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Real Madrid CF

La Liga · season 2026-27 · 9 matches

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3League position3 of 20 in the regular season table (21 points, 9 played).
1720Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 2 of 20 in La Liga. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Real Madrid3rd of 20Good form 3 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5WWLWWPoints rate · last 1080%league 46%Goal difference +16 in the last 10 · Elo +5.5 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Wins14 of 20league 38%
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

FC Barcelona – Real Madrid CF

· Away

60%1≈ 1 in 1.65
20%X≈ 1 in 5.03
20%2≈ 1 in 5.08

Explore Real Madrid CF

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator4%title chanceWhere does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.30difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time92%won after leading at half-time (55 of 60)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model2upsets in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 2.9)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores2–0the team's most common score (19 of 123 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers9Kylian Mbappé, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1720Elo rating: #2 in La LigaHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 123

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1720now
1723highest14 Feb 2026
1509lowest12 Aug 2023
+11last 10 matches
Real Madrid CFleague average (teams of the same season)
14501500155016001650170017502023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
18 Oct 2026Sevilla FC (H)4–11720+31531
10 Oct 2026Villarreal (H)1–01717+31531
20 Sep 2026Atleti (A)1–21714−61531
15 Sep 2026Elche (A)3–21720+21531
12 Sep 2026Rayo Vallecano (H)4–11717+31531
4 Sep 2026Real Betis (A)0–11714−61531
30 Aug 2026Málaga (H)4–01721+31531
26 Aug 2026Real Sociedad (H)4–11717+31531
22 Aug 2026Espanyol (A)2–11714+31531
23 May 2026Athletic (H)4–21712+31525
17 May 2026Sevilla FC (A)1–01708+21525
14 May 2026Real Oviedo (H)2–01706+21525
10 May 2026Barça (A)0–21704−61525
3 May 2026Espanyol (A)2–01709+41525
24 Apr 2026Real Betis (A)1–11706−11525
21 Apr 2026Alavés (H)2–11707+21525
10 Apr 2026Girona (H)1–11706−31525
4 Apr 2026Mallorca (A)1–21709−81525
22 Mar 2026Atleti (H)3–21716+31525
14 Mar 2026Elche (H)4–11713+31525
6 Mar 2026Celta (A)2–11710+31525
2 Mar 2026Getafe (H)0–11707−91525
21 Feb 2026Osasuna (A)1–21716−71525
14 Feb 2026Real Sociedad (H)4–11723+31525
8 Feb 2026Valencia (A)2–01720+41525
1 Feb 2026Rayo Vallecano (H)2–11716+21525
24 Jan 2026Villarreal (A)2–01714+61525
17 Jan 2026Levante (H)2–01708+21525
4 Jan 2026Real Betis (H)5–11705+51525
20 Dec 2025Sevilla FC (H)2–01701+21525
14 Dec 2025Alavés (A)2–11698+31525
7 Dec 2025Celta (H)0–21696−121525
3 Dec 2025Athletic (A)3–01708+71525
30 Nov 2025Girona (A)1–11701−21525
23 Nov 2025Elche (A)2–21703−21525
9 Nov 2025Rayo Vallecano (A)0–01705−21525
1 Nov 2025Valencia (H)4–01708+31525
26 Oct 2025Barça (H)2–11704+41525
19 Oct 2025Getafe (A)1–01700+31525
