01679+81528
14 Mar 2026West Ham (A)1–11672−21528
4 Mar 2026Nottingham (H)2–21674−31528
28 Feb 2026Leeds United (A)1–01677+31528
21 Feb 2026Newcastle (H)2–11674+31528
11 Feb 2026Fulham (H)3–01671+41528
8 Feb 2026Liverpool (A)2–11667+51528
1 Feb 2026Tottenham (A)2–21662−21528
24 Jan 2026Wolverhampton (H)2–01663+21528
17 Jan 2026Man United (A)0–21661−101528
7 Jan 2026Brighton Hove (H)1–11671−21528
4 Jan 2026Chelsea (H)1–11674−21528
1 Jan 2026Sunderland (A)0–01676−21528
27 Dec 2025Nottingham (A)2–11677+31528
20 Dec 2025West Ham (H)3–01674+31528
14 Dec 2025Crystal Palace (A)3–01671+71528
6 Dec 2025Sunderland (H)3–01664+41528
2 Dec 2025Fulham (A)5–41659+31528
29 Nov 2025Leeds United (H)3–21656+21528
22 Nov 2025Newcastle (A)1–21654−61528
9 Nov 2025Liverpool (H)3–01659+81528
2 Nov 2025Bournemouth (H)3–11652+41528
26 Oct 2025Aston Villa (A)0–11647−61528
18 Oct 2025Everton (H)2–01653+41528
5 Oct 2025Brentford (A)1–01649+41528
27 Sep 2025Burnley (H)5–11646+31528
21 Sep 2025Arsenal (A)1–11643+11528
14 Sep 2025Man United (H)3–01642+41528
31 Aug 2025Brighton Hove (A)1–21638−61528
23 Aug 2025Tottenham (H)0–21644−121528
16 Aug 2025Wolverhampton (A)4–01655+61528
25 May 2025Fulham (A)2–01649+61516
20 May 2025Bournemouth (H)3–11644+41516
10 May 2025Southampton (A)0–01640−31516
2 May 2025Wolverhampton (H)1–01643+21516
22 Apr 2025Aston Villa (H)2–11640+31516
19 Apr 2025Everton (A)2–01637+61516
12 Apr 2025Crystal Palace (H)5–21632+51516
6 Apr 2025Man United (A)0–01626−11516
2 Apr 2025Leicester City (H)2–01628+31516
15 Mar 2025Brighton Hove (H)2–21625−21516
8 Mar 2025Nottingham (A)0–11627−61516
26 Feb 2025Tottenham (A)1–01633+41516
23 Feb 2025Liverpool (H)0–21629−81516
15 Feb 2025Newcastle (H)4–01637+61516
2 Feb 2025Arsenal (A)1–51631−81516
25 Jan 2025Chelsea (H)3–11638+51516
19 Jan 2025Ipswich Town (A)6–01633+71516
14 Jan 2025Brentford (A)2–21626−11516
4 Jan 2025West Ham (H)4–11627+41516
29 Dec 2024Leicester City (A)2–01623+51516
26 Dec 2024Everton (H)1–11618−31516
21 Dec 2024Aston Villa (A)1–21621−61516
15 Dec 2024Man United (H)1–21626−71516
7 Dec 2024Crystal Palace (A)2–21633−11516
4 Dec 2024Nottingham (H)3–01635+41516
1 Dec 2024Liverpool (A)0–21631−61516
23 Nov 2024Tottenham (H)0–41637−131516
9 Nov 2024Brighton Hove (A)1–21651−71516
2 Nov 2024Bournemouth (A)1–21657−71516
26 Oct 2024Southampton (H)1–01664+21516
20 Oct 2024Wolverhampton (A)2–11662+31516
5 Oct 2024Fulham (H)3–21659+21516
28 Sep 2024Newcastle (A)1–11657−11516
22 Sep 2024Arsenal (H)2–21658−11516
14 Sep 2024Brentford (H)2–11659+21516
31 Aug 2024West Ham (A)3–11657+51516
24 Aug 2024Ipswich Town (H)4–11652+41516
18 Aug 2024Chelsea (A)2–01648+61516
19 May 2024West Ham (H)3–11641+41500
14 May 2024Tottenham (A)2–01638+61500
11 May 2024Fulham (A)4–01631+71500
4 May 2024Wolverhampton (H)5–11624+51500
28 Apr 2024Nottingham (A)2–01619+51500
25 Apr 2024Brighton Hove (A)4–01614+81500
13 Apr 2024Luton Town (H)5–11606+41500
6 Apr 2024Crystal Palace (A)4–21602+61500
3 Apr 2024Aston Villa (H)4–11596+61500
31 Mar 2024Arsenal (H)0–01590−11500
10 Mar 2024Liverpool (A)1–11591+11500
3 Mar 2024Man United (H)3–11590+51500
24 Feb 2024Bournemouth (A)1–01585+41500
20 Feb 2024Brentford (H)1–01581+31500
17 Feb 2024Chelsea (H)1–11578−21500
10 Feb 2024Everton (H)2–01579+51500
5 Feb 2024Brentford (A)3–11575+71500
31 Jan 2024Burnley (H)3–11568+41500
13 Jan 2024Newcastle (A)3–21564+51500
30 Dec 2023Sheffield Utd (H)2–01559+41500
27 Dec 2023Everton (A)3–11555+81500
16 Dec 2023Crystal Palace (H)2–21548−21500
10 Dec 2023Luton Town (A)2–11549+41500
6 Dec 2023Aston Villa (A)0–11545−41500
3 Dec 2023Tottenham (H)3–31549−11500
25 Nov 2023Liverpool (H)1–11551−11500
12 Nov 2023Chelsea (A)4–4155101500
4 Nov 2023Bournemouth (H)6–11551+61500
29 Oct 2023Man United (A)3–01545+91500
21 Oct 2023Brighton Hove (H)2–11536+41500
8 Oct 2023Arsenal (A)0–11532−41500
30 Sep 2023Wolverhampton (A)1–21536−51500
23 Sep 2023Nottingham (H)2–01541+61500
16 Sep 2023West Ham (A)3–11536+81500
2 Sep 2023Fulham (H)5–11527+71500
27 Aug 2023Sheffield Utd (A)2–11520+51500
19 Aug 2023Newcastle (H)1–01514+41500
11 Aug 2023Burnley (A)3–01510—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

