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Bologna FC 1909

Serie A · season 2026-27 · 8 matches

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13League position13 of 20 in the regular season table (8 points, 8 played).
1540Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 9 of 20 in Serie A. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Bologna13th of 20Below average 1 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5LDWLWPoints rate · last 1040%league 46%Goal difference −1 in the last 10 · Elo +1.6 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Nothing above the league rate in the cautious reading.
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

AC Milan – Bologna FC 1909

· Away

49%1≈ 1 in 2.05
26%X≈ 1 in 3.83
25%2≈ 1 in 3.99

Explore Bologna FC 1909

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator3%chance of a top-6 finishWhere does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.41difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time76%won after leading at half-time (25 of 33)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model0upsets in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 0.4)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores1–1the team's most common score (15 of 122 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers2Federico Bernardeschi, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1540Elo rating: #9 in Serie AHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 122

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1540now
1592highest22 Nov 2025
1491lowest21 Aug 2023
−1last 10 matches
Bologna FC 1909league average (teams of the same season)
14801500152015401560158016002023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
24 Oct 2026Cagliari (A)2–01540+71525
17 Oct 2026Inter (H)1–31533−41525
11 Oct 2026Lecce (A)2–11537+41525
19 Sep 2026Torino (H)1–11533−21525
13 Sep 2026Napoli (A)0–11535−31525
6 Sep 2026Sassuolo (H)2–21538−21525
31 Aug 2026Atalanta (A)0–11540−31525
24 Aug 2026Lazio (H)0–11543−61525
23 May 2026Inter (H)3–31549+21522
17 May 2026Atalanta (A)1–01547+71522
11 May 2026Napoli (A)3–21540+71522
3 May 2026Cagliari (H)0–01533−21522
25 Apr 2026Roma (H)0–21535−71522
19 Apr 2026Juventus (A)0–21543−51522
12 Apr 2026Lecce (H)2–01547+41522
5 Apr 2026Cremonese (A)2–11544+51522
22 Mar 2026Lazio (H)0–21539−91522
15 Mar 2026Sassuolo (A)1–01548+41522
8 Mar 2026Verona (H)1–21543−81522
2 Mar 2026AC Pisa (A)1–01551+41522
23 Feb 2026Udinese (H)1–01547+31522
15 Feb 2026Torino (A)2–11544+51522
8 Feb 2026Parma (H)0–11539−71522
3 Feb 2026Milan (H)0–31546−81522
25 Jan 2026Genoa (A)2–31554−61522
18 Jan 2026Fiorentina (H)1–21560−61522
15 Jan 2026Verona (A)3–21566+41522
10 Jan 2026Como 1907 (A)1–11563+11522
7 Jan 2026Atalanta (H)0–21562−81522
4 Jan 2026Inter (A)1–31570−41522
28 Dec 2025Sassuolo (H)1–11574−21522
14 Dec 2025Juventus (H)0–11577−51522
7 Dec 2025Lazio (A)1–1158201522
1 Dec 2025Cremonese (H)1–31582−101522
22 Nov 2025Udinese (A)3–01592+71522
9 Nov 2025Napoli (H)2–01586+71522
2 Nov 2025Parma (A)3–11578+61522
29 Oct 2025Torino (H)0–01572−21522
26 Oct 2025Fiorentina (A)2–2157401522
19 Oct 2025Cagliari (A)2–01574+61522
5 Oct 2025AC Pisa (H)4–01568+61522
28 Sep 2025Lecce (A)2–21562−11522
20 Sep 2025Genoa (H)2–11563+31522
14 Sep 2025Milan (A)0–11560−41522
30 Aug 2025Como 1907 (H)1–01564+41522
23 Aug 2025Roma (A)0–11560−41522
24 May 2025Genoa (H)1–31564−111513
18 May 2025Fiorentina (A)2–31575−51513
9 May 2025Milan (A)1–31580−71513
4 May 2025Juventus (H)1–11586−11513
28 Apr 2025Udinese (A)0–01587−11513
20 Apr 2025Inter (H)1–01588+61513
13 Apr 2025Atalanta (A)0–21582−61513
7 Apr 2025Napoli (H)1–11588−11513
29 Mar 2025Venezia FC (A)1–01589+41513
16 Mar 2025Lazio (H)5–01585+81513
9 Mar 2025Verona (A)2–11577+41513
2 Mar 2025Cagliari (H)2–11573+21513
27 Feb 2025Milan (H)2–11571+41513
22 Feb 2025Parma (A)0–21567−91513
14 Feb 2025Torino (H)3–21576+31513
9 Feb 2025Lecce (A)0–01572−11513
1 Feb 2025Como 1907 (H)2–01574+51513
25 Jan 2025Empoli (A)1–11569−11513
18 Jan 2025Monza (H)3–11570+41513
15 Jan 2025Inter (A)2–21566+21513
12 Jan 2025Roma (H)2–21564−11513
30 Dec 2024Verona (H)2–31565−81513
21 Dec 2024Torino (A)2–01573+71513
15 Dec 2024Fiorentina (H)1–01565+41513
7 Dec 2024Juventus (A)2–21561+11513
30 Nov 2024Venezia FC (H)3–01560+51513
24 Nov 2024Lazio (A)0–31554−81513
10 Nov 2024Roma (A)3–21562+51513
2 Nov 2024Lecce (H)1–01557+31513
29 Oct 2024Cagliari (A)2–01554+61513
19 Oct 2024Genoa (A)2–2154801513
6 Oct 2024Parma (H)0–01548−21513
28 Sep 2024Atalanta (H)1–11550−11513
22 Sep 2024Monza (A)2–11550+51513
14 Sep 2024Como 1907 (A)2–2154601513
31 Aug 2024Empoli (H)1–11546−21513
25 Aug 2024Napoli (A)0–31548−91513
18 Aug 2024Udinese (H)1–11557−21513
24 May 2024Genoa (A)0–21558−81500
20 May 2024Juventus (H)3–31566−11500
11 May 2024Napoli (A)2–01567+81500
3 May 2024Torino (A)0–0156001500
28 Apr 2024Udinese (H)1–11560−21500
22 Apr 2024Roma (A)3–11562+81500
13 Apr 2024Monza (H)0–01553−21500
7 Apr 2024Frosinone (A)0–01555−11500
1 Apr 2024Salernitana (H)3–01556+41500
15 Mar 2024Empoli (A)1–01552+41500
9 Mar 2024Inter (H)0–11547−51500
3 Mar 2024Atalanta (A)2–11552+61500
23 Feb 2024Verona (H)2–01546+51500
18 Feb 2024Lazio (A)2–11542+51500
14 Feb 2024Fiorentina (H)2–01536+61500
11 Feb 2024Lecce (H)4–01530+71500
3 Feb 2024Sassuolo (H)4–21523+51500
27 Jan 2024Milan (A)2–21518+11500
14 Jan 2024Cagliari (A)1–21516−51500
5 Jan 2024Genoa (H)1–11522−11500
30 Dec 2023Udinese (A)0–31523−91500
23 Dec 2023Atalanta (H)1–01532+41500
17 Dec 2023Roma (H)2–01528+61500
10 Dec 2023Salernitana (A)2–11521+51500
3 Dec 2023Lecce (A)1–1151701500
27 Nov 2023Torino (H)2–01516+61500
12 Nov 2023Fiorentina (A)1–21510−41500
3 Nov 2023Lazio (H)1–01514+41500
28 Oct 2023Sassuolo (A)1–1151001500
22 Oct 2023Frosinone (H)2–11510+41500
7 Oct 2023Inter (A)2–21506+11500
1 Oct 2023Empoli (H)3–01504+71500
28 Sep 2023Monza (A)0–01498+11500
24 Sep 2023Napoli (H)0–01497−11500
18 Sep 2023Verona (A)0–01497+11500
2 Sep 2023Cagliari (H)2–11497+41500
27 Aug 2023Juventus (A)1–11492+11500
21 Aug 2023Milan (H)0–21491—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

