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AFC Bournemouth

Premier League · season 2026-27 · 7 matches

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17League position17 of 20 in the regular season table (6 points, 7 played).
1542Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 8 of 20 in Premier League. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Bournemouth17th of 20Poor form 0 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5DDLLWPoints rate · last 1037%league 45%Goal difference −3 in the last 10 · Elo −7.4 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Nothing above the league rate in the cautious reading.
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

Manchester United FC – AFC Bournemouth

· Away

45%1≈ 1 in 2.20
26%X≈ 1 in 3.86
29%2≈ 1 in 3.49

Explore AFC Bournemouth

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator12%chance of a top-6 finishWhere does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.45difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time65%won after leading at half-time (26 of 40)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model1upset in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 0.6)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores2–2the team's most common score (16 of 121 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers4Marcus Tavernier, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1542Elo rating: #8 in Premier LeagueHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 121

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1542now
1553highest24 May 2026
1455lowest4 Nov 2023
−5last 10 matches
AFC Bournemouthleague average (teams of the same season)
14401460148015001520154015602023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
18 Oct 2026Sunderland (H)2–01542+61538
10 Oct 2026Chelsea (A)1–51536−81538
20 Sep 2026Liverpool (H)0–11544−51538
12 Sep 2026Brentford (H)2–21549−11538
5 Sep 2026Newcastle (A)2–21550+11538
29 Aug 2026Everton (H)1–11549−11538
23 Aug 2026Man City (A)1–21550−31538
24 May 2026Nottingham (A)1–1155301528
19 May 2026Man City (H)1–11553+11528
9 May 2026Fulham (A)1–01552+51528
3 May 2026Crystal Palace (H)3–01546+71528
22 Apr 2026Leeds United (H)2–21539−11528
18 Apr 2026Newcastle (A)2–11541+61528
11 Apr 2026Arsenal (A)2–11535+81528
20 Mar 2026Man United (H)2–2152701528
14 Mar 2026Burnley (A)0–01527−11528
3 Mar 2026Brentford (H)0–01529−11528
28 Feb 2026Sunderland (H)1–11530−11528
21 Feb 2026West Ham (A)0–0153101528
10 Feb 2026Everton (A)2–11531+61528
7 Feb 2026Aston Villa (H)1–1152601528
31 Jan 2026Wolverhampton (A)2–01526+61528
24 Jan 2026Liverpool (H)3–21520+61528
19 Jan 2026Brighton Hove (A)1–11513+11528
7 Jan 2026Tottenham (H)3–21512+41528
3 Jan 2026Arsenal (H)2–31508−31528
30 Dec 2025Chelsea (A)2–21511+21528
27 Dec 2025Brentford (A)1–41510−81528
20 Dec 2025Burnley (H)1–11517−21528
15 Dec 2025Man United (A)4–4152001528
6 Dec 2025Chelsea (H)0–0151901528
2 Dec 2025Everton (H)0–11519−61528
29 Nov 2025Sunderland (A)2–31525−51528
22 Nov 2025West Ham (H)2–21530−21528
9 Nov 2025Aston Villa (A)0–41531−71528
2 Nov 2025Man City (A)1–31539−41528
26 Oct 2025Nottingham (H)2–01543+51528
18 Oct 2025Crystal Palace (A)3–31538+11528
3 Oct 2025Fulham (H)3–11537+61528
27 Sep 2025Leeds United (A)2–2153101528
21 Sep 2025Newcastle (H)0–0153101528
13 Sep 2025Brighton Hove (H)2–11531+41528
30 Aug 2025Tottenham (A)1–01527+51528
23 Aug 2025Wolverhampton (H)1–01522+31528
15 Aug 2025Liverpool (A)2–41518−41528
25 May 2025Leicester City (H)2–01522+41516
20 May 2025Man City (A)1–31518−41516
10 May 2025Aston Villa (H)0–11522−51516
3 May 2025Arsenal (A)2–11527+71516
27 Apr 2025Man United (H)1–11520−11516
19 Apr 2025Crystal Palace (A)0–01521+11516
14 Apr 2025Fulham (H)1–01520+41516
5 Apr 2025West Ham (A)2–2151601516
2 Apr 2025Ipswich Town (H)1–21516−71516
15 Mar 2025Brentford (H)1–21523−61516
9 Mar 2025Tottenham (A)2–21530+11516
25 Feb 2025Brighton Hove (A)1–21529−51516
22 Feb 2025Wolverhampton (H)0–11533−71516
15 Feb 2025Southampton (A)3–11540+61516
1 Feb 2025Liverpool (H)0–21535−61516
25 Jan 2025Nottingham (H)5–01541+81516
18 Jan 2025Newcastle (A)4–11532+111516
14 Jan 2025Chelsea (A)2–21521+11516
4 Jan 2025Everton (H)1–01520+41516
29 Dec 2024Fulham (A)2–21516+11516
26 Dec 2024Crystal Palace (H)0–01516−11516
22 Dec 2024Man United (A)3–01517+101516
16 Dec 2024West Ham (H)1–11507−11516
8 Dec 2024Ipswich Town (A)2–11508+51516
5 Dec 2024Tottenham (H)1–01503+51516
30 Nov 2024Wolverhampton (A)4–21498+81516
23 Nov 2024Brighton Hove (H)1–21490−61516
9 Nov 2024Brentford (A)2–31495−51516
2 Nov 2024Man City (H)2–11500+71516
26 Oct 2024Aston Villa (A)1–11493+21516
19 Oct 2024Arsenal (H)2–01492+101516
5 Oct 2024Leicester City (A)0–11482−41516
30 Sep 2024Southampton (H)3–11486+61516
21 Sep 2024Liverpool (A)0–31480−51516
14 Sep 2024Chelsea (H)0–11485−51516
31 Aug 2024Everton (A)3–21490+51516
25 Aug 2024Newcastle (H)1–1148401516
17 Aug 2024Nottingham (A)1–1148401516
19 May 2024Chelsea (A)1–21484−41500
11 May 2024Brentford (H)1–21487−61500
4 May 2024Arsenal (A)0–31494−51500
28 Apr 2024Brighton Hove (H)3–01498+81500
24 Apr 2024Wolverhampton (A)1–01491+61500
21 Apr 2024Aston Villa (A)1–31485−51500
13 Apr 2024Man United (H)2–2149001500
6 Apr 2024Luton Town (A)1–21491−51500
2 Apr 2024Crystal Palace (H)1–01496+41500
30 Mar 2024Everton (H)2–11492+41500
13 Mar 2024Luton Town (H)4–31488+41500
9 Mar 2024Sheffield Utd (H)2–21484−21500
3 Mar 2024Burnley (A)2–01486+71500
24 Feb 2024Man City (H)0–11479−41500
17 Feb 2024Newcastle (A)2–21483+11500
10 Feb 2024Fulham (A)1–31482−71500
4 Feb 2024Nottingham (H)1–11489−11500
1 Feb 2024West Ham (A)1–11490+11500
21 Jan 2024Liverpool (H)0–41489−91500
31 Dec 2023Tottenham (A)1–31498−61500
26 Dec 2023Fulham (H)3–01504+71500
23 Dec 2023Nottingham (A)3–21496+51500
9 Dec 2023Man United (A)3–01491+111500
6 Dec 2023Crystal Palace (A)2–01480+91500
3 Dec 2023Aston Villa (H)2–2147201500
25 Nov 2023Sheffield Utd (A)3–11471+81500
11 Nov 2023Newcastle (H)2–01463+81500
4 Nov 2023Man City (A)1–61455−61500
28 Oct 2023Burnley (H)2–11461+41500
21 Oct 2023Wolverhampton (H)1–21457−51500
7 Oct 2023Everton (A)0–31463−71500
30 Sep 2023Arsenal (H)0–41470−101500
24 Sep 2023Brighton Hove (A)1–31479−61500
17 Sep 2023Chelsea (H)0–01485−11500
2 Sep 2023Brentford (A)2–21486+11500
26 Aug 2023Tottenham (H)0–21485−81500
19 Aug 2023Liverpool (A)1–31493−61500
12 Aug 2023West Ham (H)1–11499—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

