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Nottingham Forest FC

Premier League · season 2026-27 · 8 matches

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18League position18 of 20 in the regular season table (6 points, 8 played).
1498Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 15 of 20 in Premier League. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Nottingham18th of 20Poor form 0 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5WLLLDPoints rate · last 1023%league 45%Goal difference −5 in the last 10 · Elo −10.1 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Nothing above the league rate in the cautious reading.
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

Brentford FC – Nottingham Forest FC

· Away

47%1≈ 1 in 2.13
27%X≈ 1 in 3.64
26%2≈ 1 in 3.89

Explore Nottingham Forest FC

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator15%chance of finishing in the bottom 3Where does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.61difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time77%won after leading at half-time (23 of 30)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model1upset in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 0.9)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores1–1the team's most common score (18 of 122 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers2Dan Ndoye, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1498Elo rating: #15 in Premier LeagueHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 122

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1498now
1530highest1 Apr 2025
1446lowest28 Apr 2024
−19last 10 matches
Nottingham Forest FCleague average (teams of the same season)
1440146014801500152015402023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
23 Oct 2026Ipswich Town (A)1–11498−11538
18 Oct 2026Arsenal (H)0–11499−31538
11 Oct 2026Crystal Palace (A)1–31501−71538
19 Sep 2026Coventry City (H)0–11508−61538
12 Sep 2026Aston Villa (A)2–11514+61538
5 Sep 2026Tottenham (H)0–01508−11538
29 Aug 2026Liverpool (A)2–21509+21538
22 Aug 2026Leeds United (H)0–11507−61538
24 May 2026Bournemouth (H)1–1151301528
17 May 2026Man United (A)2–31513−41528
10 May 2026Newcastle (H)1–1151701528
4 May 2026Chelsea (A)3–11517+101528
24 Apr 2026Sunderland (A)5–01508+121528
19 Apr 2026Burnley (H)4–11496+51528
12 Apr 2026Aston Villa (H)1–1149101528
22 Mar 2026Tottenham (A)3–01491+101528
15 Mar 2026Fulham (H)0–0148101528
4 Mar 2026Man City (A)2–21482+31528
1 Mar 2026Brighton Hove (A)1–21478−41528
22 Feb 2026Liverpool (H)0–11482−41528
11 Feb 2026Wolverhampton (H)0–01486−21528
6 Feb 2026Leeds United (A)1–31488−61528
1 Feb 2026Crystal Palace (H)1–1149401528
25 Jan 2026Brentford (A)2–01495+91528
17 Jan 2026Arsenal (H)0–01485+21528
6 Jan 2026West Ham (A)2–11483+51528
3 Jan 2026Aston Villa (A)1–31478−41528
30 Dec 2025Everton (H)0–21482−81528
27 Dec 2025Man City (H)1–21490−31528
22 Dec 2025Fulham (A)0–11494−41528
14 Dec 2025Tottenham (H)3–01498+81528
6 Dec 2025Everton (A)0–31490−71528
3 Dec 2025Wolverhampton (A)1–01497+41528
30 Nov 2025Brighton Hove (H)0–21493−81528
22 Nov 2025Liverpool (A)3–01501+141528
9 Nov 2025Leeds United (H)3–11487+71528
1 Nov 2025Man United (H)2–21481−11528
26 Oct 2025Bournemouth (A)0–21481−51528
