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Serie A · Matchday 8

2026-27 · 23 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026 ← matchday 7

Round on radar: all leagues, before and after

Results 5 played · 5 postponed

Every match of the round with the final score. Matches not yet played are shown as postponed.

Torino FC3–2AC Monza
Cagliari Calcio0–2Bologna FC 1909
Como 19072–0US Sassuolo Calcio
SSC Napoli3–3AS Roma
SS Lazio2–1Parma Calcio 1913
FC Internazionale MilanopostponedACF Fiorentina
Atalanta BCpostponedFrosinone Calcio
Genoa CFCpostponedVenezia FC
US LeccepostponedJuventus FC
Udinese CalciopostponedAC Milan

kick-off (UTC).

The round in numbers

The round's figures against the season average before it: goals per match, how often both teams scored, how often there were at least 3 goals, and how results split between home wins, draws and away wins.

18goals3.60 per match · season before this round: 2.96
60.0%both teams scoredseason before this round: 57.1%
60.0%3+ goalsseason before this round: 60.0%
3 / 1 / 1home / draw / away

Table moves

How the table changed: each team's position before and after the round. At the top, the biggest climbs and drops.

Teambefore → afterpts
Torino FC10 → 7+313
Bologna FC 190915 → 13+28
SS Lazio2 → 1+122
Juventus FC8 → 10-211
FC Internazionale Milano1 → 2-119
AC Milan4 → 5-115

Elo moves

The Elo rating before and after the round. It rises when a team gets more from a match than expected and falls when it gets less; beating a strong opponent moves it more than beating a weak one.

Teambefore → afterΔ
Bologna FC 19091533 → 1540+6.8
Como 19071604 → 1608+3.7
Torino FC1483 → 1486+2.9
Cagliari Calcio1449 → 1443-6.8
US Sassuolo Calcio1457 → 1454-3.7
AC Monza1380 → 1377-2.9

Streaks ended and new records

Streaks of at least 5 matches that ended in this round, and streaks that became a new own record (the longest in our database for that team).

Team
Bologna FC 1909conceding8ended
US Sassuolo Calcioscoring7ended
US Sassuolo Calcioboth teams score7ended
SS Laziounbeaten9new own record old record: 8

What the model said 4 of 5 hit · Brier 0.4165

Only estimates frozen within the last hour before each match; nothing recomputed afterwards. “Hit” = the most probable result was the real one. The round's Brier score: 0 = perfect, 0.6667 = random guessing. “Surprise” = how unlikely the real result was for the model (higher = more surprising).

result1 / X / 2model's picksurprise
Napoli – Roma3–333% / 31% / 36%2 · miss1.17
Cagliari – Bologna0–229% / 28% / 43%2 · hit0.85
Torino – Monza3–254% / 23% / 22%1 · hit0.61
Lazio – Parma2–156% / 26% / 17%1 · hit0.57
Como 1907 – Sassuolo2–057% / 23% / 20%1 · hit0.56

How the chances moved

The difference between the simulator's chances before the round and after it: who gained and who lost the most for 1st place, the top 4 and the bottom 3.

1st place

Teambefore → afterΔ
FC Internazionale Milano76% → 76%+1 pp
SS Lazio1% → 1%+0 pp
SSC Napoli1% → 1%+0 pp
AS Roma17% → 16%-1 pp
AC Milan2% → 1%-0 pp
Atalanta BC0% → 0%-0 pp

top 4

Teambefore → afterΔ
AC Milan38% → 39%+1 pp
AS Roma88% → 88%+0 pp
Atalanta BC18% → 18%+0 pp
SSC Napoli35% → 34%-1 pp
Juventus FC29% → 29%-1 pp
Frosinone Calcio19% → 18%-0 pp

bottom 3

Teambefore → afterΔ
AC Monza71% → 76%+5 pp
Cagliari Calcio2% → 5%+2 pp
US Lecce38% → 38%+0 pp
Parma Calcio 191352% → 49%-3 pp
Venezia FC79% → 78%-1 pp
Torino FC3% → 2%-1 pp

run before: 23 Oct 2026 06:05 · run after: 24 Oct 2026 21:17

Updated 25 Oct 2026 06:08