Every match of the day in the leagues we follow, in your time zone, with the numbers the site already shows on each match's page: the model's estimate, what the result can change for the season, ongoing streaks, rest and the teams' radar. Nothing here recommends a result.
14:00 UTC · Ligue 1
Model estimate
40% Home ≈ 1 in 2.52
28% Draw ≈ 1 in 3.52
32% Away ≈ 1 in 3.13
provisional, frozen in the last hour before kick-off
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 76 pp
Monaco · top 4: 54% now → 64% with a win, 52% with a draw, 44% with a defeatLille · top 4: 43% now → 54% with a win, 44% with a draw, 35% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Monaco : 5 conceding (team record 9)Lille : 7 scoring (team record 10)What stands out
Lille score: 9 of 10 in the team's last 10 matches (league 69%)2+ goals: 14 of 19 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 74%) 1st half: 1+ goal: 14 of 19 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 71%) Context
days since the last match: Monaco 6, Lille 3 matches in the last 7 days: Monaco 1, Lille 1 forecast: 17 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 5 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Monaco Lille league · n = 298
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time Replay the match 10,000 times Match page → + Monaco to my teams + Lille to my teams
11:30 UTC · Serie A
Model estimate
72% Home ≈ 1 in 1.40
16% Draw ≈ 1 in 6.07
12% Away ≈ 1 in 8.38
provisional, frozen in the last hour before kick-off
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 23 pp
Inter · title: 76% now → 79% with a win, 71% with a draw, 66% with a defeatFiorentina · bottom 3: 6% now → 3% with a win, 5% with a draw, 7% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Inter : 17 scoring (team record 34)Inter : 17 unbeaten (team record 28)Inter : 5 3+ goals (team record 5)Fiorentina : 8 conceding (team record 12)Fiorentina : 5 both teams score (team record 7)Fiorentina : 5 scoring (team record 9)Fiorentina : 3 winless (team record 15)What stands out
Inter score: 10 of 10 in the team's last 10 matches (league 71%)2+ goals: 18 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 74%) 1st half: 1+ goal: 16 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 66%) Draw or 3+ goals: 18 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 66%) Context
days since the last match: Inter 3, Fiorentina 6 matches in the last 7 days: Inter 1, Fiorentina 1 forecast: 12 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 6 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Inter Fiorentina league · n = 384
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time Replay the match 10,000 times Match page → + Inter to my teams + Fiorentina to my teams
13:00 UTC · La Liga
Model estimate
44% Home ≈ 1 in 2.29
36% Draw ≈ 1 in 2.78
20% Away ≈ 1 in 4.93
provisional, frozen in the last hour before kick-off
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 31 pp
Athletic · top 6: 12% now → 16% with a win, 10% with a draw, 8% with a defeatGetafe · bottom 3: 25% now → 17% with a win, 24% with a draw, 29% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Athletic : 4 winless (team record 6)Context
days since the last match: Athletic 3, Getafe 5 matches in the last 7 days: Athletic 1, Getafe 1 forecast: 20 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 9 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Athletic Getafe league · n = 382
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time Replay the match 10,000 times Match page → + Athletic to my teams + Getafe to my teams
14:00 UTC · Premier League
Model estimate
41% Home ≈ 1 in 2.42
25% Draw ≈ 1 in 3.92
33% Away ≈ 1 in 3.02
provisional, frozen in the last hour before kick-off
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 52 pp
Liverpool · top 4: 47% now → 56% with a win, 45% with a draw, 39% with a defeatBrighton Hove · top 4: 80% now → 88% with a win, 79% with a draw, 73% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Brighton Hove : 7 scoring (team record 16)Brighton Hove : 5 unbeaten (team record 6)Brighton Hove : 4 clean sheets (team record 4)Brighton Hove : 4 wins in a row (team record 4)What stands out
2+ goals: 17 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 79%) Draw or 3+ goals: 16 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 74%) Context
days since the last match: Liverpool 4, Brighton Hove 7 matches in the last 7 days: Liverpool 1, Brighton Hove 0 forecast: 11 °C, 0.1 mm, wind 38 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Liverpool Brighton Hove league · n = 374
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time Replay the match 10,000 times Match page → + Liverpool to my teams + Brighton Hove to my teams
14:00 UTC · Premier League
Model estimate
34% Home ≈ 1 in 2.92
27% Draw ≈ 1 in 3.76
39% Away ≈ 1 in 2.56
provisional, frozen in the last hour before kick-off
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 34 pp