18 Oct 2025Chelsea (H)0–31487−81528
5 Oct 2025Newcastle (A)0–21494−51528
27 Sep 2025Sunderland (H)0–11500−61528
20 Sep 2025Burnley (A)1–11505−11528
13 Sep 2025Arsenal (A)0–31506−41528
31 Aug 2025West Ham (H)0–31510−121528
24 Aug 2025Crystal Palace (A)1–11522+11528
17 Aug 2025Brentford (H)3–11521+61528
25 May 2025Chelsea (H)0–11515−51516
18 May 2025West Ham (A)2–11520+51516
11 May 2025Leicester City (H)2–21515−21516
5 May 2025Crystal Palace (A)1–11517+11516
1 May 2025Brentford (H)0–21516−91516
21 Apr 2025Tottenham (A)2–11526+61516
12 Apr 2025Everton (H)0–11520−61516
5 Apr 2025Aston Villa (A)1–21526−41516
1 Apr 2025Man United (H)1–01530+41516
15 Mar 2025Ipswich Town (A)4–21526+71516
8 Mar 2025Man City (H)1–01520+61516
26 Feb 2025Arsenal (H)0–01514+11516
23 Feb 2025Newcastle (A)3–41513−41516
15 Feb 2025Fulham (A)1–21516−41516
1 Feb 2025Brighton Hove (H)7–01521+91516
25 Jan 2025Bournemouth (A)0–51511−81516
19 Jan 2025Southampton (H)3–21520+31516
14 Jan 2025Liverpool (H)1–11517+11516
6 Jan 2025Wolverhampton (A)3–01516+91516
29 Dec 2024Everton (A)2–01507+81516
26 Dec 2024Tottenham (H)1–01499+51516
21 Dec 2024Brentford (A)2–01494+81516
14 Dec 2024Aston Villa (H)2–11485+51516
7 Dec 2024Man United (A)3–21480+61516
4 Dec 2024Man City (A)0–31474−41516
30 Nov 2024Ipswich Town (H)1–01478+41516
23 Nov 2024Arsenal (A)0–31474−41516
10 Nov 2024Newcastle (H)1–31478−81516
2 Nov 2024West Ham (H)3–01486+81516
25 Oct 2024Leicester City (A)3–11478+91516
21 Oct 2024Crystal Palace (H)1–01469+51516
6 Oct 2024Chelsea (A)1–11464+21516
28 Sep 2024Fulham (H)0–11462−51516
22 Sep 2024Brighton Hove (A)2–21468+11516
14 Sep 2024Liverpool (A)1–01467+81516
31 Aug 2024Wolverhampton (H)1–11459−11516
24 Aug 2024Southampton (A)1–01460+61516
17 Aug 2024Bournemouth (H)1–1145401516
19 May 2024Burnley (A)2–11454+51500
11 May 2024Chelsea (H)2–31449−51500
4 May 2024Sheffield Utd (A)3–11453+71500
28 Apr 2024Man City (H)0–21446−51500
21 Apr 2024Everton (A)0–21451−61500
13 Apr 2024Wolverhampton (H)2–2145801500
7 Apr 2024Tottenham (A)1–31458−51500
2 Apr 2024Fulham (H)3–11462+71500
30 Mar 2024Crystal Palace (H)1–11455−11500
16 Mar 2024Luton Town (A)1–11456+11500
10 Mar 2024Brighton Hove (A)0–11455−41500
2 Mar 2024Liverpool (H)0–11459−41500
24 Feb 2024Aston Villa (A)2–41463−51500
17 Feb 2024West Ham (H)2–01468+71500
10 Feb 2024Newcastle (H)2–31460−51500
4 Feb 2024Bournemouth (A)1–11466+11500
30 Jan 2024Arsenal (H)1–21464−51500
20 Jan 2024Brentford (A)2–31469−41500
30 Dec 2023Man United (H)2–11473+51500
26 Dec 2023Newcastle (A)3–11469+101500
23 Dec 2023Bournemouth (H)2–31459−51500
15 Dec 2023Tottenham (H)0–21464−71500
9 Dec 2023Wolverhampton (A)1–11472+11500
6 Dec 2023Fulham (A)0–51471−91500
2 Dec 2023Everton (H)0–11479−61500
25 Nov 2023Brighton Hove (H)2–31485−51500
12 Nov 2023West Ham (A)2–31490−41500
5 Nov 2023Aston Villa (H)2–01495+71500
29 Oct 2023Liverpool (A)0–31487−61500
21 Oct 2023Luton Town (H)2–21494−11500
7 Oct 2023Crystal Palace (A)0–01495+11500
1 Oct 2023Brentford (H)1–11494−11500
23 Sep 2023Man City (A)0–21495−61500
18 Sep 2023Burnley (H)1–11500−11500
2 Sep 2023Chelsea (A)1–01501+61500
26 Aug 2023Man United (A)2–31496−41500
18 Aug 2023Sheffield Utd (H)2–11500+41500
12 Aug 2023Arsenal (A)1–21496—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

