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Atalanta BC

Serie A · season 2026-27 · 7 matches

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11League position11 of 20 in the regular season table (9 points, 7 played).
1596Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 7 of 20 in Serie A. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Atalanta11th of 20Poor form 0 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5LLLWLPoints rate · last 1043%league 46%Goal difference −1 in the last 10 · Elo −18.8 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Nothing above the league rate in the cautious reading.
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

Atalanta BC – Frosinone Calcio

· Home

The model's estimate appears at most 14 days before kick-off.

Explore Atalanta BC

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator42%chance of a top-6 finishWhere does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.37difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time88%won after leading at half-time (42 of 48)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model0upsets in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 0.7)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores1–1the team's most common score (18 of 121 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers4Nikola Krstović, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1596Elo rating: #7 in Serie AHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 121

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1596now
1629highest17 May 2025
1504lowest26 Aug 2023
−14last 10 matches
Atalanta BCleague average (teams of the same season)
15001525155015751600162516502023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
18 Oct 2026Milan (A)2–31596−41525
12 Oct 2026Venezia FC (H)3–11600+31525
20 Sep 2026Juventus (A)0–21597−61525
12 Sep 2026Cagliari (H)1–21603−81525
5 Sep 2026Roma (A)1–21610−41525
31 Aug 2026Bologna (H)1–01614+31525
23 Aug 2026Sassuolo (H)2–11611+21525
22 May 2026Fiorentina (A)1–1160901522
17 May 2026Bologna (H)0–11609−71522
10 May 2026Milan (A)3–21616+61522
2 May 2026Genoa (H)0–01610−21522
27 Apr 2026Cagliari (A)2–31613−71522
18 Apr 2026Roma (A)1–1162001522
11 Apr 2026Juventus (H)0–11619−61522
6 Apr 2026Lecce (A)3–01625+51522
22 Mar 2026Verona (H)1–01620+21522
14 Mar 2026Inter (A)1–11618+21522
7 Mar 2026Udinese (H)2–21616−31522
1 Mar 2026Sassuolo (A)1–21619−71522
22 Feb 2026Napoli (H)2–11626+41522
14 Feb 2026Lazio (A)2–01621+71522
9 Feb 2026Cremonese (H)2–11614+31522
1 Feb 2026Como 1907 (A)0–0161101522
25 Jan 2026Parma (H)4–01611+51522
16 Jan 2026AC Pisa (A)1–11607−11522
10 Jan 2026Torino (H)2–01608+41522
7 Jan 2026Bologna (A)2–01604+81522
3 Jan 2026Roma (H)1–01596+41522
28 Dec 2025Inter (H)0–11592−41522
21 Dec 2025Genoa (A)1–01596+41522
13 Dec 2025Cagliari (H)2–11592+21522
6 Dec 2025Verona (A)1–31590−111522
30 Nov 2025Fiorentina (H)2–01600+51522
22 Nov 2025Napoli (A)1–31595−61522
9 Nov 2025Sassuolo (H)0–31601−141522
1 Nov 2025Udinese (A)0–11615−71522
28 Oct 2025Milan (H)1–11622−11522
25 Oct 2025Cremonese (A)1–11623−11522
19 Oct 2025Lazio (H)0–01624−21522
4 Oct 2025Como 1907 (H)1–11626−21522
27 Sep 2025Juventus (A)1–11628+11522
21 Sep 2025Torino (A)3–01628+71522
14 Sep 2025Lecce (H)4–11621+31522
30 Aug 2025Parma (A)1–11617−11522
24 Aug 2025AC Pisa (H)1–11619−21522
25 May 2025Parma (H)2–31621−81513
17 May 2025Genoa (A)3–21629+41513
12 May 2025Roma (H)2–11625+41513
4 May 2025Monza (A)4–01622+51513
27 Apr 2025Lecce (H)1–11617−31513
20 Apr 2025Milan (A)1–01620+51513
13 Apr 2025Bologna (H)2–01615+61513
6 Apr 2025Lazio (H)0–11609−71513
30 Mar 2025Fiorentina (A)0–11615−51513
16 Mar 2025Inter (H)0–21621−81513
9 Mar 2025Juventus (A)4–01628+111513
1 Mar 2025Venezia FC (H)0–01618−31513
23 Feb 2025Empoli (A)5–01621+61513
15 Feb 2025Cagliari (H)0–01614−31513
8 Feb 2025Verona (A)5–01617+61513
1 Feb 2025Torino (H)1–11611−21513
25 Jan 2025Como 1907 (A)2–11613+41513
18 Jan 2025Napoli (H)2–31609−61513
14 Jan 2025Juventus (H)1–11615−11513
11 Jan 2025Udinese (A)0–01617−11513
28 Dec 2024Lazio (A)1–1161801513
22 Dec 2024Empoli (H)3–21618+21513
14 Dec 2024Cagliari (A)1–01616+31513
6 Dec 2024Milan (H)2–11613+41513
2 Dec 2024Roma (A)2–01609+71513
23 Nov 2024Parma (A)3–11602+61513
10 Nov 2024Udinese (H)2–11596+31513
3 Nov 2024Napoli (A)3–01593+91513
30 Oct 2024Monza (H)2–01584+41513
26 Oct 2024Verona (H)6–11580+51513
20 Oct 2024Venezia FC (A)2–01574+71513
5 Oct 2024Genoa (H)5–11567+61513
28 Sep 2024Bologna (A)1–11561+11513
24 Sep 2024Como 1907 (H)2–31561−71513
15 Sep 2024Fiorentina (H)3–21567+41513
30 Aug 2024Inter (A)0–41564−61513
25 Aug 2024Torino (A)1–21570−51513
19 Aug 2024Lecce (A)4–01575+81513
2 Jun 2024Fiorentina (H)2–31567−61500
26 May 2024Torino (H)3–01574+61500
18 May 2024Lecce (A)2–01568+61500
12 May 2024Roma (H)2–11561+41500
6 May 2024Salernitana (A)2–11557+31500
28 Apr 2024Empoli (H)2–01554+51500
21 Apr 2024Monza (A)2–11549+51500
15 Apr 2024Verona (H)2–21544−21500
7 Apr 2024Cagliari (A)1–21546−61500
30 Mar 2024Napoli (A)3–01552+101500
10 Mar 2024Juventus (A)2–21543+11500
3 Mar 2024Bologna (H)1–21542−61500
28 Feb 2024Inter (A)0–41547−61500
25 Feb 2024Milan (A)1–11553+11500
17 Feb 2024Sassuolo (H)3–01553+51500
11 Feb 2024Genoa (A)4–11547+91500
4 Feb 2024Lazio (H)3–11538+61500
27 Jan 2024Udinese (H)2–01532+51500
15 Jan 2024Frosinone (H)5–01527+71500
7 Jan 2024Roma (A)1–11520+11500
30 Dec 2023Lecce (H)1–01519+41500
23 Dec 2023Bologna (A)0–11515−41500
18 Dec 2023Salernitana (H)4–11519+61500
9 Dec 2023Milan (H)3–21513+51500
4 Dec 2023Torino (A)0–31509−81500
25 Nov 2023Napoli (H)1–21517−61500
12 Nov 2023Udinese (A)1–1152301500
4 Nov 2023Inter (H)1–21523−51500
30 Oct 2023Empoli (A)3–01528+91500
22 Oct 2023Genoa (H)2–01519+61500
8 Oct 2023Lazio (A)2–31513−51500
1 Oct 2023Juventus (H)0–01518−11500
27 Sep 2023Verona (A)1–01519+61500
24 Sep 2023Cagliari (H)2–01513+61500
17 Sep 2023Fiorentina (A)2–31507−41500
2 Sep 2023Monza (H)3–01511+71500
26 Aug 2023Frosinone (A)1–21504−51500
20 Aug 2023Sassuolo (A)2–01509—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

