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Newcastle United FC

Premier League · season 2026-27 · 7 matches

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14League position14 of 20 in the regular season table (8 points, 7 played).
1526Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 10 of 20 in Premier League. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Newcastle14th of 20Poor form 0 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5DLWLLPoints rate · last 1040%league 45%Goal difference −4 in the last 10 · Elo −19.2 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Nothing above the league rate in the cautious reading.
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

Crystal Palace FC – Newcastle United FC

· Away

34%1≈ 1 in 2.92
27%X≈ 1 in 3.76
39%2≈ 1 in 2.56

Explore Newcastle United FC

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator9%chance of a top-6 finishWhere does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.56difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time74%won after leading at half-time (35 of 47)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model0upsets in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 0.7)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores2–1the team's most common score (10 of 121 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers2Anthony Elanga, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1526Elo rating: #10 in Premier LeagueHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 121

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1526now
1576highest11 May 2025
1492lowest2 Sep 2023
−14last 10 matches
Newcastle United FCleague average (teams of the same season)
1480150015201540156015802023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
17 Oct 2026Aston Villa (H)0–11526−51538
12 Oct 2026Coventry City (A)1–41531−91538
19 Sep 2026Hull City (H)2–11540+41538
14 Sep 2026Leeds United (A)1–41536−81538
5 Sep 2026Bournemouth (H)2–21544−11538
29 Aug 2026Tottenham (A)2–01545+71538
23 Aug 2026Liverpool (H)2–21538+11538
24 May 2026Fulham (A)0–21538−71528
17 May 2026West Ham (H)3–11545+51528
10 May 2026Nottingham (A)1–1154001528
2 May 2026Brighton Hove (H)3–11540+71528
25 Apr 2026Arsenal (A)0–11533−21528
18 Apr 2026Bournemouth (H)1–21535−61528
12 Apr 2026Crystal Palace (A)1–21541−51528
22 Mar 2026Sunderland (H)1–21546−61528
14 Mar 2026Chelsea (A)1–01552+61528
4 Mar 2026Man United (H)2–11546+41528
28 Feb 2026Everton (H)2–31542−61528
21 Feb 2026Man City (A)1–21548−31528
10 Feb 2026Tottenham (A)2–11551+51528
7 Feb 2026Brentford (H)2–31546−61528
31 Jan 2026Liverpool (A)1–41552−61528
25 Jan 2026Aston Villa (H)0–21558−81528
18 Jan 2026Wolverhampton (A)0–01566−21528
7 Jan 2026Leeds United (H)4–31567+31528
4 Jan 2026Crystal Palace (H)2–01564+61528
30 Dec 2025Burnley (A)3–11558+51528
26 Dec 2025Man United (A)0–11553−51528
20 Dec 2025Chelsea (H)2–2155801528
14 Dec 2025Sunderland (A)0–11558−51528
6 Dec 2025Burnley (H)2–11563+21528
2 Dec 2025Tottenham (H)2–21561−21528
29 Nov 2025Everton (A)4–11563+91528
22 Nov 2025Man City (H)2–11554+61528
9 Nov 2025Brentford (A)1–31548−81528
2 Nov 2025West Ham (A)1–31555−91528
25 Oct 2025Fulham (H)2–11564+31528
18 Oct 2025Brighton Hove (A)1–21561−51528
5 Oct 2025Nottingham (H)2–01566+51528
28 Sep 2025Arsenal (H)1–21561−41528
21 Sep 2025Bournemouth (A)0–0156501528
13 Sep 2025Wolverhampton (H)1–01565+31528
30 Aug 2025Leeds United (A)0–0156201528
25 Aug 2025Liverpool (H)2–31562−41528
16 Aug 2025Aston Villa (A)0–01566+11528
25 May 2025Everton (H)0–11566−71516
18 May 2025Arsenal (A)0–11573−31516
11 May 2025Chelsea (H)2–01576+71516
4 May 2025Brighton Hove (A)1–1156901516
26 Apr 2025Ipswich Town (H)3–01569+41516
19 Apr 2025Aston Villa (A)1–41565−81516
16 Apr 2025Crystal Palace (H)5–01573+71516
13 Apr 2025Man United (H)4–11566+61516
7 Apr 2025Leicester City (A)3–01560+61516
2 Apr 2025Brentford (H)2–11554+31516
10 Mar 2025West Ham (A)1–01550+51516
26 Feb 2025Liverpool (A)0–21546−41516
23 Feb 2025Nottingham (H)4–31550+41516
15 Feb 2025Man City (A)0–41546−61516
1 Feb 2025Fulham (H)1–21552−61516
25 Jan 2025Southampton (A)3–11558+61516
18 Jan 2025Bournemouth (H)1–41553−111516
15 Jan 2025Wolverhampton (H)3–01564+51516
4 Jan 2025Tottenham (A)2–11559+51516
30 Dec 2024Man United (A)2–01554+81516
26 Dec 2024Aston Villa (H)3–01546+81516
21 Dec 2024Ipswich Town (A)4–01538+91516
14 Dec 2024Leicester City (H)4–01530+71516
7 Dec 2024Brentford (A)2–41523−81516
4 Dec 2024Liverpool (H)3–31530+11516
30 Nov 2024Crystal Palace (A)1–1152901516
25 Nov 2024West Ham (H)0–21529−101516
10 Nov 2024Nottingham (A)3–11539+81516
2 Nov 2024Arsenal (H)1–01532+61516
27 Oct 2024Chelsea (A)1–21526−41516
19 Oct 2024Brighton Hove (H)0–11530−61516
5 Oct 2024Everton (A)0–0153601516
28 Sep 2024Man City (H)1–11536+11516
21 Sep 2024Fulham (A)1–31535−81516
15 Sep 2024Wolverhampton (A)2–11543+41516
1 Sep 2024Tottenham (H)2–11539+41516
25 Aug 2024Bournemouth (A)1–1153401516
17 Aug 2024Southampton (H)1–01534+41516
19 May 2024Brentford (A)4–21530+71500
15 May 2024Man United (A)2–31523−51500
11 May 2024Brighton Hove (H)1–11528−11500
4 May 2024Burnley (A)4–11529+81500
27 Apr 2024Sheffield Utd (H)5–11521+51500
24 Apr 2024Crystal Palace (A)0–21517−81500
13 Apr 2024Tottenham (H)4–01524+91500
6 Apr 2024Fulham (A)1–01515+51500
2 Apr 2024Everton (H)1–11510−11500
30 Mar 2024West Ham (H)4–31511+41500
11 Mar 2024Chelsea (A)2–31507−41500
2 Mar 2024Wolverhampton (H)3–01511+81500
24 Feb 2024Arsenal (A)1–41504−61500
17 Feb 2024Bournemouth (H)2–21510−11500
10 Feb 2024Nottingham (A)3–21511+51500
3 Feb 2024Luton Town (H)4–41505−11500
30 Jan 2024Aston Villa (A)3–11507+101500
13 Jan 2024Man City (H)2–31497−51500
1 Jan 2024Liverpool (A)2–41502−51500
26 Dec 2023Nottingham (H)1–31507−101500
23 Dec 2023Luton Town (A)0–11517−51500
16 Dec 2023Fulham (H)3–01522+71500
10 Dec 2023Tottenham (A)1–41515−81500
7 Dec 2023Everton (A)0–31523−91500
2 Dec 2023Man United (H)1–01531+41500
25 Nov 2023Chelsea (H)4–11527+71500
11 Nov 2023Bournemouth (A)0–21520−81500
4 Nov 2023Arsenal (H)1–01528+51500
28 Oct 2023Wolverhampton (A)2–2152401500
21 Oct 2023Crystal Palace (H)4–01523+81500
8 Oct 2023West Ham (A)2–21516+11500
30 Sep 2023Burnley (H)2–01515+61500
24 Sep 2023Sheffield Utd (A)8–01509+131500
16 Sep 2023Brentford (H)1–01496+51500
2 Sep 2023Brighton Hove (A)1–31492−61500
27 Aug 2023Liverpool (H)1–21498−61500
19 Aug 2023Man City (A)0–11504−41500
12 Aug 2023Aston Villa (H)5–11508—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

