RadarLa Liga · Matchday 10
2026-27 · 23 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026 ← matchday 9
Round on radar: all leagues, before and after
Results 5 played · 5 postponed
Every match of the round with the final score. Matches not yet played are shown as postponed.
kick-off (UTC).
The round in numbers
The round's figures against the season average before it: goals per match, how often both teams scored, how often there were at least 3 goals, and how results split between home wins, draws and away wins.
Table moves
How the table changed: each team's position before and after the round. At the top, the biggest climbs and drops.
| Team | before → after | pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal CF | 14 → 8 | +6 | 12 |
| Real Racing Club de Santander | 17 → 12 | +5 | 11 |
| Elche CF | 18 → 14 | +4 | 10 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 12 → 16 | -4 | 9 |
| RC Celta de Vigo | 8 → 10 | -2 | 11 |
| Levante UD | 11 → 13 | -2 | 10 |
Elo moves
The Elo rating before and after the round. It rises when a team gets more from a match than expected and falls when it gets less; beating a strong opponent moves it more than beating a weak one.
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF | 1481 → 1492 | +10.5 |
| Villarreal CF | 1590 → 1594 | +4.2 |
| Real Racing Club de Santander | 1481 → 1485 | +4.1 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 1503 → 1493 | -10.5 |
| Valencia CF | 1485 → 1481 | -4.2 |
| RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 1465 → 1461 | -4.1 |
Streaks ended and new records
Streaks of at least 5 matches that ended in this round, and streaks that became a new own record (the longest in our database for that team).
| Team | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | scoring | 15 | ended |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | both teams score | 9 | ended |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | conceding | 10 | new own record old record: 9 |
What the model said 3 of 5 hit · Brier 0.6149
Only estimates frozen within the last hour before each match; nothing recomputed afterwards. “Hit” = the most probable result was the real one. The round's Brier score: 0 = perfect, 0.6667 = random guessing. “Surprise” = how unlikely the real result was for the model (higher = more surprising).
| result | 1 / X / 2 | model's pick | surprise | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés – Málaga | 1–1 | 62% / 23% / 14% | 1 · miss | 1.45 |
| Rayo Vallecano – Elche | 0–3 | 48% / 27% / 25% | 1 · miss | 1.38 |
| Santander – Espanyol | 2–1 | 39% / 25% / 36% | 1 · hit | 0.95 |
| Valencia – Villarreal | 1–2 | 29% / 27% / 44% | 2 · hit | 0.81 |
| Atleti – Deportivo | 1–0 | 65% / 21% / 13% | 1 · hit | 0.42 |
How the chances moved
The difference between the simulator's chances before the round and after it: who gained and who lost the most for 1st place, the top 4 and the bottom 3.
1st place
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Club Atlético de Madrid | 1% → 1% | +0 pp |
| Real Madrid CF | 4% → 4% | +0 pp |
| Athletic Club | 0% → 0% | 0 pp |
| FC Barcelona | 95% → 95% | -0 pp |
| Real Betis Balompié | 0% → 0% | -0 pp |
| Athletic Club | 0% → 0% | 0 pp |
top 4
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Villarreal CF | 16% → 21% | +6 pp |
| Elche CF | 0% → 1% | +1 pp |
| Club Atlético de Madrid | 97% → 97% | +1 pp |
| Real Betis Balompié | 67% → 64% | -3 pp |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 1% → 0% | -1 pp |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 11% → 9% | -1 pp |
bottom 3
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Valencia CF | 34% → 44% | +10 pp |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 4% → 13% | +8 pp |
| RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 21% → 29% | +8 pp |
| Real Racing Club de Santander | 68% → 52% | -16 pp |
| Elche CF | 13% → 3% | -10 pp |
| Málaga CF | 93% → 91% | -2 pp |
run before: 23 Oct 2026 06:05 · run after: 25 Oct 2026 02:17
Updated 25 Oct 2026 07:37