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AS Roma

Serie A · season 2026-27 · 8 matches

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3League position3 of 20 in the regular season table (18 points, 8 played).
1651Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 2 of 20 in Serie A. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Roma3rd of 20Good form 3 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5WDDWDPoints rate · last 1080%league 46%Goal difference +17 in the last 10 · Elo +8.9 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Scores19 of 20league 70%Clean sheet11 of 20league 30%Unbeaten17 of 20league 61%
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

AS Roma – Cagliari Calcio

· Home

66%1≈ 1 in 1.51
22%X≈ 1 in 4.62
12%2≈ 1 in 8.40

Explore AS Roma

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator16%title chanceWhere does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.22difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time86%won after leading at half-time (38 of 44)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model0upsets in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 0.4)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores1–0the team's most common score (19 of 122 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers6Donyell Malen, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1651Elo rating: #2 in Serie AHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 122

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1651now
1651highest24 Oct 2026
1490lowest1 Sep 2023
+32last 10 matches
AS Romaleague average (teams of the same season)
1450150015501600165017002023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
24 Oct 2026Napoli (A)3–3165101525
17 Oct 2026Genoa (H)2–01651+31525
11 Oct 2026Como 1907 (A)0–0164801525
19 Sep 2026Inter (H)2–21648+11525
14 Sep 2026Torino (A)2–01647+51525
5 Sep 2026Atalanta (H)2–11642+41525
31 Aug 2026Lecce (A)4–01638+51525
24 Aug 2026Fiorentina (H)4–01633+61525
24 May 2026Verona (A)2–01627+41522
17 May 2026Lazio (H)2–01624+51522
10 May 2026Parma (A)3–21619+41522
4 May 2026Fiorentina (H)4–01615+61522
25 Apr 2026Bologna (A)2–01609+71522
18 Apr 2026Atalanta (H)1–1160201522
10 Apr 2026AC Pisa (H)3–01603+41522
5 Apr 2026Inter (A)2–51599−51522
22 Mar 2026Lecce (H)1–01604+21522
15 Mar 2026Como 1907 (A)1–21602−51522
8 Mar 2026Genoa (A)1–21606−61522
1 Mar 2026Juventus (H)3–31613−11522
22 Feb 2026Cremonese (H)3–01613+51522
15 Feb 2026Napoli (A)2–21609+11522
9 Feb 2026Cagliari (H)2–01608+31522
2 Feb 2026Udinese (A)0–11604−61522
25 Jan 2026Milan (H)1–11611−11522
18 Jan 2026Torino (A)2–01611+61522
10 Jan 2026Sassuolo (H)2–01605+31522
6 Jan 2026Lecce (A)2–01602+51522
3 Jan 2026Atalanta (A)0–11597−41522
29 Dec 2025Genoa (H)3–11602+41522
20 Dec 2025Juventus (A)1–21598−41522
15 Dec 2025Como 1907 (H)1–01602+31522
7 Dec 2025Cagliari (A)0–11598−71522
30 Nov 2025Napoli (H)0–11605−61522
23 Nov 2025Cremonese (A)3–11611+61522
9 Nov 2025Udinese (H)2–01605+41522
2 Nov 2025Milan (A)0–11601−41522
29 Oct 2025Parma (H)2–11605+21522
26 Oct 2025Sassuolo (A)1–01603+31522
18 Oct 2025Inter (H)0–11599−51522
5 Oct 2025Fiorentina (A)2–11604+51522
28 Sep 2025Verona (H)2–01599+31522
21 Sep 2025Lazio (A)1–01596+51522
14 Sep 2025Torino (H)0–11591−71522
30 Aug 2025AC Pisa (A)1–01598+41522
23 Aug 2025Bologna (H)1–01593+41522
25 May 2025Torino (A)2–01590+71513
18 May 2025Milan (H)3–11583+71513
12 May 2025Atalanta (A)1–21576−41513
4 May 2025Fiorentina (H)1–01580+41513
27 Apr 2025Inter (A)1–01576+71513
19 Apr 2025Verona (H)1–01569+31513
13 Apr 2025Lazio (A)1–11566+11513
6 Apr 2025Juventus (H)1–1156501513
29 Mar 2025Lecce (A)1–01566+41513
16 Mar 2025Cagliari (H)1–01562+31513
9 Mar 2025Empoli (A)1–01559+41513
2 Mar 2025Como 1907 (H)2–11556+31513
24 Feb 2025Monza (H)4–01552+51513
16 Feb 2025Parma (A)1–01547+41513
9 Feb 2025Venezia FC (A)1–01543+51513
2 Feb 2025Napoli (H)1–1153801513
26 Jan 2025Udinese (A)2–11538+51513
17 Jan 2025Genoa (H)3–11534+61513
12 Jan 2025Bologna (A)2–21528+11513
5 Jan 2025Lazio (H)2–01527+71513
29 Dec 2024Milan (A)1–11520+11513
22 Dec 2024Parma (H)5–01518+81513
15 Dec 2024Como 1907 (A)0–21510−71513
7 Dec 2024Lecce (H)4–11518+61513
2 Dec 2024Atalanta (H)0–21512−71513
24 Nov 2024Napoli (A)0–11519−41513
10 Nov 2024Bologna (H)2–31523−51513
3 Nov 2024Verona (A)2–31528−61513
31 Oct 2024Torino (H)1–01534+41513
27 Oct 2024Fiorentina (A)1–51530−81513
20 Oct 2024Inter (H)0–11538−41513
6 Oct 2024Monza (A)1–1154201513
29 Sep 2024Venezia FC (H)2–11542+41513
22 Sep 2024Udinese (H)3–01539+61513
15 Sep 2024Genoa (A)1–1153201513
1 Sep 2024Juventus (A)0–01532+11513
25 Aug 2024Empoli (H)1–21531−71513
18 Aug 2024Cagliari (A)0–01538−11513
26 May 2024Empoli (A)1–21538−61500
19 May 2024Genoa (H)1–01544+41500
12 May 2024Atalanta (A)1–21540−41500
5 May 2024Juventus (H)1–11544−11500
28 Apr 2024Napoli (A)2–2154501500
25 Apr 2024Udinese (A)2–11545+41500
22 Apr 2024Bologna (H)1–31540−81500
6 Apr 2024Lazio (H)1–01549+41500
1 Apr 2024Lecce (A)0–01545−11500
17 Mar 2024Sassuolo (H)1–01545+31500
10 Mar 2024Fiorentina (A)2–2154201500
2 Mar 2024Monza (A)4–11542+91500
26 Feb 2024Torino (H)3–21533+41500
18 Feb 2024Frosinone (A)3–01529+81500
10 Feb 2024Inter (H)2–41520−71500
5 Feb 2024Cagliari (H)4–01527+61500
29 Jan 2024Salernitana (A)2–11521+51500
20 Jan 2024Verona (H)2–11517+41500
14 Jan 2024Milan (A)1–31513−61500
7 Jan 2024Atalanta (H)1–11519−11500
30 Dec 2023Juventus (A)0–11519−41500
23 Dec 2023Napoli (H)2–01523+71500
17 Dec 2023Bologna (A)0–21517−61500
10 Dec 2023Fiorentina (H)1–11523−11500
3 Dec 2023Sassuolo (A)2–11524+51500
26 Nov 2023Udinese (H)3–11519+61500
12 Nov 2023Lazio (A)0–01513+11500
5 Nov 2023Lecce (H)2–11512+41500
29 Oct 2023Inter (A)0–11508−41500
22 Oct 2023Monza (H)1–01512+41500
8 Oct 2023Cagliari (A)4–11508+91500
1 Oct 2023Frosinone (H)2–01499+71500
28 Sep 2023Genoa (A)1–41492−81500
24 Sep 2023Torino (A)1–11500+11500
17 Sep 2023Empoli (H)7–01499+91500
1 Sep 2023Milan (H)1–21490−51500
26 Aug 2023Verona (A)1–21495−41500
20 Aug 2023Salernitana (H)2–21499—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