Crystal Palace · bottom 3: 33% now → 25% with a win, 35% with a draw, 38% with a defeatNewcastle · top 6: 10% now → 14% with a win, 9% with a draw, 6% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Newcastle : 5 conceding (team record 12)What stands out
2+ goals: 18 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 79%) 1st half: 1+ goal: 17 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 70%) Draw or 3+ goals: 16 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 74%) Context
days since the last match: Crystal Palace 7, Newcastle 7 matches in the last 7 days: Crystal Palace 0, Newcastle 0 forecast: 13 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 34 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Crystal Palace Newcastle league · n = 374
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time Replay the match 10,000 times Match page → + Crystal Palace to my teams + Newcastle to my teams
14:00 UTC · Premier League
Model estimate
45% Home ≈ 1 in 2.20
26% Draw ≈ 1 in 3.86
29% Away ≈ 1 in 3.49
provisional, frozen in the last hour before kick-off
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 40 pp
Man United · top 6: 23% now → 28% with a win, 21% with a draw, 16% with a defeatBournemouth · top 6: 12% now → 18% with a win, 11% with a draw, 9% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Man United : 7 conceding (team record 10)Man United : 5 winless (team record 8)Man United : 3 both teams score (team record 6)Man United : 3 scoring (team record 23)Man United : 3 unbeaten (team record 11)What stands out
Bournemouth score: 9 of 10 in the team's last 10 matches (league 73%)2+ goals: 16 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 79%) Draw or 3+ goals: 15 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 74%) Context
days since the last match: Man United 3, Bournemouth 7 matches in the last 7 days: Man United 1, Bournemouth 0 forecast: 11 °C, 0.1 mm, wind 34 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Man United Bournemouth league · n = 374
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time Replay the match 10,000 times Match page → + Man United to my teams + Bournemouth to my teams
14:00 UTC · Premier League
No estimate yet: a team has too few matches in the model window or the match is too far away.
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 47 pp
Hull City · top 6: 20% now → 26% with a win, 17% with a draw, 13% with a defeatBrentford · top 6: 40% now → 48% with a win, 39% with a draw, 33% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Hull City : 5 winless (team record 5)Hull City : 4 conceding (team record 4)Brentford : 9 scoring (team record 13)Brentford : 4 3+ goals (team record 6)What stands out
Brentford score: 9 of 10 in the team's last 10 matches (league 73%)2+ goals: 14 of 17 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 79%) Draw or 3+ goals: 14 of 17 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 74%) Context
days since the last match: Hull City 8, Brentford 8 matches in the last 7 days: Hull City 0, Brentford 0 forecast: 12 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 37 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Hull City Brentford league · n = 374
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time radar: not enough data for Hull City
Match page → + Hull City to my teams + Brentford to my teams
14:00 UTC · Serie A
No estimate yet: a team has too few matches in the model window or the match is too far away.
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 57 pp
Atalanta · top 6: 40% now → 48% with a win, 38% with a draw, 30% with a defeatFrosinone · top 6: 41% now → 50% with a win, 41% with a draw, 35% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Atalanta : 5 conceding (team record 7)What stands out
2+ goals: 14 of 17 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 74%) 1st half: 1+ goal: 14 of 17 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 66%) Context
days since the last match: Atalanta 6, Frosinone 8 matches in the last 7 days: Atalanta 1, Frosinone 0 forecast: 14 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 7 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Atalanta Frosinone league · n = 382
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time radar: not enough data for Frosinone
Match page → + Atalanta to my teams + Frosinone to my teams
14:00 UTC · Serie A
Model estimate
48% Home ≈ 1 in 2.09
28% Draw ≈ 1 in 3.55
24% Away ≈ 1 in 4.16
provisional, frozen in the last hour before kick-off
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 33 pp
Genoa · bottom 3: 20% now → 15% with a win, 22% with a draw, 27% with a defeatVenezia FC · bottom 3: 77% now → 67% with a win, 76% with a draw, 82% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Genoa : 9 conceding (team record 12)What stands out
2+ goals: 13 of 17 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 74%) Context
