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Premier League · Matchday 1

2026-27 · 21 Aug 2026 – 24 Aug 2026 matchday 2 →

Round on radar: all leagues, before and after

Results 10 played

Every match of the round with the final score. Matches not yet played are shown as postponed.

The round in numbers

The round's figures against the season average before it: goals per match, how often both teams scored, how often there were at least 3 goals, and how results split between home wins, draws and away wins.

30goals3.00 per match
40.0%both teams scored
70.0%3+ goals
7 / 1 / 2home / draw / away

Table moves

How the table changed: each team's position before and after the round. At the top, the biggest climbs and drops.

Teambefore → afterpts

Elo moves

The Elo rating before and after the round. It rises when a team gets more from a match than expected and falls when it gets less; beating a strong opponent moves it more than beating a weak one.

Teambefore → afterΔ
Brighton & Hove Albion FC1536 → 1545+9.0
Everton FC1501 → 1507+6.5
Brentford FC1522 → 1528+6.2
Aston Villa FC1573 → 1564-9.0
Manchester United FC1566 → 1558-7.8
Crystal Palace FC1504 → 1497-6.5

Streaks ended and new records

Streaks of at least 5 matches that ended in this round, and streaks that became a new own record (the longest in our database for that team).

Team
AFC Bournemouthunbeaten18ended
Ipswich Town FCwinless8ended
Nottingham Forest FCscoring8ended
Everton FCwinless7ended
Everton FCconceding7ended
Manchester United FCunbeaten6ended
Crystal Palace FC3+ goals6ended
Tottenham Hotspur FCscoring6ended
Chelsea FCconceding17new own record old record: 16

What the model said

Only estimates frozen within the last hour before each match; nothing recomputed afterwards. “Hit” = the most probable result was the real one. The round's Brier score: 0 = perfect, 0.6667 = random guessing. “Surprise” = how unlikely the real result was for the model (higher = more surprising).

No estimate was frozen before the matches of this round. The model was published on 24 Sep 2026; estimates are frozen within the last hour before each match, starting with the first round after publication.

How the chances moved

The difference between the simulator's chances before the round and after it: who gained and who lost the most for 1st place, the top 4 and the bottom 3.

No simulator run before this round; the comparison appears from the first round with a run before and one after.

Updated 25 Oct 2026 06:37