RadarPremier League · Matchday 4
2026-27 · 12 Sep 2026 – 14 Sep 2026 ← matchday 3 matchday 5 →
Round on radar: all leagues, before and after
Results 10 played
Every match of the round with the final score. Matches not yet played are shown as postponed.
kick-off (UTC).
The round in numbers
The round's figures against the season average before it: goals per match, how often both teams scored, how often there were at least 3 goals, and how results split between home wins, draws and away wins.
Table moves
How the table changed: each team's position before and after the round. At the top, the biggest climbs and drops.
| Team | before → after | pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United FC | 9 → 3 | +6 | 8 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 10 → 5 | +5 | 7 |
| Nottingham Forest FC | 16 → 11 | +5 | 5 |
| Newcastle United FC | 7 → 12 | -5 | 5 |
| Crystal Palace FC | 13 → 16 | -3 | 3 |
| Chelsea FC | 4 → 6 | -2 | 7 |
Elo moves
The Elo rating before and after the round. It rises when a team gets more from a match than expected and falls when it gets less; beating a strong opponent moves it more than beating a weak one.
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 1540 → 1550 | +10.0 |
| Leeds United FC | 1513 → 1521 | +8.3 |
| Ipswich Town FC | 1396 → 1403 | +7.0 |
| Coventry City FC | 1489 → 1479 | -10.0 |
| Newcastle United FC | 1544 → 1536 | -8.3 |
| Crystal Palace FC | 1498 → 1491 | -7.1 |
Streaks ended and new records
Streaks of at least 5 matches that ended in this round, and streaks that became a new own record (the longest in our database for that team).
| Team | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool FC | scoring | 20 | ended |
| Nottingham Forest FC | winless | 6 | ended |
| Sunderland AFC | scoring | 5 | ended |
| Arsenal FC | scoring | 20 | new own record old record: 19 |
| Chelsea FC | conceding | 20 | new own record old record: 19 |
| AFC Bournemouth | scoring | 12 | new own record old record: 11 |
| Arsenal FC | wins in a row | 9 | new own record old record: 8 |
What the model said
Only estimates frozen within the last hour before each match; nothing recomputed afterwards. “Hit” = the most probable result was the real one. The round's Brier score: 0 = perfect, 0.6667 = random guessing. “Surprise” = how unlikely the real result was for the model (higher = more surprising).
No estimate was frozen before the matches of this round. The model was published on 24 Sep 2026; estimates are frozen within the last hour before each match, starting with the first round after publication.
How the chances moved
The difference between the simulator's chances before the round and after it: who gained and who lost the most for 1st place, the top 4 and the bottom 3.
No simulator run before this round; the comparison appears from the first round with a run before and one after.
Updated 25 Oct 2026 06:37