days since the last match: Genoa 7, Venezia FC 8 matches in the last 7 days: Genoa 0, Venezia FC 0 forecast: 18 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 12 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Genoa Venezia FC league · n = 382
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time radar: not enough data for Venezia FC
Replay the match 10,000 times Match page → + Genoa to my teams + Venezia FC to my teams
14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Model estimate
29% Home ≈ 1 in 3.48
22% Draw ≈ 1 in 4.60
50% Away ≈ 1 in 2.02
provisional, frozen in the last hour before kick-off
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 34 pp
Hoffenheim · bottom 3: 15% now → 10% with a win, 15% with a draw, 18% with a defeatLeverkusen · top 4: 85% now → 88% with a win, 84% with a draw, 78% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Hoffenheim : 7 conceding (team record 27)Hoffenheim : 7 3+ goals (team record 9)Hoffenheim : 6 both teams score (team record 11)Hoffenheim : 6 scoring (team record 16)Leverkusen : 18 scoring (team record 23)Leverkusen : 5 unbeaten (team record 35)Leverkusen : 3 wins in a row (team record 10)What stands out
Hoffenheim score: 9 of 10 in the team's last 10 matches (league 84%)Leverkusen score: 10 of 10 in the team's last 10 matches (league 74%)2+ goals: 19 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 83%) 3+ goals: 17 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 65%) both teams score: 16 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 62%) 1st half: 1+ goal: 19 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 76%) Draw or 3+ goals: 18 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 80%) Context
days since the last match: Hoffenheim 6, Leverkusen 7 matches in the last 7 days: Hoffenheim 1, Leverkusen 0 forecast: 13 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 15 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Hoffenheim Leverkusen league · n = 298
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time Replay the match 10,000 times Match page → + Hoffenheim to my teams + Leverkusen to my teams
15:15 UTC · La Liga
Model estimate
42% Home ≈ 1 in 2.37
27% Draw ≈ 1 in 3.73
31% Away ≈ 1 in 3.24
provisional, frozen in the last hour before kick-off
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 41 pp
Celta · top 6: 20% now → 26% with a win, 18% with a draw, 15% with a defeatReal Betis · top 4: 63% now → 72% with a win, 64% with a draw, 56% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Celta : 6 unbeaten (team record 8)Real Betis : 17 scoring (team record 28)Real Betis : 3 both teams score (team record 12)Real Betis : 3 conceding (team record 12)What stands out
Real Betis score: 10 of 10 in the team's last 10 matches (league 70%)Context
days since the last match: Celta 7, Real Betis 3 matches in the last 7 days: Celta 0, Real Betis 1 forecast: 19 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 9 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Celta Real Betis league · n = 381
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time Replay the match 10,000 times Match page → + Celta to my teams + Real Betis to my teams
16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
No estimate yet: a team has too few matches in the model window or the match is too far away.
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 33 pp
Toulouse · top 6: 14% now → 17% with a win, 10% with a draw, 7% with a defeatTroyes · bottom 3: 89% now → 81% with a win, 88% with a draw, 91% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Toulouse : 4 3+ goals (team record 6)Toulouse : 4 scoring (team record 7)Toulouse : 4 unbeaten (team record 6)Troyes : 6 conceding (team record 6)Troyes : 5 winless (team record 5)What stands out
2+ goals: 14 of 17 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 74%) Context
days since the last match: Toulouse 8, Troyes 7 matches in the last 7 days: Toulouse 0, Troyes 0 forecast: 18 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 19 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Toulouse Troyes league · n = 297
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time radar: not enough data for Troyes
Match page → + Toulouse to my teams + Troyes to my teams
16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Model estimate
68% Home ≈ 1 in 1.47
20% Draw ≈ 1 in 5.13
13% Away ≈ 1 in 7.96
provisional, frozen in the last hour before kick-off
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 47 pp
Marseille · top 6: 53% now → 57% with a win, 46% with a draw, 40% with a defeatLe Havre · bottom 3: 82% now → 72% with a win, 80% with a draw, 84% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Marseille : 3 scoring (team record 11)Le Havre : 7 winless (team record 11)Le Havre : 3 conceding (team record 15)What stands out
2+ goals: 14 of 19 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 74%) Context
