RadarPremier League · Matchday 8
2026-27 · 23 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026 ← matchday 7
Round on radar: all leagues, before and after
Results 5 played · 5 postponed
Every match of the round with the final score. Matches not yet played are shown as postponed.
kick-off (UTC).
The round in numbers
The round's figures against the season average before it: goals per match, how often both teams scored, how often there were at least 3 goals, and how results split between home wins, draws and away wins.
Table moves
How the table changed: each team's position before and after the round. At the top, the biggest climbs and drops.
| Team | before → after | pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa FC | 12 → 6 | +6 | 11 |
| Fulham FC | 18 → 13 | +5 | 8 |
| Tottenham Hotspur FC | 16 → 12 | +4 | 9 |
| Newcastle United FC | 11 → 14 | -3 | 8 |
| Hull City AFC | 9 → 11 | -2 | 9 |
| Manchester United FC | 13 → 15 | -2 | 7 |
Elo moves
The Elo rating before and after the round. It rises when a team gets more from a match than expected and falls when it gets less; beating a strong opponent moves it more than beating a weak one.
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Tottenham Hotspur FC | 1462 → 1472 | +10.6 |
| Aston Villa FC | 1563 → 1569 | +6.3 |
| Fulham FC | 1493 → 1499 | +5.6 |
| Chelsea FC | 1565 → 1554 | -10.6 |
| Manchester City FC | 1709 → 1703 | -6.3 |
| Coventry City FC | 1487 → 1481 | -5.6 |
Streaks ended and new records
Streaks of at least 5 matches that ended in this round, and streaks that became a new own record (the longest in our database for that team).
| Team | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City FC | unbeaten | 7 | ended |
| Manchester City FC | wins in a row | 7 | ended |
| Manchester City FC | scoring | 24 | new own record old record: 23 |
What the model said 1 of 4 hit · Brier 0.7584
Only estimates frozen within the last hour before each match; nothing recomputed afterwards. “Hit” = the most probable result was the real one. The round's Brier score: 0 = perfect, 0.6667 = random guessing. “Surprise” = how unlikely the real result was for the model (higher = more surprising).
| result | 1 / X / 2 | model's pick | surprise | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea – Tottenham | 0–2 | 58% / 23% / 19% | 1 · miss | 1.64 |
| Aston Villa – Man City | 2–1 | 23% / 26% / 51% | 2 · miss | 1.45 |
| Ipswich Town – Nottingham | 1–1 | 24% / 25% / 50% | 2 · miss | 1.37 |
| Arsenal – Everton | 2–0 | 63% / 26% / 12% | 1 · hit | 0.47 |
How the chances moved
The difference between the simulator's chances before the round and after it: who gained and who lost the most for 1st place, the top 4 and the bottom 3.
1st place
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal FC | 43% → 53% | +10 pp |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 3% → 4% | +1 pp |
| Liverpool FC | 0% → 1% | +0 pp |
| Manchester City FC | 52% → 41% | -11 pp |
| Manchester United FC | 0% → 0% | -0 pp |
| AFC Bournemouth | 0% → 0% | -0 pp |
top 4
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa FC | 5% → 10% | +5 pp |
| Brentford FC | 12% → 12% | +0 pp |
| AFC Bournemouth | 2% → 3% | +0 pp |
| Chelsea FC | 38% → 36% | -2 pp |
| Liverpool FC | 45% → 44% | -1 pp |
| Manchester City FC | 99% → 99% | -1 pp |
bottom 3
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry City FC | 41% → 63% | +21 pp |
| Nottingham Forest FC | 12% → 15% | +3 pp |
| Everton FC | 5% → 5% | +0 pp |
| Fulham FC | 28% → 16% | -12 pp |
| Ipswich Town FC | 81% → 78% | -3 pp |
| Crystal Palace FC | 33% → 31% | -2 pp |
run before: 23 Oct 2026 06:05 · run after: 24 Oct 2026 23:17
Updated 25 Oct 2026 06:37