AS Romaleague, last 12 months · n = 384

league · Wins: 296 of 768 (39%)league · Scores: 540 of 768 (70%)league · 3+ goals: 192 of 384 (50%)league · Both teams score: 183 of 384 (48%)league · Concedes: 540 of 768 (70%)league · Leads at half-time: 218 of 768 (28%)team · Wins: 12 of 20 (60%)team · Scores: 19 of 20 (95%)team · 3+ goals: 12 of 20 (60%)team · Both teams score: 9 of 20 (45%)team · Concedes: 9 of 20 (45%)team · Leads at half-time: 11 of 20 (55%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
AS Romaleague
Winswon the match60%12 of 2039–78%39%296 of 76835–42%
Scoresscored at least once95%19 of 2076–99%70%540 of 76867–73%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)60%12 of 2039–78%50%192 of 38445–55%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)45%9 of 2026–66%48%183 of 38443–53%
Concedesconceded at least once45%9 of 2026–66%70%540 of 76867–73%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)55%11 of 2034–74%28%218 of 76825–32%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

WDDWD
9points
1.80per match
2-3-0W-D-L
9scored
5conceded

Last 8 matches n = 8

WWWWDDWD
18points
2.25per match
5-3-0W-D-L
19scored
6conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 8

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

8unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 8
2scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 5
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 2
1both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 1

Goals: home and away n = 8

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches82.38league 1.500.75league 1.5038%3 of 8 · league 57%62%5 of 8 · league 60%62%5 of 8 · league 22%12%1 of 8 · league 22%
Home42.50league 1.590.75league 1.4150%2 of 4 · league 57%75%3 of 4 · league 60%50%2 of 4 · league 23%0%0 of 4 · league 21%
Away42.25league 1.410.75league 1.5925%1 of 4 · league 57%50%2 of 4 · league 60%75%3 of 4 · league 21%25%1 of 4 · league 23%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half n = 8

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

scoredconcededscored per matchconceded per match
1st half710.880.12
2nd half1251.500.62

From half-time scores, 8 matches.

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 5

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Gian Piero Gasperini6 Jun 2025now461.98
Claudio Ranieri14 Nov 2024Jun 2025262.15
Ivan Jurić18 Sep 202410 Nov 202481.25
Daniele De Rossi16 Jan 202418 Sep 2024221.68
José Mourinho1 Jul 202116 Jan 2024201.45
Whole period in our database20 Aug 202324 Oct 20261221.83

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 8

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

24 Oct 2026AwayASSC Napoli3–3
17 Oct 2026HomeHGenoa CFC2–0
11 Oct 2026AwayAComo 19070–0
19 Sep 2026HomeHFC Internazionale Milano2–2
14 Sep 2026AwayATorino FC2–0
5 Sep 2026HomeHAtalanta BC2–1
31 Aug 2026AwayAUS Lecce4–0
24 Aug 2026HomeHACF Fiorentina4–0

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

HomeHCagliari Calcio
AwayAUdinese Calcio
HomeHUS Sassuolo Calcio
AwayAParma Calcio 1913
HomeHAC Monza

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 9

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Donyell Malen67—1
Matias Soule38—1
Manu Koné26——
Leonardo Balerdi27——
Niccolo Pisilli28——
Emanuele Lulli18——
Mario Hermoso18——
Rodrigo Mora18——
Santiago Castro18—1

The players in the list have 19 goals between them; the team has scored 19 in the league. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 19

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026