days since the last match: Marseille 7, Le Havre 7 matches in the last 7 days: Marseille 0, Le Havre 0 forecast: 19 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 19 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Marseille Le Havre league · n = 297
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time Replay the match 10,000 times Match page → + Marseille to my teams + Le Havre to my teams
16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Model estimate
48% Home ≈ 1 in 2.08
21% Draw ≈ 1 in 4.75
31% Away ≈ 1 in 3.25
provisional, frozen in the last hour before kick-off
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 51 pp
Stade Rennais · top 6: 46% now → 54% with a win, 41% with a draw, 36% with a defeatStrasbourg · top 6: 18% now → 25% with a win, 17% with a draw, 14% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Stade Rennais : 3 conceding (team record 9)Stade Rennais : 3 3+ goals (team record 10)Strasbourg : 15 conceding (team record 15)Strasbourg : 6 both teams score (team record 11)Strasbourg : 6 scoring (team record 16)Strasbourg : 4 winless (team record 8)Strasbourg : 3 3+ goals (team record 7)What stands out
Stade Rennais score: 9 of 10 in the team's last 10 matches (league 76%)Strasbourg score: 9 of 10 in the team's last 10 matches (league 69%)2+ goals: 19 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 74%) 3+ goals: 17 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 55%) both teams score: 17 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 53%) 1st half: 1+ goal: 16 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 71%) Draw or 3+ goals: 19 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 72%) Context
days since the last match: Stade Rennais 7, Strasbourg 8 matches in the last 7 days: Stade Rennais 0, Strasbourg 0 forecast: 14 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 18 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Stade Rennais Strasbourg league · n = 297
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time Replay the match 10,000 times Match page → + Stade Rennais to my teams + Strasbourg to my teams
16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
Model estimate
25% Home ≈ 1 in 4.05
29% Draw ≈ 1 in 3.44
46% Away ≈ 1 in 2.16
provisional, frozen in the last hour before kick-off
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 34 pp
Angers SCO · bottom 3: 75% now → 65% with a win, 75% with a draw, 80% with a defeatLorient · top 6: 16% now → 20% with a win, 14% with a draw, 11% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Angers SCO : 3 scoring (team record 9)Lorient : 6 scoring (team record 6)What stands out
2+ goals: 15 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 74%) Context
days since the last match: Angers SCO 7, Lorient 7 matches in the last 7 days: Angers SCO 0, Lorient 0 forecast: 15 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 15 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Angers SCO Lorient league · n = 297
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time Replay the match 10,000 times Match page → + Angers SCO to my teams + Lorient to my teams
16:15 UTC · Ligue 1
No estimate yet: a team has too few matches in the model window or the match is too far away.
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 35 pp
Auxerre · bottom 3: 13% now → 8% with a win, 13% with a draw, 19% with a defeatLe Mans · bottom 3: 20% now → 13% with a win, 20% with a draw, 25% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Auxerre : 12 scoring (team record 12)Auxerre : 3 both teams score (team record 4)Auxerre : 3 conceding (team record 7)Auxerre : 3 3+ goals (team record 9)Le Mans : 7 conceding (team record 7)Le Mans : 4 3+ goals (team record 4)What stands out
Auxerre score: 10 of 10 in the team's last 10 matches (league 76%)2+ goals: 16 of 17 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 74%) 3+ goals: 14 of 17 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 55%) both teams score: 14 of 17 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 53%) 1st half: 1+ goal: 15 of 17 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 71%) Draw or 3+ goals: 15 of 17 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 72%) Context
days since the last match: Auxerre 7, Le Mans 8 matches in the last 7 days: Auxerre 0, Le Mans 0 forecast: 14 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 17 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Auxerre Le Mans league · n = 297
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time radar: not enough data for Le Mans
Match page → + Auxerre to my teams + Le Mans to my teams
16:30 UTC · Premier League
Model estimate
31% Home ≈ 1 in 3.21
31% Draw ≈ 1 in 3.22
38% Away ≈ 1 in 2.64
provisional, frozen in the last hour before kick-off
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 37 pp
Sunderland · bottom 3: 44% now → 35% with a win, 44% with a draw, 50% with a defeatLeeds United · top 6: 23% now → 30% with a win, 21% with a draw, 18% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Sunderland : 5 conceding (team record 7)Sunderland : 5 winless (team record 5)Leeds United : 3 winless (team record 6)What stands out