Nottingham Forest FCleague, last 12 months · n = 374

league · Wins: 268 of 748 (36%)league · Scores: 558 of 748 (75%)league · 3+ goals: 205 of 374 (55%)league · Both teams score: 210 of 374 (56%)league · Concedes: 558 of 748 (75%)league · Leads at half-time: 225 of 748 (30%)team · Wins: 5 of 20 (25%)team · Scores: 14 of 20 (70%)team · 3+ goals: 10 of 20 (50%)team · Both teams score: 12 of 20 (60%)team · Concedes: 16 of 20 (80%)team · Leads at half-time: 5 of 20 (25%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
Nottingham Forest FCleague
Winswon the match25%5 of 2011–47%36%268 of 74832–39%
Scoresscored at least once70%14 of 2048–85%75%558 of 74871–78%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)50%10 of 2030–70%55%205 of 37450–60%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)60%12 of 2039–78%56%210 of 37451–61%
Concedesconceded at least once80%16 of 2058–92%75%558 of 74871–78%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)25%5 of 2011–47%30%225 of 74827–33%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

WLLLD
4points
0.80per match
1-1-3W-D-L
4scored
7conceded

Last 8 matches n = 8

LDDWLLLD
6points
0.75per match
1-3-4W-D-L
6scored
10conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 8

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

1unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 3
1scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 1
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 1
1both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 1

Goals: home and away n = 8

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches80.75league 1.421.25league 1.4250%4 of 8 · league 52%38%3 of 8 · league 52%12%1 of 8 · league 27%50%4 of 8 · league 27%
Home40.00league 1.570.75league 1.270%0 of 4 · league 52%0%0 of 4 · league 52%25%1 of 4 · league 25%100%4 of 4 · league 29%
Away41.50league 1.271.75league 1.57100%4 of 4 · league 52%75%3 of 4 · league 52%0%0 of 4 · league 29%0%0 of 4 · league 25%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half n = 8

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

scoredconcededscored per matchconceded per match
1st half330.380.38
2nd half370.380.88

From half-time scores, 8 matches.

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 6

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Oliver Glasner6 Jul 2026now80.75
Vítor Pereira15 Feb 20261 Jul 2026121.42
Sean Dyche21 Oct 202512 Feb 2026181.22
Ange Postecoglou9 Sep 202518 Oct 202550.20
Nuno Espírito Santo20 Dec 20239 Sep 2025621.47
Steve Cooper21 Sep 202119 Dec 2023170.82
Whole period in our database12 Aug 202323 Oct 20261221.24

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 8

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

23 Oct 2026AwayAIpswich Town FC1–1
18 Oct 2026HomeHArsenal FC0–1
11 Oct 2026AwayACrystal Palace FC1–3
19 Sep 2026HomeHCoventry City FC0–1
12 Sep 2026AwayAAston Villa FC2–1
5 Sep 2026HomeHTottenham Hotspur FC0–0
29 Aug 2026AwayALiverpool FC2–2
22 Aug 2026HomeHLeeds United FC0–1

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

AwayABrentford FC
HomeHManchester City FC
AwayAAFC Bournemouth
HomeHChelsea FC
AwayAHull City AFC

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 5

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Dan Ndoye28——
Igor Jesus15——
Liam Delap17——
Morgan Gibbs-White1712
Neco Williams18——

The players in the list have 6 goals between them; the team has scored 6 in the league. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 19

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026