Bologna FC 1909league, last 12 months · n = 384

league · Wins: 296 of 768 (39%)league · Scores: 540 of 768 (70%)league · 3+ goals: 192 of 384 (50%)league · Both teams score: 183 of 384 (48%)league · Concedes: 540 of 768 (70%)league · Leads at half-time: 218 of 768 (28%)team · Wins: 8 of 20 (40%)team · Scores: 13 of 20 (65%)team · 3+ goals: 7 of 20 (35%)team · Both teams score: 8 of 20 (40%)team · Concedes: 14 of 20 (70%)team · Leads at half-time: 7 of 20 (35%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
Bologna FC 1909league
Winswon the match40%8 of 2022–61%39%296 of 76835–42%
Scoresscored at least once65%13 of 2043–82%70%540 of 76867–73%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)35%7 of 2018–57%50%192 of 38445–55%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)40%8 of 2022–61%48%183 of 38443–53%
Concedesconceded at least once70%14 of 2048–85%70%540 of 76867–73%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)35%7 of 2018–57%28%218 of 76825–32%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

LDWLW
7points
1.40per match
2-1-2W-D-L
6scored
6conceded

Last 8 matches n = 8

LLDLDWLW
8points
1.00per match
2-2-4W-D-L
8scored
10conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 8

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

1unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 2
4scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 4
1clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 1
0both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 3

Goals: home and away n = 8

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches81.00league 1.501.25league 1.5050%4 of 8 · league 57%38%3 of 8 · league 60%12%1 of 8 · league 22%38%3 of 8 · league 22%
Home41.00league 1.591.75league 1.4175%3 of 4 · league 57%50%2 of 4 · league 60%0%0 of 4 · league 23%25%1 of 4 · league 21%
Away41.00league 1.410.75league 1.5925%1 of 4 · league 57%25%1 of 4 · league 60%25%1 of 4 · league 21%50%2 of 4 · league 23%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half n = 8

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

scoredconcededscored per matchconceded per match
1st half320.380.25
2nd half580.621.00

From half-time scores, 8 matches.

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 3

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Domenico Tedesco2 Jun 2026unconfirmed40.25
Vincenzo Italiano5 Jun 202428 May 2026761.55
Thiago Motta12 Sep 20224 Jun 2024381.79
Whole period in our database21 Aug 202324 Oct 20261221.59

Current coach: the two sources do not name the same person, so this season's changes are not shown until they match.

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 8

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

24 Oct 2026AwayACagliari Calcio2–0
17 Oct 2026HomeHFC Internazionale Milano1–3
11 Oct 2026AwayAUS Lecce2–1
19 Sep 2026HomeHTorino FC1–1
13 Sep 2026AwayASSC Napoli0–1
6 Sep 2026HomeHUS Sassuolo Calcio2–2
31 Aug 2026AwayAAtalanta BC0–1
24 Aug 2026HomeHSS Lazio0–1

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

AwayAAC Milan
HomeHAC Monza
AwayAParma Calcio 1913
HomeHUdinese Calcio
AwayAVenezia FC

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 7

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Federico Bernardeschi281—
Riccardo Orsolini14——
Artem Dovbyk16——
Jay Enem16——
Nicolò Casale16——
Roberto Piccoli17——
Tommaso Pobega18——

The players in the list have 8 goals between them; the team has scored 8 in the league. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 19

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026