2+ goals: 15 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 79%) Context
days since the last match: Sunderland 7, Leeds United 7 matches in the last 7 days: Sunderland 0, Leeds United 0 forecast: 10 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 37 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Sunderland Leeds United league · n = 372
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time Replay the match 10,000 times Match page → + Sunderland to my teams + Leeds United to my teams
16:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Model estimate
12% Home ≈ 1 in 8.14
16% Draw ≈ 1 in 6.45
72% Away ≈ 1 in 1.38
provisional, frozen in the last hour before kick-off
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 31 pp
Freiburg · top 6: 55% now → 67% with a win, 56% with a draw, 53% with a defeatBayern · title: 97% now → 98% with a win, 96% with a draw, 94% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Freiburg : 9 scoring (team record 14)Freiburg : 4 3+ goals (team record 11)Freiburg : 3 both teams score (team record 6)Freiburg : 3 conceding (team record 9)Bayern : 21 unbeaten (team record 27)Bayern : 4 3+ goals (team record 26)Bayern : 4 scoring (team record 47)What stands out
Freiburg score: 9 of 10 in the team's last 10 matches (league 84%)Bayern score: 9 of 10 in the team's last 10 matches (league 74%)2+ goals: 17 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 83%) 3+ goals: 16 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 65%) 1st half: 1+ goal: 17 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 76%) Draw or 3+ goals: 18 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 80%) Draw or 4+ goals: 15 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 60%) Context
days since the last match: Freiburg 7, Bayern 3 matches in the last 7 days: Freiburg 0, Bayern 1 forecast: 13 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 11 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Freiburg Bayern league · n = 298
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time Replay the match 10,000 times Match page → + Freiburg to my teams + Bayern to my teams
17:00 UTC · Serie A
Model estimate
14% Home ≈ 1 in 7.10
25% Draw ≈ 1 in 4.01
61% Away ≈ 1 in 1.64
provisional, frozen in the last hour before kick-off
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 46 pp
Lecce · bottom 3: 37% now → 26% with a win, 34% with a draw, 40% with a defeatJuventus · top 6: 55% now → 60% with a win, 50% with a draw, 43% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Lecce : 4 3+ goals (team record 4)What stands out
2+ goals: 15 of 19 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 74%) 1st half: 1+ goal: 15 of 19 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 66%) Context
days since the last match: Lecce 7, Juventus 6 matches in the last 7 days: Lecce 0, Juventus 1 forecast: 16 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 16 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Lecce Juventus league · n = 381
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time Replay the match 10,000 times Match page → + Lecce to my teams + Juventus to my teams
17:30 UTC · La Liga
Model estimate
54% Home ≈ 1 in 1.85
21% Draw ≈ 1 in 4.72
25% Away ≈ 1 in 4.05
provisional, frozen in the last hour before kick-off
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 37 pp
Real Sociedad · top 6: 48% now → 54% with a win, 43% with a draw, 39% with a defeatLevante · top 6: 8% now → 13% with a win, 9% with a draw, 5% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Real Sociedad : 5 conceding (team record 19)Real Sociedad : 5 3+ goals (team record 6)Real Sociedad : 3 both teams score (team record 10)Real Sociedad : 3 scoring (team record 16)Real Sociedad : 3 unbeaten (team record 7)Real Sociedad : 3 wins in a row (team record 3)Levante : 5 both teams score (team record 5)Levante : 5 conceding (team record 8)Levante : 5 scoring (team record 5)Levante : 3 unbeaten (team record 4)What stands out
2+ goals: 16 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 77%) Draw or 3+ goals: 19 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 72%) Draw or 4+ goals: 15 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 49%) Context
days since the last match: Real Sociedad 7, Levante 3 matches in the last 7 days: Real Sociedad 0, Levante 1 forecast: 17 °C, 1.2 mm, wind 12 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Real Sociedad Levante league · n = 380
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time Replay the match 10,000 times Match page → + Real Sociedad to my teams + Levante to my teams
19:45 UTC · Serie A
Model estimate
22% Home ≈ 1 in 4.50
25% Draw ≈ 1 in 4.00
53% Away ≈ 1 in 1.89
provisional, frozen in the last hour before kick-off
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 45 pp
