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ACF Fiorentina

Serie A · season 2026-27 · 7 matches

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19League position19 of 20 in the regular season table (4 points, 7 played).
1501Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 10 of 20 in Serie A. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Fiorentina19th of 20Poor form 0 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5LWDLLPoints rate · last 1030%league 46%Goal difference −7 in the last 10 · Elo −10.4 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Nothing above the league rate in the cautious reading.
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

FC Internazionale Milano – ACF Fiorentina

· Away

72%1≈ 1 in 1.40
16%X≈ 1 in 6.07
12%2≈ 1 in 8.37

Explore ACF Fiorentina

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator6%chance of finishing in the bottom 3Where does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.58difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time74%won after leading at half-time (32 of 43)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model1upset in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 0.5)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores1–2the team's most common score (15 of 121 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers3Franco Mastantuono, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1501Elo rating: #10 in Serie AHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 121

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1501now
1573highest8 Dec 2024
1501lowest3 Sep 2023
−18last 10 matches
ACF Fiorentinaleague average (teams of the same season)
150015201540156015802023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
18 Oct 2026Como 1907 (H)1–31501−71525
10 Oct 2026Genoa (A)1–21508−51525
20 Sep 2026Napoli (H)1–11513+11525
11 Sep 2026Venezia FC (A)4–21512+71525
5 Sep 2026Torino (H)1–21506−61525
29 Aug 2026Frosinone (H)0–31512−121525
24 Aug 2026Roma (A)0–41524−61525
22 May 2026Atalanta (H)1–1152901522
17 May 2026Juventus (A)2–01529+111522
10 May 2026Genoa (H)0–01518−11522
4 May 2026Roma (A)0–41519−61522
26 Apr 2026Sassuolo (H)0–01525−21522
20 Apr 2026Lecce (A)1–11527−11522
13 Apr 2026Lazio (H)1–01528+51522
4 Apr 2026Verona (A)1–01523+41522
22 Mar 2026Inter (H)1–11520+21522
16 Mar 2026Cremonese (A)4–11518+91522
8 Mar 2026Parma (H)0–01509−11522
2 Mar 2026Udinese (A)0–31510−91522
23 Feb 2026AC Pisa (H)1–01519+31522
14 Feb 2026Como 1907 (A)2–11516+61522
7 Feb 2026Torino (H)2–21510−11522
31 Jan 2026Napoli (A)1–21511−31522
24 Jan 2026Cagliari (H)1–21514−71522
18 Jan 2026Bologna (A)2–11521+61522
11 Jan 2026Milan (H)1–11514+11522
7 Jan 2026Lazio (A)2–21514+11522
4 Jan 2026Cremonese (H)1–01512+41522
27 Dec 2025Parma (A)0–11508−51522
21 Dec 2025Udinese (H)5–11513+71522
14 Dec 2025Verona (H)1–21507−71522
6 Dec 2025Sassuolo (A)1–31514−81522
30 Nov 2025Atalanta (A)0–21522−51522
22 Nov 2025Juventus (H)1–1152701522
9 Nov 2025Genoa (A)2–2152701522
2 Nov 2025Lecce (H)0–11527−71522
29 Oct 2025Inter (A)0–31534−41522
26 Oct 2025Bologna (H)2–2153901522
19 Oct 2025Milan (A)1–21539−41522
5 Oct 2025Roma (H)1–21542−51522
28 Sep 2025AC Pisa (A)0–0154701522
21 Sep 2025Como 1907 (H)1–21547−61522
13 Sep 2025Napoli (H)1–31554−81522
31 Aug 2025Torino (A)0–0156101522
24 Aug 2025Cagliari (A)1–11562−11522
25 May 2025Udinese (A)3–21563+41513
18 May 2025Bologna (H)3–21559+51513
12 May 2025Venezia FC (A)1–21554−61513
4 May 2025Roma (A)0–11560−41513
27 Apr 2025Empoli (H)2–11564+21513
23 Apr 2025Cagliari (A)2–11562+41513
13 Apr 2025Parma (H)0–01558−21513
5 Apr 2025Milan (A)2–21560+11513
30 Mar 2025Atalanta (H)1–01559+51513
16 Mar 2025Juventus (H)3–01554+91513
9 Mar 2025Napoli (A)1–21545−41513
28 Feb 2025Lecce (H)1–01549+31513
23 Feb 2025Verona (A)0–11546−61513
16 Feb 2025Como 1907 (H)0–21552−101513
10 Feb 2025Inter (A)1–21562−31513
6 Feb 2025Inter (H)3–01565+111513
2 Feb 2025Genoa (H)2–11555+31513
26 Jan 2025Lazio (A)2–11551+61513
19 Jan 2025Torino (H)1–11545−11513
13 Jan 2025Monza (A)1–21547−61513
4 Jan 2025Napoli (H)0–31553−101513
29 Dec 2024Juventus (A)2–21563+11513
23 Dec 2024Udinese (H)1–21562−71513
15 Dec 2024Bologna (A)0–11569−41513
8 Dec 2024Cagliari (H)1–01573+31513
24 Nov 2024Como 1907 (A)2–01571+71513
10 Nov 2024Verona (H)3–11564+41513
3 Nov 2024Torino (A)1–01560+51513
31 Oct 2024Genoa (A)1–01555+51513
27 Oct 2024Roma (H)5–11550+81513
20 Oct 2024Lecce (A)6–01542+91513
6 Oct 2024Milan (H)2–11533+51513
29 Sep 2024Empoli (A)0–0152801513
22 Sep 2024Lazio (H)2–11528+41513
15 Sep 2024Atalanta (A)2–31524−41513
1 Sep 2024Monza (H)2–21527−21513
25 Aug 2024Venezia FC (H)0–01529−11513
17 Aug 2024Parma (A)1–1153001513
2 Jun 2024Atalanta (A)3–21530+61500
23 May 2024Cagliari (A)3–21523+51500
17 May 2024Napoli (H)2–21519−11500
13 May 2024Monza (H)2–11520+41500
5 May 2024Verona (A)1–21516−51500
28 Apr 2024Sassuolo (H)5–11521+61500
21 Apr 2024Salernitana (A)2–01515+61500
15 Apr 2024Genoa (H)1–11509−11500
7 Apr 2024Juventus (A)0–11510−41500
30 Mar 2024Milan (H)1–21514−51500
10 Mar 2024Roma (H)2–2151901500
2 Mar 2024Torino (A)0–0151901500
26 Feb 2024Lazio (H)2–11519+41500
18 Feb 2024Empoli (A)1–1151401500
14 Feb 2024Bologna (A)0–21514−61500
11 Feb 2024Frosinone (H)5–11521+71500
2 Feb 2024Lecce (A)2–31514−51500
28 Jan 2024Inter (H)0–11519−51500
14 Jan 2024Udinese (H)2–21523−11500
6 Jan 2024Sassuolo (A)0–11525−51500
29 Dec 2023Torino (H)1–01530+41500
22 Dec 2023Monza (A)1–01526+51500
17 Dec 2023Verona (H)1–01521+41500
10 Dec 2023Roma (A)1–11517+11500
3 Dec 2023Salernitana (H)3–01516+61500
25 Nov 2023Milan (A)0–11510−41500
12 Nov 2023Bologna (H)2–11514+41500
5 Nov 2023Juventus (H)0–11510−51500
30 Oct 2023Lazio (A)0–11515−51500
23 Oct 2023Empoli (H)0–21520−101500
8 Oct 2023Napoli (A)3–11530+91500
2 Oct 2023Cagliari (H)3–01521+71500
28 Sep 2023Frosinone (A)1–11515+11500
24 Sep 2023Udinese (A)2–01514+81500
17 Sep 2023Atalanta (H)3–21506+41500
3 Sep 2023Inter (A)0–41501−81500
27 Aug 2023Lecce (H)2–21509−11500
19 Aug 2023Genoa (A)4–11510—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