Manchester City FCleague, last 12 months · n = 374

league · Wins: 268 of 748 (36%)league · Scores: 558 of 748 (75%)league · 3+ goals: 205 of 374 (55%)league · Both teams score: 210 of 374 (56%)league · Concedes: 558 of 748 (75%)league · Leads at half-time: 225 of 748 (30%)team · Wins: 14 of 20 (70%)team · Scores: 20 of 20 (100%)team · 3+ goals: 14 of 20 (70%)team · Both teams score: 12 of 20 (60%)team · Concedes: 12 of 20 (60%)team · Leads at half-time: 11 of 20 (55%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
Manchester City FCleague
Winswon the match70%14 of 2048–85%36%268 of 74832–39%
Scoresscored at least once100%20 of 2084–100%75%558 of 74871–78%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)70%14 of 2048–85%55%205 of 37450–60%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)60%12 of 2039–78%56%210 of 37451–61%
Concedesconceded at least once60%12 of 2039–78%75%558 of 74871–78%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)55%11 of 2034–74%30%225 of 74827–33%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

WWWWL
12points
2.40per match
4-0-1W-D-L
13scored
7conceded

Last 8 matches n = 8

WWWWWWWL
21points
2.62per match
7-0-1W-D-L
20scored
9conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 8

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

0unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 7
8scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 8
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 2
2both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 2

Goals: home and away n = 8

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches82.50league 1.421.12league 1.4262%5 of 8 · league 52%75%6 of 8 · league 52%38%3 of 8 · league 27%0%0 of 8 · league 27%
Home42.75league 1.571.50league 1.2775%3 of 4 · league 52%75%3 of 4 · league 52%25%1 of 4 · league 25%0%0 of 4 · league 29%
Away42.25league 1.270.75league 1.5750%2 of 4 · league 52%75%3 of 4 · league 52%50%2 of 4 · league 29%0%0 of 4 · league 25%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half n = 8

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

scoredconcededscored per matchconceded per match
1st half750.880.62
2nd half1341.620.50

From half-time scores, 8 matches.

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 2

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Enzo Maresca29 Jun 2026now82.62
Pep Guardiola1 Jul 2016May 20261142.11
Whole period in our database11 Aug 202324 Oct 20261222.14

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 8

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

24 Oct 2026AwayAAston Villa FC1–2
17 Oct 2026HomeHIpswich Town FC3–2
11 Oct 2026AwayALiverpool FC3–0
20 Sep 2026HomeHSunderland AFC5–3
13 Sep 2026AwayAManchester United FC1–0
5 Sep 2026HomeHCoventry City FC1–0
28 Aug 2026AwayACrystal Palace FC4–1
23 Aug 2026HomeHAFC Bournemouth2–1

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

HomeHBrighton & Hove Albion FC
AwayANottingham Forest FC
HomeHFulham FC
AwayAArsenal FC
HomeHLeeds United FC

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 8

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Erling Haaland87——
Rayan Cherki47—2
Antoine Semenyo27—3
Jeremy Doku13—1
Phil Foden15—2
Enzo Fernández16——
Joško Gvardiol17—3
Marc Guéhi17—1

The players in the list have 19 goals between them; the team has scored 20 in the league. A 1-goal difference between the source's scorer list and the results; the source does not say who scored the rest. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 19

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026