4 Oct 2025Villarreal (H)3–11698+41525
27 Sep 2025Atleti (A)2–51693−101525
23 Sep 2025Levante (A)4–11703+51525
20 Sep 2025Espanyol (H)2–01698+31525
13 Sep 2025Real Sociedad (A)2–11695+31525
30 Aug 2025Mallorca (H)2–11692+21525
24 Aug 2025Real Oviedo (A)3–01690+51525
19 Aug 2025Osasuna (H)1–01685+21525
24 May 2025Real Sociedad (H)2–01683+31513
18 May 2025Sevilla FC (A)2–01680+41513
14 May 2025Mallorca (H)2–11675+21513
11 May 2025Barça (A)3–41674−41513
4 May 2025Celta (H)3–21678+21513
23 Apr 2025Getafe (A)1–01676+31513
20 Apr 2025Athletic (H)1–01673+31513
13 Apr 2025Alavés (A)1–01669+31513
5 Apr 2025Valencia (H)1–21667−81513
29 Mar 2025Leganés (H)3–21675+21513
15 Mar 2025Villarreal (A)2–11673+41513
9 Mar 2025Rayo Vallecano (H)2–11669+21513
1 Mar 2025Real Betis (A)1–21667−61513
23 Feb 2025Girona (H)2–01673+41513
15 Feb 2025Osasuna (A)1–11669−21513
8 Feb 2025Atleti (H)1–11671−21513
1 Feb 2025Espanyol (A)0–11673−71513
25 Jan 2025Valladolid (A)3–01680+51513
19 Jan 2025Las Palmas (H)4–11675+31513
3 Jan 2025Valencia (A)2–11672+31513
22 Dec 2024Sevilla FC (H)4–21669+31513
14 Dec 2024Rayo Vallecano (A)3–31666−21513
7 Dec 2024Girona (A)3–01668+81513
4 Dec 2024Athletic (A)1–21661−61513
1 Dec 2024Getafe (H)2–01666+31513
24 Nov 2024Leganés (A)3–01663+61513
9 Nov 2024Osasuna (H)4–01658+41513
26 Oct 2024Barça (H)0–41653−111513
19 Oct 2024Celta (A)2–11665+31513
5 Oct 2024Villarreal (H)2–01662+41513
29 Sep 2024Atleti (A)1–1165801513
24 Sep 2024Alavés (H)3–21658+21513
21 Sep 2024Espanyol (H)4–11656+41513
14 Sep 2024Real Sociedad (A)2–01652+61513
1 Sep 2024Real Betis (H)2–01646+41513
29 Aug 2024Las Palmas (A)1–11642−21513
25 Aug 2024Valladolid (H)3–01644+41513
18 Aug 2024Mallorca (A)1–11639−21513
25 May 2024Real Betis (H)0–01641−21500
19 May 2024Villarreal (A)4–41643−11500
14 May 2024Alavés (H)5–01644+51500
11 May 2024Granada (A)4–01639+51500
4 May 2024Cádiz CF (H)3–01634+31500
26 Apr 2024Real Sociedad (A)1–01631+41500
21 Apr 2024Barça (H)3–21626+41500
13 Apr 2024Mallorca (A)1–01623+41500
31 Mar 2024Athletic (H)2–01619+51500
16 Mar 2024Osasuna (A)4–21614+61500
10 Mar 2024Celta (H)4–01608+51500
2 Mar 2024Valencia (A)2–21603−11500
25 Feb 2024Sevilla FC (H)1–01604+31500
18 Feb 2024Rayo Vallecano (A)1–11601−11500
10 Feb 2024Girona (H)4–01602+81500
4 Feb 2024Atleti (H)1–11594−11500
1 Feb 2024Getafe (A)2–01596+71500
27 Jan 2024Las Palmas (A)2–11589+51500
21 Jan 2024Almería (H)3–21584+21500
3 Jan 2024Mallorca (H)1–01582+31500
21 Dec 2023Alavés (A)1–01579+41500
17 Dec 2023Villarreal (H)4–11575+51500
9 Dec 2023Real Betis (A)1–1156901500
2 Dec 2023Granada (H)2–01569+41500
26 Nov 2023Cádiz CF (A)3–01565+81500
11 Nov 2023Valencia (H)5–11557+71500
5 Nov 2023Rayo Vallecano (H)0–01550−11500
28 Oct 2023Barça (A)2–11552+61500
21 Oct 2023Sevilla FC (A)1–1154601500
7 Oct 2023Osasuna (H)4–01546+71500
30 Sep 2023Girona (A)3–01539+101500
27 Sep 2023Las Palmas (H)2–01529+61500
24 Sep 2023Atleti (A)1–31523−71500
17 Sep 2023Real Sociedad (H)2–11530+41500
2 Sep 2023Getafe (H)2–11526+41500
25 Aug 2023Celta (A)1–01522+51500
19 Aug 2023Almería (A)3–11517+81500
12 Aug 2023Athletic (A)2–01509—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