Atalanta BCleague, last 12 months · n = 384

league · Wins: 296 of 768 (39%)league · Scores: 540 of 768 (70%)league · 3+ goals: 192 of 384 (50%)league · Both teams score: 183 of 384 (48%)league · Concedes: 540 of 768 (70%)league · Leads at half-time: 218 of 768 (28%)team · Wins: 7 of 20 (35%)team · Scores: 16 of 20 (80%)team · 3+ goals: 11 of 20 (55%)team · Both teams score: 13 of 20 (65%)team · Concedes: 16 of 20 (80%)team · Leads at half-time: 5 of 20 (25%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
Atalanta BCleague
Winswon the match35%7 of 2018–57%39%296 of 76835–42%
Scoresscored at least once80%16 of 2058–92%70%540 of 76867–73%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)55%11 of 2034–74%50%192 of 38445–55%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)65%13 of 2043–82%48%183 of 38443–53%
Concedesconceded at least once80%16 of 2058–92%70%540 of 76867–73%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)25%5 of 2011–47%28%218 of 76825–32%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

LLLWL
3points
0.60per match
1-0-4W-D-L
7scored
10conceded

Last 7 matches n = 7

WWLLLWL
9points
1.29per match
3-0-4W-D-L
10scored
11conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 7

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

0unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 2
2scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 4
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 1
2both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 2

Goals: home and away n = 7

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches71.43league 1.501.57league 1.5071%5 of 7 · league 57%71%5 of 7 · league 60%14%1 of 7 · league 22%14%1 of 7 · league 22%
Home41.75league 1.591.00league 1.4175%3 of 4 · league 57%75%3 of 4 · league 60%25%1 of 4 · league 23%0%0 of 4 · league 21%
Away31.00league 1.412.33league 1.5967%2 of 3 · league 57%67%2 of 3 · league 60%0%0 of 3 · league 21%33%1 of 3 · league 23%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

Not enough data yet (7 of 8 matches needed).

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 4

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Maurizio Sarri15 Jun 2026now71.29
Raffaele Palladino11 Nov 2025Jun 2026271.70
Ivan Jurić6 Jun 202510 Nov 2025111.18
Gian Piero Gasperini1 Jul 2016Jun 2025761.88
Whole period in our database20 Aug 202318 Oct 20261211.74

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 7

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

18 Oct 2026AwayAAC Milan2–3
12 Oct 2026HomeHVenezia FC3–1
20 Sep 2026AwayAJuventus FC0–2
12 Sep 2026HomeHCagliari Calcio1–2
5 Sep 2026AwayAAS Roma1–2
31 Aug 2026HomeHBologna FC 19091–0
23 Aug 2026HomeHUS Sassuolo Calcio2–1

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

HomeHFrosinone Calcio
AwayAACF Fiorentina
HomeHParma Calcio 1913
AwayAAC Monza
HomeHFC Internazionale Milano

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 7

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Nikola Krstović47—1
Franck Kessié14——
Giacomo Raspadori16——
Gianluca Gaetano16—1
Éderson17——
Gianluca Scamacca17——
Lazar Samardzic17——

The players in the list have 10 goals between them; the team has scored 10 in the league. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 20

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026