RadarPremier League · Matchday 6
2026-27 · 10 Oct 2026 – 12 Oct 2026 ← matchday 5 matchday 7 →
Round on radar: all leagues, before and after
Results 10 played
Every match of the round with the final score. Matches not yet played are shown as postponed.
kick-off (UTC).
The round in numbers
The round's figures against the season average before it: goals per match, how often both teams scored, how often there were at least 3 goals, and how results split between home wins, draws and away wins.
Table moves
How the table changed: each team's position before and after the round. At the top, the biggest climbs and drops.
| Team | before → after | pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea FC | 10 → 6 | +4 | 10 |
| Coventry City FC | 18 → 14 | +4 | 6 |
| Crystal Palace FC | 15 → 12 | +3 | 7 |
| Liverpool FC | 6 → 9 | -3 | 9 |
| Sunderland AFC | 14 → 17 | -3 | 4 |
| Leeds United FC | 5 → 7 | -2 | 9 |
Elo moves
The Elo rating before and after the round. It rises when a team gets more from a match than expected and falls when it gets less; beating a strong opponent moves it more than beating a weak one.
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry City FC | 1485 → 1494 | +8.9 |
| Manchester City FC | 1700 → 1708 | +8.2 |
| Chelsea FC | 1550 → 1557 | +7.9 |
| Newcastle United FC | 1540 → 1531 | -8.9 |
| Liverpool FC | 1629 → 1621 | -8.2 |
| AFC Bournemouth | 1544 → 1536 | -7.9 |
Streaks ended and new records
Streaks of at least 5 matches that ended in this round, and streaks that became a new own record (the longest in our database for that team).
| Team | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool FC | unbeaten | 6 | ended |
| Leeds United FC | unbeaten | 5 | ended |
| Manchester City FC | scoring | 22 | new own record old record: 21 |
| Chelsea FC | conceding | 22 | new own record old record: 21 |
| Brentford FC | unbeaten | 8 | new own record old record: 7 |
| Fulham FC | winless | 6 | new own record old record: 5 |
What the model said 4 of 8 hit · Brier 0.6319
Only estimates frozen within the last hour before each match; nothing recomputed afterwards. “Hit” = the most probable result was the real one. The round's Brier score: 0 = perfect, 0.6667 = random guessing. “Surprise” = how unlikely the real result was for the model (higher = more surprising).
| result | 1 / X / 2 | model's pick | surprise | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town – Fulham | 2–1 | 23% / 26% / 52% | 2 · miss | 1.49 |
| Man United – Tottenham | 1–1 | 56% / 24% / 20% | 1 · miss | 1.43 |
| Aston Villa – Brentford | 2–2 | 38% / 27% / 35% | 1 · miss | 1.30 |
| Crystal Palace – Nottingham | 3–1 | 32% / 31% / 37% | 2 · miss | 1.14 |
| Chelsea – Bournemouth | 5–1 | 42% / 26% / 31% | 1 · hit | 0.86 |
| Liverpool – Man City | 0–3 | 31% / 26% / 43% | 2 · hit | 0.85 |
| Sunderland – Brighton Hove | 0–2 | 28% / 28% / 44% | 2 · hit | 0.81 |
| Arsenal – Leeds United | 2–1 | 61% / 26% / 13% | 1 · hit | 0.49 |
How the chances moved
The difference between the simulator's chances before the round and after it: who gained and who lost the most for 1st place, the top 4 and the bottom 3.
1st place
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City FC | 54% → 61% | +8 pp |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 1% → 2% | +0 pp |
| Fulham FC | 0% → 0% | 0 pp |
| Arsenal FC | 43% → 36% | -6 pp |
| Liverpool FC | 2% → 0% | -1 pp |
| Brentford FC | 0% → 0% | -0 pp |
top 4
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 49% → 66% | +17 pp |
| Chelsea FC | 14% → 26% | +13 pp |
| Hull City AFC | 17% → 19% | +2 pp |
| Liverpool FC | 51% → 35% | -16 pp |
| Newcastle United FC | 11% → 5% | -6 pp |
| AFC Bournemouth | 5% → 2% | -3 pp |
bottom 3
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Fulham FC | 23% → 44% | +21 pp |
| Sunderland AFC | 19% → 37% | +17 pp |
| AFC Bournemouth | 3% → 10% | +6 pp |
| Coventry City FC | 64% → 19% | -45 pp |
| Crystal Palace FC | 32% → 21% | -10 pp |
| Ipswich Town FC | 94% → 88% | -6 pp |
run before: 10 Oct 2026 11:17 · run after: 13 Oct 2026 06:05
Updated 25 Oct 2026 06:37