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US Lecce

Serie A · season 2026-27 · 7 matches

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12League position12 of 20 in the regular season table (9 points, 7 played).
1422Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 18 of 20 in Serie A. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Lecce12th of 20Above average 2 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5LWLLWPoints rate · last 1050%league 46%Goal difference −2 in the last 10 · Elo +3.5 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Nothing above the league rate in the cautious reading.
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

US Lecce – Juventus FC

· Home

14%1≈ 1 in 7.10
25%X≈ 1 in 4.01
61%2≈ 1 in 1.64

Explore US Lecce

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator37%chance of finishing in the bottom 3Where does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.65difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time64%won after leading at half-time (16 of 25)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model1upset in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 3.4)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores0–1the team's most common score (19 of 121 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers2Tiago Gabriel, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1422Elo rating: #18 in Serie AHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 121

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1422now
1516highest22 Sep 2023
1397lowest1 Feb 2026
+16last 10 matches
US Lecceleague average (teams of the same season)
13751400142514501475150015252023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
18 Oct 2026Udinese (A)3–01422+111525
11 Oct 2026Bologna (H)1–21411−41525
20 Sep 2026Milan (A)0–31415−41525
13 Sep 2026Monza (H)3–21419+41525
7 Sep 2026Cagliari (A)0–11415−41525
31 Aug 2026Roma (H)0–41419−51525
23 Aug 2026Venezia FC (A)2–01424+91525
24 May 2026Genoa (H)1–01415+51522
17 May 2026Sassuolo (A)3–21410+71522
9 May 2026Juventus (H)0–11403−31522
1 May 2026AC Pisa (A)2–11406+61522
25 Apr 2026Verona (A)0–0140001522
20 Apr 2026Fiorentina (H)1–11400+11522
12 Apr 2026Bologna (A)0–21399−41522
6 Apr 2026Atalanta (H)0–31402−51522
22 Mar 2026Roma (A)0–11407−21522
14 Mar 2026Napoli (A)1–21409−21522
8 Mar 2026Cremonese (H)2–11411+51522
28 Feb 2026Como 1907 (A)1–31406−31522
21 Feb 2026Inter (H)0–21409−31522
16 Feb 2026Cagliari (A)2–01412+91522
8 Feb 2026Udinese (H)2–11403+51522
1 Feb 2026Torino (A)0–11397−31522
24 Jan 2026Lazio (H)0–01401+11522
18 Jan 2026Milan (A)0–11400−21522
14 Jan 2026Inter (A)0–11401−11522
11 Jan 2026Parma (H)1–21402−51522
6 Jan 2026Roma (H)0–21407−51522
3 Jan 2026Juventus (A)1–11412+31522
27 Dec 2025Como 1907 (H)0–31409−71522
12 Dec 2025AC Pisa (H)1–01416+51522
7 Dec 2025Cremonese (A)0–21411−51522
30 Nov 2025Torino (H)2–11415+51522
23 Nov 2025Lazio (A)0–21410−41522
8 Nov 2025Verona (H)0–01414−11522
2 Nov 2025Fiorentina (A)1–01415+71522
28 Oct 2025Napoli (H)0–11407−31522
25 Oct 2025Udinese (A)2–31410−41522
18 Oct 2025Sassuolo (H)0–01414−11522
4 Oct 2025Parma (A)1–01414+61522
28 Sep 2025Bologna (H)2–21408+11522
19 Sep 2025Cagliari (H)1–21406−51522
14 Sep 2025Atalanta (A)1–41412−31522
29 Aug 2025Milan (H)0–21415−51522
23 Aug 2025Genoa (A)0–01420+21522
25 May 2025Lazio (A)1–01419+81513
18 May 2025Torino (H)1–01411+61513
11 May 2025Verona (A)1–11406+11513
3 May 2025Napoli (H)0–11405−31513
27 Apr 2025Atalanta (A)1–11408+31513
19 Apr 2025Como 1907 (H)0–31404−81513
12 Apr 2025Juventus (A)1–21413−21513
6 Apr 2025Venezia FC (H)1–1141501513
29 Mar 2025Roma (H)0–11415−41513
14 Mar 2025Genoa (A)1–21419−31513
8 Mar 2025Milan (H)2–31422−41513
28 Feb 2025Fiorentina (A)0–11426−31513
21 Feb 2025Udinese (H)0–11429−51513
16 Feb 2025Monza (A)0–01434+11513
9 Feb 2025Bologna (H)0–01433+11513
31 Jan 2025Parma (A)3–11432+101513
26 Jan 2025Inter (H)0–41422−41513
19 Jan 2025Cagliari (A)1–41427−81513
11 Jan 2025Empoli (A)3–11434+91513
5 Jan 2025Genoa (H)0–0142501513
30 Dec 2024Como 1907 (A)0–21425−61513
21 Dec 2024Lazio (H)1–21431−41513
15 Dec 2024Monza (H)2–11435+51513
7 Dec 2024Roma (A)1–41430−61513
1 Dec 2024Juventus (H)1–11436+11513
25 Nov 2024Venezia FC (A)1–01434+61513
8 Nov 2024Empoli (H)1–1142801513
2 Nov 2024Bologna (A)0–11428−31513
29 Oct 2024Verona (H)1–01431+51513
26 Oct 2024Napoli (A)0–11426−31513
20 Oct 2024Fiorentina (H)0–61429−91513
5 Oct 2024Udinese (A)0–11438−41513
27 Sep 2024Milan (A)0–31442−51513
21 Sep 2024Parma (H)2–2144701513
15 Sep 2024Torino (A)0–01447+21513
31 Aug 2024Cagliari (H)1–01445+41513
24 Aug 2024Inter (A)0–21441−31513
19 Aug 2024Atalanta (H)0–41444−81513
26 May 2024Napoli (A)0–01451+21500
18 May 2024Atalanta (H)0–21450−61500
13 May 2024Udinese (H)0–21456−91500
5 May 2024Cagliari (A)1–1146501500
27 Apr 2024Monza (H)1–1146501500
21 Apr 2024Sassuolo (A)3–01465+101500
13 Apr 2024Empoli (H)1–01455+41500
6 Apr 2024Milan (A)0–31451−51500
1 Apr 2024Roma (H)0–01456+11500
16 Mar 2024Salernitana (A)1–01455+51500
10 Mar 2024Verona (H)0–11450−61500
3 Mar 2024Frosinone (A)1–11456+11500
25 Feb 2024Inter (H)0–41455−71500
16 Feb 2024Torino (A)0–21462−61500
11 Feb 2024Bologna (A)0–41468−71500
2 Feb 2024Fiorentina (H)3–21474+51500
28 Jan 2024Genoa (A)1–21469−41500
21 Jan 2024Juventus (H)0–31473−81500
14 Jan 2024Lazio (A)0–11481−41500
6 Jan 2024Cagliari (H)1–11485−11500
30 Dec 2023Atalanta (A)0–11486−41500
23 Dec 2023Inter (A)0–21490−51500
16 Dec 2023Frosinone (H)2–11495+41500
11 Dec 2023Empoli (A)1–1149101500
3 Dec 2023Bologna (H)1–1149001500
27 Nov 2023Verona (A)2–2149101500
11 Nov 2023Milan (H)2–2149001500
5 Nov 2023Roma (A)1–21490−41500
28 Oct 2023Torino (H)0–11495−61500
23 Oct 2023Udinese (A)1–1150101500
6 Oct 2023Sassuolo (H)1–11500−11500
30 Sep 2023Napoli (H)0–41501−111500
26 Sep 2023Juventus (A)0–11512−41500
22 Sep 2023Genoa (H)1–01516+41500
17 Sep 2023Monza (A)1–1151201500
3 Sep 2023Salernitana (H)2–01511+61500
27 Aug 2023Fiorentina (A)2–21505+11500
20 Aug 2023Lazio (H)2–11504—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

