RadarSerie A · Matchday 6
2026-27 · 10 Oct 2026 – 12 Oct 2026 ← matchday 5 matchday 7 →
Round on radar: all leagues, before and after
Results 10 played
Every match of the round with the final score. Matches not yet played are shown as postponed.
The round in numbers
The round's figures against the season average before it: goals per match, how often both teams scored, how often there were at least 3 goals, and how results split between home wins, draws and away wins.
Table moves
How the table changed: each team's position before and after the round. At the top, the biggest climbs and drops.
| Team | before → after | pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna FC 1909 | 18 → 14 | +4 | 5 |
| Torino FC | 14 → 12 | +2 | 7 |
| Genoa CFC | 19 → 17 | +2 | 4 |
| Udinese Calcio | 13 → 16 | -3 | 4 |
| AS Roma | 1 → 3 | -2 | 14 |
| Frosinone Calcio | 7 → 9 | -2 | 10 |
Elo moves
The Elo rating before and after the round. It rises when a team gets more from a match than expected and falls when it gets less; beating a strong opponent moves it more than beating a weak one.
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC | 1450 → 1455 | +5.2 |
| Torino FC | 1469 → 1474 | +4.3 |
| Bologna FC 1909 | 1533 → 1537 | +4.0 |
| ACF Fiorentina | 1513 → 1508 | -5.2 |
| Udinese Calcio | 1473 → 1469 | -4.3 |
| Frosinone Calcio | 1466 → 1462 | -4.0 |
Streaks ended and new records
Streaks of at least 5 matches that ended in this round, and streaks that became a new own record (the longest in our database for that team).
| Team | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | scoring | 20 | ended |
| Genoa CFC | winless | 10 | ended |
| Como 1907 | conceding | 6 | ended |
| Bologna FC 1909 | winless | 6 | ended |
| US Sassuolo Calcio | 3+ goals | 5 | ended |
| Torino FC | conceding | 11 | new own record old record: 10 |
What the model said 5 of 9 hit · Brier 0.5047
Only estimates frozen within the last hour before each match; nothing recomputed afterwards. “Hit” = the most probable result was the real one. The round's Brier score: 0 = perfect, 0.6667 = random guessing. “Surprise” = how unlikely the real result was for the model (higher = more surprising).
| result | 1 / X / 2 | model's pick | surprise | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo – Milan | 1–1 | 27% / 26% / 48% | 2 · miss | 1.36 |
| Cagliari – Juventus | 1–1 | 19% / 26% / 55% | 2 · miss | 1.34 |
| Como 1907 – Roma | 0–0 | 32% / 28% / 40% | 2 · miss | 1.27 |
| Genoa – Fiorentina | 2–1 | 31% / 28% / 41% | 2 · miss | 1.17 |
| Torino – Udinese | 2–1 | 37% / 27% / 36% | 1 · hit | 1.00 |
| Lecce – Bologna | 1–2 | 20% / 28% / 52% | 2 · hit | 0.65 |
| Lazio – Monza | 3–1 | 68% / 20% / 12% | 1 · hit | 0.38 |
| Atalanta – Venezia FC | 3–1 | 73% / 18% / 9% | 1 · hit | 0.32 |
| Inter – Parma | 3–0 | 76% / 15% / 8% | 1 · hit | 0.27 |
How the chances moved
The difference between the simulator's chances before the round and after it: who gained and who lost the most for 1st place, the top 4 and the bottom 3.
1st place
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| FC Internazionale Milano | 66% → 72% | +6 pp |
| SSC Napoli | 2% → 4% | +1 pp |
| Atalanta BC | 1% → 1% | +0 pp |
| AS Roma | 20% → 17% | -4 pp |
| Juventus FC | 5% → 3% | -2 pp |
| Frosinone Calcio | 1% → 0% | -1 pp |
top 4
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| SSC Napoli | 37% → 53% | +17 pp |
| Atalanta BC | 23% → 27% | +5 pp |
| SS Lazio | 11% → 15% | +4 pp |
| Frosinone Calcio | 27% → 7% | -20 pp |
| Juventus FC | 55% → 48% | -7 pp |
| AC Milan | 30% → 29% | -2 pp |
bottom 3
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce | 52% → 58% | +6 pp |
| Venezia FC | 88% → 91% | +4 pp |
| Parma Calcio 1913 | 26% → 29% | +2 pp |
| Genoa CFC | 23% → 14% | -10 pp |
| Torino FC | 11% → 6% | -6 pp |
| Bologna FC 1909 | 2% → 1% | -1 pp |
run before: 10 Oct 2026 12:17 · run after: 13 Oct 2026 06:05
Updated 25 Oct 2026 06:08