Udinese · bottom 3: 21% now → 15% with a win, 20% with a draw, 25% with a defeatMilan · top 6: 64% now → 70% with a win, 59% with a draw, 54% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Udinese : 9 conceding (team record 11)Udinese : 5 winless (team record 10)Milan : 10 scoring (team record 22)Milan : 7 unbeaten (team record 24)What stands out
Milan score: 10 of 10 in the team's last 10 matches (league 69%)2+ goals: 17 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 74%) Draw or 3+ goals: 15 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 66%) Context
days since the last match: Udinese 7, Milan 7 matches in the last 7 days: Udinese 0, Milan 0 forecast: 9 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 4 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Udinese Milan league · n = 380
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time Replay the match 10,000 times Match page → + Udinese to my teams + Milan to my teams
20:00 UTC · La Liga
Model estimate
60% Home ≈ 1 in 1.65
20% Draw ≈ 1 in 5.03
20% Away ≈ 1 in 5.08
provisional, frozen in the last hour before kick-off
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 14 pp
Barça · title: 95% now → 97% with a win, 94% with a draw, 90% with a defeatReal Madrid · title: 4% now → 8% with a win, 4% with a draw, 2% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Barça : 11 scoring (team record 55)Barça : 9 unbeaten (team record 17)Barça : 9 wins in a row (team record 11)Barça : 7 3+ goals (team record 13)Real Madrid : 5 scoring (team record 27)What stands out
Barça score: 10 of 10 in the team's last 10 matches (league 81%)Real Madrid score: 9 of 10 in the team's last 10 matches (league 70%)2+ goals: 18 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 77%) 3+ goals: 17 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 52%) 1st half: 1+ goal: 16 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 68%) 1st half: 2+ goals: 15 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 34%) Draw or 3+ goals: 17 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 72%) Context
days since the last match: Barça 5, Real Madrid 4 matches in the last 7 days: Barça 1, Real Madrid 1 forecast: 16 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 5 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Barça Real Madrid league · n = 379
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time Replay the match 10,000 times Match page → + Barça to my teams + Real Madrid to my teams
19:30 UTC · Ligue 1
Model estimate
59% Home ≈ 1 in 1.71
23% Draw ≈ 1 in 4.44
19% Away ≈ 1 in 5.29
provisional, frozen in the last hour before kick-off
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 54 pp
PSG · title: 80% now → 86% with a win, 78% with a draw, 69% with a defeatOlympique Lyon · top 4: 61% now → 72% with a win, 62% with a draw, 56% with a defeatOngoing streaks
PSG : 27 scoring (team record 27)PSG : 4 unbeaten (team record 32)PSG : 4 wins in a row (team record 10)PSG : 3 both teams score (team record 7)PSG : 3 conceding (team record 7)PSG : 3 3+ goals (team record 7)Olympique Lyon : 3 3+ goals (team record 7)Olympique Lyon : 3 scoring (team record 14)What stands out
PSG score: 10 of 10 in the team's last 10 matches (league 76%)2+ goals: 17 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 74%) Draw or 3+ goals: 16 of 20 in the two teams' last 10 matches (league 72%) Context
days since the last match: PSG 6, Olympique Lyon 8 matches in the last 7 days: PSG 1, Olympique Lyon 0 forecast: 13 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 12 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
PSG Olympique Lyon league · n = 291
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time Replay the match 10,000 times Match page → + PSG to my teams + Olympique Lyon to my teams
20:00 UTC · La Liga
Model estimate
50% Home ≈ 1 in 2.01
26% Draw ≈ 1 in 3.91
25% Away ≈ 1 in 4.07
provisional, frozen in the last hour before kick-off
Details: what the result can change, streaks, context, radar What the result can change
how far both teams' chances can move in total: 28 pp
Sevilla FC · top 6: 19% now → 23% with a win, 16% with a draw, 15% with a defeatOsasuna · bottom 3: 17% now → 10% with a win, 17% with a draw, 21% with a defeatOngoing streaks
Sevilla FC : 9 scoring (team record 11)Sevilla FC : 3 both teams score (team record 7)Sevilla FC : 3 conceding (team record 11)Sevilla FC : 3 3+ goals (team record 4)Sevilla FC : 3 winless (team record 10)Osasuna : 3 scoring (team record 12)What stands out
Sevilla FC score: 9 of 10 in the team's last 10 matches (league 81%)Context
days since the last match: Sevilla FC 8, Osasuna 8 matches in the last 7 days: Sevilla FC 0, Osasuna 0 forecast: 19 °C, 0.0 mm, wind 4 km/h (weather effect, measured: no visible effect) The teams' radar (last 20 matches)
Sevilla FC Osasuna league · n = 376
Wins Scores 3+ goals Both score Concedes Leads at half-time Replay the match 10,000 times Match page → + Sevilla FC to my teams + Osasuna to my teams