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AC Milan

Serie A · season 2026-27 · 7 matches

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5League position5 of 20 in the regular season table (15 points, 7 played).
1614Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 5 of 20 in Serie A. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Milan5th of 20Good form 3 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5DDWDWPoints rate · last 1060%league 46%Goal difference +6 in the last 10 · Elo +7.4 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Nothing above the league rate in the cautious reading.
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

Udinese Calcio – AC Milan

· Away

22%1≈ 1 in 4.50
25%X≈ 1 in 4.00
53%2≈ 1 in 1.89

Explore AC Milan

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator63%chance of a top-6 finishWhere does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.38difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time78%won after leading at half-time (32 of 41)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model2upsets in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 0.7)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores1–0the team's most common score (19 of 121 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers4Adrien Rabiot, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1614Elo rating: #5 in Serie AHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 121

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1614now
1638highest8 Mar 2026
1509lowest21 Aug 2023
+5last 10 matches
AC Milanleague average (teams of the same season)
15001525155015751600162516502023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
18 Oct 2026Atalanta (H)3–21614+41525
11 Oct 2026Sassuolo (A)1–11610−11525
20 Sep 2026Lecce (H)3–01612+41525
12 Sep 2026Lazio (A)2–2160801525
6 Sep 2026Juventus (A)1–11608+11525
28 Aug 2026Venezia FC (H)2–01607+31525
23 Aug 2026Torino (A)2–11604+41525
24 May 2026Cagliari (H)1–21600−81522
17 May 2026Genoa (A)2–11608+41522
10 May 2026Atalanta (H)2–31604−61522
3 May 2026Sassuolo (A)0–21609−101522
26 Apr 2026Juventus (H)0–0161901522
19 Apr 2026Verona (A)1–01620+21522
11 Apr 2026Udinese (H)0–31617−141522
6 Apr 2026Napoli (A)0–11631−41522
21 Mar 2026Torino (H)3–21635+21522
15 Mar 2026Lazio (A)0–11633−61522
8 Mar 2026Inter (H)1–01638+61522
1 Mar 2026Cremonese (A)2–01633+51522
22 Feb 2026Parma (H)0–11628−81522
18 Feb 2026Como 1907 (H)1–11635−21522
13 Feb 2026AC Pisa (A)2–11637+31522
3 Feb 2026Bologna (A)3–01634+81522
25 Jan 2026Roma (A)1–11626+11522
18 Jan 2026Lecce (H)1–01625+21522
15 Jan 2026Como 1907 (A)3–11624+71522
11 Jan 2026Fiorentina (A)1–11616−11522
8 Jan 2026Genoa (H)1–11617−31522
2 Jan 2026Cagliari (A)1–01620+31522
28 Dec 2025Verona (H)3–01617+31522
14 Dec 2025Sassuolo (H)2–21613−31522
8 Dec 2025Torino (A)3–21616+41522
29 Nov 2025Lazio (H)1–01612+41522
23 Nov 2025Inter (A)1–01609+71522
8 Nov 2025Parma (A)2–21602−11522
2 Nov 2025Roma (H)1–01603+41522
28 Oct 2025Atalanta (A)1–11599+11522
24 Oct 2025AC Pisa (H)2–21598−21522
19 Oct 2025Fiorentina (H)2–11600+41522
5 Oct 2025Juventus (A)0–01596+11522
28 Sep 2025Napoli (H)2–11595+51522
20 Sep 2025Udinese (A)3–01591+71522
14 Sep 2025Bologna (H)1–01584+41522
29 Aug 2025Lecce (A)2–01580+51522
23 Aug 2025Cremonese (H)1–21574−71522
24 May 2025Monza (H)2–01581+31513
18 May 2025Roma (A)1–31578−71513
9 May 2025Bologna (H)3–11585+71513
5 May 2025Genoa (A)2–11578+41513
27 Apr 2025Venezia FC (A)2–01574+61513
20 Apr 2025Atalanta (H)0–11568−51513
11 Apr 2025Udinese (A)4–01573+81513
5 Apr 2025Fiorentina (H)2–21565−11513
30 Mar 2025Napoli (A)1–21566−41513
15 Mar 2025Como 1907 (H)2–11570+31513
8 Mar 2025Lecce (A)3–21567+41513
2 Mar 2025Lazio (H)1–21563−61513
27 Feb 2025Bologna (A)1–21569−41513
22 Feb 2025Torino (A)1–21573−51513
15 Feb 2025Verona (H)1–01579+21513
8 Feb 2025Empoli (A)2–01576+61513
2 Feb 2025Inter (H)1–11571+11513
26 Jan 2025Parma (H)3–21570+31513
18 Jan 2025Juventus (A)0–21567−61513
14 Jan 2025Como 1907 (A)2–11573+41513
11 Jan 2025Cagliari (H)1–11568−31513
29 Dec 2024Roma (H)1–11571−11513
20 Dec 2024Verona (A)1–01572+41513
15 Dec 2024Genoa (H)0–01568−21513
6 Dec 2024Atalanta (A)1–21570−41513
30 Nov 2024Empoli (H)3–01574+51513
23 Nov 2024Juventus (H)0–0156901513
9 Nov 2024Cagliari (A)3–31570−11513
2 Nov 2024Monza (A)1–01571+41513
29 Oct 2024Napoli (H)0–21567−91513
19 Oct 2024Udinese (H)1–01576+31513
6 Oct 2024Fiorentina (A)1–21573−51513
27 Sep 2024Lecce (H)3–01578+51513
22 Sep 2024Inter (A)2–11573+71513
14 Sep 2024Venezia FC (H)4–01566+61513
31 Aug 2024Lazio (A)2–2156001513
24 Aug 2024Parma (A)1–21560−51513
17 Aug 2024Torino (H)2–21565−21513
25 May 2024Salernitana (H)3–31567−31500
18 May 2024Torino (A)1–31570−81500
11 May 2024Cagliari (H)5–11578+51500
5 May 2024Genoa (H)3–31573−21500
27 Apr 2024Juventus (A)0–0157401500
22 Apr 2024Inter (H)1–21574−51500
14 Apr 2024Sassuolo (A)3–31579−11500
6 Apr 2024Lecce (H)3–01580+51500
30 Mar 2024Fiorentina (A)2–11575+51500
17 Mar 2024Verona (A)3–11570+61500
10 Mar 2024Empoli (H)1–01564+31500
1 Mar 2024Lazio (A)1–01561+51500
25 Feb 2024Atalanta (H)1–11556−11500
18 Feb 2024Monza (A)2–41557−81500
11 Feb 2024Napoli (H)1–01565+41500
3 Feb 2024Frosinone (A)3–21561+41500
27 Jan 2024Bologna (H)2–21557−11500
20 Jan 2024Udinese (A)3–21558+51500
14 Jan 2024Roma (H)3–11553+61500
7 Jan 2024Empoli (A)3–01547+81500
30 Dec 2023Sassuolo (H)1–01540+31500
22 Dec 2023Salernitana (A)2–21536−11500
17 Dec 2023Monza (H)3–01537+71500
9 Dec 2023Atalanta (A)2–31530−51500
2 Dec 2023Frosinone (H)3–11535+61500
25 Nov 2023Fiorentina (H)1–01529+41500
11 Nov 2023Lecce (A)2–2152501500
4 Nov 2023Udinese (H)0–11525−61500
29 Oct 2023Napoli (A)2–21531+11500
22 Oct 2023Juventus (H)0–11530−61500
7 Oct 2023Genoa (A)1–01536+51500
30 Sep 2023Lazio (H)2–01531+61500
27 Sep 2023Cagliari (A)3–11525+81500
23 Sep 2023Verona (H)1–01517+41500
16 Sep 2023Inter (A)1–51513−81500
1 Sep 2023Roma (A)2–11521+51500
26 Aug 2023Torino (H)4–11516+71500
21 Aug 2023Bologna (A)2–01509—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

