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Serie A · Matchday 5

2026-27 · 18 Sep 2026 – 20 Sep 2026 ← matchday 4 matchday 6 →

Round on radar: all leagues, before and after

Results 10 played

Every match of the round with the final score. Matches not yet played are shown as postponed.

AC Monza2–1US Sassuolo Calcio
Bologna FC 19091–1Torino FC
Udinese Calcio0–1Cagliari Calcio
AS Roma2–2FC Internazionale Milano
Venezia FC0–2SS Lazio
ACF Fiorentina1–1SSC Napoli
Frosinone Calcio2–0Como 1907
Parma Calcio 19132–1Genoa CFC
Juventus FC2–0Atalanta BC
AC Milan3–0US Lecce

kick-off (UTC).

The round in numbers

The round's figures against the season average before it: goals per match, how often both teams scored, how often there were at least 3 goals, and how results split between home wins, draws and away wins.

24goals2.40 per match · season before this round: 3.02
50.0%both teams scoredseason before this round: 60.0%
40.0%3+ goalsseason before this round: 57.5%
5 / 3 / 2home / draw / away

Table moves

How the table changed: each team's position before and after the round. At the top, the biggest climbs and drops.

Teambefore → afterpts
Juventus FC8 → 6+210
Frosinone Calcio9 → 7+210
SS Lazio4 → 3+113
Como 19073 → 8-510
US Sassuolo Calcio7 → 10-37
ACF Fiorentina15 → 17-24

Elo moves

The Elo rating before and after the round. It rises when a team gets more from a match than expected and falls when it gets less; beating a strong opponent moves it more than beating a weak one.

Teambefore → afterΔ
Frosinone Calcio1456 → 1466+9.6
Cagliari Calcio1452 → 1458+6.1
Juventus FC1622 → 1628+6.0
Como 19071607 → 1598-9.6
Udinese Calcio1479 → 1473-6.1
Atalanta BC1603 → 1597-6.0

Streaks ended and new records

Streaks of at least 5 matches that ended in this round, and streaks that became a new own record (the longest in our database for that team).

Team
AS Romawins in a row9ended
Como 1907unbeaten9ended
Como 1907scoring7ended
Como 1907both teams score5ended
Atalanta BCscoring5ended
Torino FCconceding10new own record old record: 9
Genoa CFCwinless10new own record old record: 9

What the model said

Only estimates frozen within the last hour before each match; nothing recomputed afterwards. “Hit” = the most probable result was the real one. The round's Brier score: 0 = perfect, 0.6667 = random guessing. “Surprise” = how unlikely the real result was for the model (higher = more surprising).

No estimate was frozen before the matches of this round. The model was published on 24 Sep 2026; estimates are frozen within the last hour before each match, starting with the first round after publication.

How the chances moved

The difference between the simulator's chances before the round and after it: who gained and who lost the most for 1st place, the top 4 and the bottom 3.

No simulator run before this round; the comparison appears from the first round with a run before and one after.

Updated 25 Oct 2026 06:08