RadarLa Liga · Matchday 9
2026-27 · 16 Oct 2026 – 19 Oct 2026 ← matchday 8 matchday 10 →
Round on radar: all leagues, before and after
Results 10 played
Every match of the round with the final score. Matches not yet played are shown as postponed.
kick-off (UTC).
The round in numbers
The round's figures against the season average before it: goals per match, how often both teams scored, how often there were at least 3 goals, and how results split between home wins, draws and away wins.
Table moves
How the table changed: each team's position before and after the round. At the top, the biggest climbs and drops.
| Team | before → after | pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RC Celta de Vigo | 11 → 8 | +3 | 11 |
| Real Madrid CF | 4 → 3 | +1 | 21 |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 6 → 5 | +1 | 16 |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña | 8 → 10 | -2 | 11 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 9 → 11 | -2 | 9 |
| Real Betis Balompié | 3 → 4 | -1 | 19 |
Elo moves
The Elo rating before and after the round. It rises when a team gets more from a match than expected and falls when it gets less; beating a strong opponent moves it more than beating a weak one.
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 1504 → 1513 | +9.4 |
| CA Osasuna | 1465 → 1472 | +6.9 |
| FC Barcelona | 1764 → 1770 | +5.6 |
| Málaga CF | 1480 → 1471 | -9.4 |
| Real Racing Club de Santander | 1488 → 1481 | -6.9 |
| Real Betis Balompié | 1583 → 1578 | -5.6 |
Streaks ended and new records
Streaks of at least 5 matches that ended in this round, and streaks that became a new own record (the longest in our database for that team).
| Team | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal CF | conceding | 22 | ended |
| RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | scoring | 12 | ended |
| Club Atlético de Madrid | 3+ goals | 7 | ended |
| Real Racing Club de Santander | 3+ goals | 6 | ended |
| Real Betis Balompié | unbeaten | 5 | ended |
| CA Osasuna | winless | 5 | ended |
| CA Osasuna | conceding | 5 | ended |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | scoring | 15 | new own record old record: 14 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | conceding | 9 | new own record old record: 8 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | both teams score | 9 | new own record old record: 8 |
What the model said 7 of 10 hit · Brier 0.5437
Only estimates frozen within the last hour before each match; nothing recomputed afterwards. “Hit” = the most probable result was the real one. The round's Brier score: 0 = perfect, 0.6667 = random guessing. “Surprise” = how unlikely the real result was for the model (higher = more surprising).
| result | 1 / X / 2 | model's pick | surprise | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal – Elche | 0–0 | 68% / 18% / 14% | 1 · miss | 1.74 |
| Deportivo – Levante | 1–1 | 54% / 23% / 23% | 1 · miss | 1.48 |
| Valencia – Athletic | 0–0 | 38% / 30% / 32% | 1 · miss | 1.22 |
| Getafe – Rayo Vallecano | 1–1 | 34% / 37% / 29% | X · hit | 0.99 |
| Málaga – Real Sociedad | 2–5 | 32% / 28% / 40% | 2 · hit | 0.91 |
| Espanyol – Atleti | 0–1 | 26% / 26% / 48% | 2 · hit | 0.74 |
| Celta – Alavés | 2–1 | 51% / 27% / 22% | 1 · hit | 0.68 |
| Osasuna – Santander | 2–0 | 55% / 21% / 24% | 1 · hit | 0.59 |
| Real Betis – Barça | 2–5 | 23% / 21% / 56% | 2 · hit | 0.59 |
| Real Madrid – Sevilla FC | 4–1 | 76% / 15% / 8% | 1 · hit | 0.27 |
How the chances moved
The difference between the simulator's chances before the round and after it: who gained and who lost the most for 1st place, the top 4 and the bottom 3.
1st place
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 94% → 95% | +2 pp |
| Athletic Club | 0% → 0% | 0 pp |
| CA Osasuna | 0% → 0% | 0 pp |
| Real Madrid CF | 5% → 4% | -2 pp |
| Club Atlético de Madrid | 1% → 1% | -0 pp |
| Real Betis Balompié | 0% → 0% | -0 pp |
top 4
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 3% → 10% | +6 pp |
| Club Atlético de Madrid | 94% → 97% | +3 pp |
| RC Celta de Vigo | 1% → 3% | +1 pp |
| Villarreal CF | 21% → 16% | -5 pp |
| Real Betis Balompié | 71% → 66% | -5 pp |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña | 1% → 1% | -1 pp |
bottom 3
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF | 79% → 94% | +15 pp |
| Real Racing Club de Santander | 55% → 67% | +12 pp |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña | 3% → 5% | +2 pp |
| CA Osasuna | 29% → 17% | -12 pp |
| Elche CF | 20% → 13% | -7 pp |
| Levante UD | 16% → 12% | -4 pp |
run before: 16 Oct 2026 06:05 · run after: 20 Oct 2026 06:05
Updated 25 Oct 2026 07:07