Newcastle United FCleague, last 12 months · n = 374

league · Wins: 268 of 748 (36%)league · Scores: 558 of 748 (75%)league · 3+ goals: 205 of 374 (55%)league · Both teams score: 210 of 374 (56%)league · Concedes: 558 of 748 (75%)league · Leads at half-time: 225 of 748 (30%)team · Wins: 7 of 20 (35%)team · Scores: 17 of 20 (85%)team · 3+ goals: 14 of 20 (70%)team · Both teams score: 15 of 20 (75%)team · Concedes: 18 of 20 (90%)team · Leads at half-time: 8 of 20 (40%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
Newcastle United FCleague
Winswon the match35%7 of 2018–57%36%268 of 74832–39%
Scoresscored at least once85%17 of 2064–95%75%558 of 74871–78%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)70%14 of 2048–85%55%205 of 37450–60%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)75%15 of 2053–89%56%210 of 37451–61%
Concedesconceded at least once90%18 of 2070–97%75%558 of 74871–78%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)40%8 of 2022–61%30%225 of 74827–33%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

DLWLL
4points
0.80per match
1-1-3W-D-L
6scored
12conceded

Last 7 matches n = 7

DWDLWLL
8points
1.14per match
2-2-3W-D-L
10scored
14conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 7

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

0unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 3
0scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 6
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 1
0both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 4

Goals: home and away n = 7

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches71.43league 1.422.00league 1.4271%5 of 7 · league 52%71%5 of 7 · league 52%14%1 of 7 · league 27%14%1 of 7 · league 27%
Home41.50league 1.571.50league 1.2775%3 of 4 · league 52%75%3 of 4 · league 52%0%0 of 4 · league 25%25%1 of 4 · league 29%
Away31.33league 1.272.67league 1.5767%2 of 3 · league 52%67%2 of 3 · league 52%33%1 of 3 · league 29%0%0 of 3 · league 25%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

Not enough data yet (7 of 8 matches needed).

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 2

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Matthias Jaissle5 Aug 2026now71.14
Eddie Howe8 Nov 202130 Jul 20261141.54
Whole period in our database12 Aug 202317 Oct 20261211.51

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 7

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

17 Oct 2026HomeHAston Villa FC0–1
12 Oct 2026AwayACoventry City FC1–4
19 Sep 2026HomeHHull City AFC2–1
14 Sep 2026AwayALeeds United FC1–4
5 Sep 2026HomeHAFC Bournemouth2–2
29 Aug 2026AwayATottenham Hotspur FC2–0
23 Aug 2026HomeHLiverpool FC2–2

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

AwayACrystal Palace FC
HomeHEverton FC
AwayAFulham FC
HomeHArsenal FC
AwayABrighton & Hove Albion FC

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 8

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Anthony Elanga23——
Joe Willock27——
Jacob Ramsey14——
Bazoumana Touré17——
Harvey Barnes17—2
Lewis Hall17—1
Sven Botman17——
Yoane Wissa17—1

The players in the list have 10 goals between them; the team has scored 10 in the league. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 18

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026