US Lecceleague, last 12 months · n = 384

league · Wins: 296 of 768 (39%)league · Scores: 540 of 768 (70%)league · 3+ goals: 192 of 384 (50%)league · Both teams score: 183 of 384 (48%)league · Concedes: 540 of 768 (70%)league · Leads at half-time: 218 of 768 (28%)team · Wins: 7 of 20 (35%)team · Scores: 11 of 20 (55%)team · 3+ goals: 11 of 20 (55%)team · Both teams score: 8 of 20 (40%)team · Concedes: 16 of 20 (80%)team · Leads at half-time: 6 of 20 (30%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
US Lecceleague
Winswon the match35%7 of 2018–57%39%296 of 76835–42%
Scoresscored at least once55%11 of 2034–74%70%540 of 76867–73%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)55%11 of 2034–74%50%192 of 38445–55%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)40%8 of 2022–61%48%183 of 38443–53%
Concedesconceded at least once80%16 of 2058–92%70%540 of 76867–73%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)30%6 of 2015–52%28%218 of 76825–32%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

LWLLW
6points
1.20per match
2-0-3W-D-L
7scored
8conceded

Last 7 matches n = 7

WLLWLLW
9points
1.29per match
3-0-4W-D-L
9scored
12conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 7

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

1unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 1
2scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 2
1clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 1
0both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 1

Goals: home and away n = 7

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches71.29league 1.501.71league 1.5029%2 of 7 · league 57%71%5 of 7 · league 60%29%2 of 7 · league 22%43%3 of 7 · league 22%
Home31.33league 1.592.67league 1.4167%2 of 3 · league 57%100%3 of 3 · league 60%0%0 of 3 · league 23%33%1 of 3 · league 21%
Away41.25league 1.411.00league 1.590%0 of 4 · league 57%50%2 of 4 · league 60%50%2 of 4 · league 21%50%2 of 4 · league 23%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

Not enough data yet (7 of 8 matches needed).

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 4

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Eusebio Di Francesco26 Jun 2025now451.04
Marco Giampaolo11 Nov 2024Jun 2025260.96
Luca Gotti13 Mar 20249 Nov 2024221.00
Roberto D'Aversa27 Jun 202311 Mar 2024280.89
Whole period in our database20 Aug 202318 Oct 20261210.98

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 7

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

18 Oct 2026AwayAUdinese Calcio3–0
11 Oct 2026HomeHBologna FC 19091–2
20 Sep 2026AwayAAC Milan0–3
13 Sep 2026HomeHAC Monza3–2
7 Sep 2026AwayACagliari Calcio0–1
31 Aug 2026HomeHAS Roma0–4
23 Aug 2026AwayAVenezia FC2–0

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

HomeHJuventus FC
AwayAFrosinone Calcio
HomeHGenoa CFC
AwayATorino FC
AwayASS Lazio

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 7

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Tiago Gabriel26—1
Lassana Coulibaly27—1
Amar Ahmed Fatah16——
Jamil Siebert17——
Kialonda Gaspar17——
Konan N'Dri17——
Olaf Gorter17——

The players in the list have 9 goals between them; the team has scored 9 in the league. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 20

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026