AFC Bournemouthleague, last 12 months · n = 374

league · Wins: 268 of 748 (36%)league · Scores: 558 of 748 (75%)league · 3+ goals: 205 of 374 (55%)league · Both teams score: 210 of 374 (56%)league · Concedes: 558 of 748 (75%)league · Leads at half-time: 225 of 748 (30%)team · Wins: 6 of 20 (30%)team · Scores: 16 of 20 (80%)team · 3+ goals: 10 of 20 (50%)team · Both teams score: 13 of 20 (65%)team · Concedes: 14 of 20 (70%)team · Leads at half-time: 7 of 20 (35%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
AFC Bournemouthleague
Winswon the match30%6 of 2015–52%36%268 of 74832–39%
Scoresscored at least once80%16 of 2058–92%75%558 of 74871–78%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)50%10 of 2030–70%55%205 of 37450–60%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)65%13 of 2043–82%56%210 of 37451–61%
Concedesconceded at least once70%14 of 2048–85%75%558 of 74871–78%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)35%7 of 2018–57%30%225 of 74827–33%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

DDLLW
5points
1.00per match
1-2-2W-D-L
7scored
10conceded

Last 7 matches n = 7

LDDDLLW
6points
0.86per match
1-3-3W-D-L
9scored
13conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 7

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

1unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 3
2scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 4
1clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 1
0both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 4

Goals: home and away n = 7

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches71.29league 1.421.86league 1.4271%5 of 7 · league 52%57%4 of 7 · league 52%14%1 of 7 · league 27%14%1 of 7 · league 27%
Home41.25league 1.571.00league 1.2750%2 of 4 · league 52%25%1 of 4 · league 52%25%1 of 4 · league 25%25%1 of 4 · league 29%
Away31.33league 1.273.00league 1.57100%3 of 3 · league 52%100%3 of 3 · league 52%0%0 of 3 · league 29%0%0 of 3 · league 25%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

Not enough data yet (7 of 8 matches needed).

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 2

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Marco Rose3 Jun 2026now70.86
Andoni Iraola1 Jul 2023May 20261141.41
Whole period in our database12 Aug 202318 Oct 20261211.38

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 7

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

18 Oct 2026HomeHSunderland AFC2–0
10 Oct 2026AwayAChelsea FC1–5
20 Sep 2026HomeHLiverpool FC0–1
12 Sep 2026HomeHBrentford FC2–2
5 Sep 2026AwayANewcastle United FC2–2
29 Aug 2026HomeHEverton FC1–1
23 Aug 2026AwayAManchester City FC1–2

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

AwayAManchester United FC
HomeHLeeds United FC
AwayAIpswich Town FC
HomeHNottingham Forest FC
AwayAFulham FC

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 4

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Marcus Tavernier47——
Evanilson27—4
Alex Scott15——
Justin Kluivert15——

The players in the list have 8 goals between them; the team has scored 9 in the league. A 1-goal difference between the source's scorer list and the results; the source does not say who scored the rest. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 18

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026