Real Madrid CFleague, last 12 months · n = 383

league · Wins: 289 of 766 (38%)league · Scores: 581 of 766 (76%)league · 3+ goals: 199 of 383 (52%)league · Both teams score: 218 of 383 (57%)league · Concedes: 581 of 766 (76%)league · Leads at half-time: 215 of 766 (28%)team · Wins: 14 of 20 (70%)team · Scores: 18 of 20 (90%)team · 3+ goals: 12 of 20 (60%)team · Both teams score: 13 of 20 (65%)team · Concedes: 15 of 20 (75%)team · Leads at half-time: 10 of 20 (50%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
Real Madrid CFleague
Winswon the match70%14 of 2048–85%38%289 of 76634–41%
Scoresscored at least once90%18 of 2070–97%76%581 of 76673–79%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)60%12 of 2039–78%52%199 of 38347–57%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)65%13 of 2043–82%57%218 of 38352–62%
Concedesconceded at least once75%15 of 2053–89%76%581 of 76673–79%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)50%10 of 2030–70%28%215 of 76625–31%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

WWLWW
12points
2.40per match
4-0-1W-D-L
13scored
6conceded

Last 9 matches n = 9

WWWLWWLWW
21points
2.33per match
7-0-2W-D-L
23scored
9conceded

Home, last 5 n = 5

WWWWW
15points
3.00per match
5-0-0W-D-L
17scored
3conceded

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 9

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

2unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 3
5scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 5
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 1
1both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 3

Goals: home and away n = 9

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches92.56league 1.521.00league 1.5267%6 of 9 · league 60%78%7 of 9 · league 56%22%2 of 9 · league 24%11%1 of 9 · league 24%
Home53.40league 1.690.60league 1.3560%3 of 5 · league 60%80%4 of 5 · league 56%40%2 of 5 · league 30%0%0 of 5 · league 19%
Away41.50league 1.351.50league 1.6975%3 of 4 · league 60%75%3 of 4 · league 56%0%0 of 4 · league 19%25%1 of 4 · league 30%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half n = 9

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

scoredconcededscored per matchconceded per match
1st half1221.330.22
2nd half1171.220.78

From half-time scores, 9 matches.

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 4

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Álvaro Arbeloa13 Jan 20262026282.21
José Mourinho202613 Jan 20260—
Xabi Alonso25 May 202512 Jan 2026182.33
Carlo Ancelotti1 Jul 202124 May 2025762.36
Whole period in our database12 Aug 202318 Oct 20261232.33

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 9

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

18 Oct 2026HomeHSevilla FC4–1
10 Oct 2026HomeHVillarreal CF1–0
20 Sep 2026AwayAClub Atlético de Madrid1–2
15 Sep 2026AwayAElche CF3–2
12 Sep 2026HomeHRayo Vallecano de Madrid4–1
4 Sep 2026AwayAReal Betis Balompié0–1
30 Aug 2026HomeHMálaga CF4–0
26 Aug 2026HomeHReal Sociedad de Fútbol4–1
22 Aug 2026AwayARCD Espanyol de Barcelona2–1

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

AwayAFC Barcelona
AwayAReal Racing Club de Santander
AwayAValencia CF
HomeHRC Celta de Vigo
29 Nov 2026 · kick-off time not set yetHomeHDeportivo Alavés

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 8

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Kylian Mbappé9922
Jude Bellingham39—3
Arda Guler29—2
Carlos Espí29——
Yan Diomandé29—2
Vinicius Junior18—3
Álvaro Carreras19——
Antonio Rüdiger19——

The players in the list have 21 goals between them; the team has scored 23 in the league. A 2-goal difference between the source's scorer list and the results; the source does not say who scored the rest. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 18

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026