AC Milanleague, last 12 months · n = 384

league · Wins: 296 of 768 (39%)league · Scores: 540 of 768 (70%)league · 3+ goals: 192 of 384 (50%)league · Both teams score: 183 of 384 (48%)league · Concedes: 540 of 768 (70%)league · Leads at half-time: 218 of 768 (28%)team · Wins: 9 of 20 (45%)team · Scores: 14 of 20 (70%)team · 3+ goals: 9 of 20 (45%)team · Both teams score: 9 of 20 (45%)team · Concedes: 14 of 20 (70%)team · Leads at half-time: 4 of 20 (20%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
AC Milanleague
Winswon the match45%9 of 2026–66%39%296 of 76835–42%
Scoresscored at least once70%14 of 2048–85%70%540 of 76867–73%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)45%9 of 2026–66%50%192 of 38445–55%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)45%9 of 2026–66%48%183 of 38443–53%
Concedesconceded at least once70%14 of 2048–85%70%540 of 76867–73%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)20%4 of 208–42%28%218 of 76825–32%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

DDWDW
9points
1.80per match
2-3-0W-D-L
10scored
6conceded

Last 7 matches n = 7

WWDDWDW
15points
2.14per match
4-3-0W-D-L
14scored
7conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 7

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

7unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 7
7scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 7
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 1
2both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 2

Goals: home and away n = 7

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches72.00league 1.501.00league 1.5071%5 of 7 · league 57%57%4 of 7 · league 60%29%2 of 7 · league 22%0%0 of 7 · league 22%
Home32.67league 1.590.67league 1.4133%1 of 3 · league 57%67%2 of 3 · league 60%67%2 of 3 · league 23%0%0 of 3 · league 21%
Away41.50league 1.411.25league 1.59100%4 of 4 · league 57%50%2 of 4 · league 60%0%0 of 4 · league 21%0%0 of 4 · league 23%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

Not enough data yet (7 of 8 matches needed).

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 5

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Ruben Amorim16 Jun 2026now72.14
Massimiliano Allegri30 May 202525 May 2026381.84
Sérgio Conceição30 Dec 202429 May 2025211.71
Paulo Fonseca1 Jul 202430 Dec 2024171.59
Stefano Pioli9 Oct 201926 May 2024381.97
Whole period in our database21 Aug 202318 Oct 20261211.84

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 7

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

18 Oct 2026HomeHAtalanta BC3–2
11 Oct 2026AwayAUS Sassuolo Calcio1–1
20 Sep 2026HomeHUS Lecce3–0
12 Sep 2026AwayASS Lazio2–2
6 Sep 2026AwayAJuventus FC1–1
28 Aug 2026HomeHVenezia FC2–0
23 Aug 2026AwayATorino FC2–1

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

AwayAUdinese Calcio
HomeHBologna FC 1909
HomeHFC Internazionale Milano
AwayAGenoa CFC
HomeHFrosinone Calcio

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 6

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Adrien Rabiot47—3
Diego Moreira37—1
Alphadjo Cisse27——
Gonçalo Ramos2711
Christian Pulisic17—1
Gila17——

The players in the list have 13 goals between them; the team has scored 14 in the league. A 1-goal difference between the source's scorer list and the results; the source does not say who scored the rest. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 20

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026