ACF Fiorentinaleague, last 12 months · n = 384

league · Wins: 296 of 768 (39%)league · Scores: 540 of 768 (70%)league · 3+ goals: 192 of 384 (50%)league · Both teams score: 183 of 384 (48%)league · Concedes: 540 of 768 (70%)league · Leads at half-time: 218 of 768 (28%)team · Wins: 6 of 20 (30%)team · Scores: 13 of 20 (65%)team · 3+ goals: 9 of 20 (45%)team · Both teams score: 9 of 20 (45%)team · Concedes: 13 of 20 (65%)team · Leads at half-time: 7 of 20 (35%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
ACF Fiorentinaleague
Winswon the match30%6 of 2015–52%39%296 of 76835–42%
Scoresscored at least once65%13 of 2043–82%70%540 of 76867–73%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)45%9 of 2026–66%50%192 of 38445–55%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)45%9 of 2026–66%48%183 of 38443–53%
Concedesconceded at least once65%13 of 2043–82%70%540 of 76867–73%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)35%7 of 2018–57%28%218 of 76825–32%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

LWDLL
4points
0.80per match
1-1-3W-D-L
8scored
10conceded

Last 7 matches n = 7

LLLWDLL
4points
0.57per match
1-1-5W-D-L
8scored
17conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 7

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

0unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 2
5scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 5
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 0
5both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 5

Goals: home and away n = 7

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches71.14league 1.502.43league 1.5071%5 of 7 · league 57%86%6 of 7 · league 60%0%0 of 7 · league 22%29%2 of 7 · league 22%
Home40.75league 1.592.25league 1.4175%3 of 4 · league 57%75%3 of 4 · league 60%0%0 of 4 · league 23%25%1 of 4 · league 21%
Away31.67league 1.412.67league 1.5967%2 of 3 · league 57%100%3 of 3 · league 60%0%0 of 3 · league 21%33%1 of 3 · league 23%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

Not enough data yet (7 of 8 matches needed).

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 5

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Fabio Grosso8 Jun 2026unconfirmed30.00
Paolo Vanoli7 Nov 2025Jun 2026281.36
Stefano Pioli12 Jul 20254 Nov 2025100.40
Raffaele Palladino1 Jul 202430 May 2025381.71
Vincenzo Italiano1 Jul 20214 Jun 2024381.58
Whole period in our database19 Aug 202318 Oct 20261211.41

Current coach: the two sources do not name the same person, so this season's changes are not shown until they match.

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 7

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

18 Oct 2026HomeHComo 19071–3
10 Oct 2026AwayAGenoa CFC1–2
20 Sep 2026HomeHSSC Napoli1–1
11 Sep 2026AwayAVenezia FC4–2
5 Sep 2026HomeHTorino FC1–2
29 Aug 2026HomeHFrosinone Calcio0–3
24 Aug 2026AwayAAS Roma0–4

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

AwayAFC Internazionale Milano
HomeHAtalanta BC
AwayAUS Sassuolo Calcio
HomeHJuventus FC
AwayAAC Monza

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 4

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Franco Mastantuono37——
Mateo Pellegrino27——
Álex Jiménez17—1
Marin Pongračić17——

The players in the list have 7 goals between them; the team has scored 8 in the league. A 1-goal difference between the source's scorer list and the results; the source does not say who scored the rest. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 21

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026