RadarLa Liga · Matchday 8
2026-27 · 9 Oct 2026 – 12 Oct 2026 ← matchday 7 matchday 9 →
Round on radar: all leagues, before and after
Results 9 played · 1 postponed
Every match of the round with the final score. Matches not yet played are shown as postponed.
kick-off (UTC).
The round in numbers
The round's figures against the season average before it: goals per match, how often both teams scored, how often there were at least 3 goals, and how results split between home wins, draws and away wins.
Table moves
How the table changed: each team's position before and after the round. At the top, the biggest climbs and drops.
| Team | before → after | pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RC Celta de Vigo | 14 → 11 | +3 | 8 |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 8 → 6 | +2 | 13 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 10 → 9 | +1 | 8 |
| Villarreal CF | 11 → 15 | -4 | 8 |
| Deportivo Alavés | 6 → 7 | -1 | 11 |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña | 7 → 8 | -1 | 10 |
Elo moves
The Elo rating before and after the round. It rises when a team gets more from a match than expected and falls when it gets less; beating a strong opponent moves it more than beating a weak one.
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Real Betis Balompié | 1578 → 1583 | +5.0 |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 1499 → 1504 | +4.4 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid | 1635 → 1638 | +3.5 |
| CA Osasuna | 1470 → 1465 | -5.0 |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña | 1507 → 1503 | -4.4 |
| Deportivo Alavés | 1478 → 1475 | -3.5 |
Streaks ended and new records
Streaks of at least 5 matches that ended in this round, and streaks that became a new own record (the longest in our database for that team).
| Team | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche CF | conceding | 8 | ended |
| Elche CF | scoring | 5 | ended |
| Elche CF | both teams score | 5 | ended |
| Villarreal CF | conceding | 22 | new own record old record: 21 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid | 3+ goals | 7 | new own record old record: 6 |
What the model said 4 of 6 hit · Brier 0.4394
Only estimates frozen within the last hour before each match; nothing recomputed afterwards. “Hit” = the most probable result was the real one. The round's Brier score: 0 = perfect, 0.6667 = random guessing. “Surprise” = how unlikely the real result was for the model (higher = more surprising).
| result | 1 / X / 2 | model's pick | surprise | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche – Celta | 0–0 | 40% / 25% / 35% | 1 · miss | 1.38 |
| Levante – Sevilla FC | 3–3 | 47% / 25% / 28% | 1 · miss | 1.38 |
| Alavés – Atleti | 1–2 | 29% / 27% / 44% | 2 · hit | 0.82 |
| Real Betis – Osasuna | 5–2 | 62% / 22% / 16% | 1 · hit | 0.48 |
| Real Madrid – Villarreal | 1–0 | 65% / 18% / 16% | 1 · hit | 0.42 |
| Barça – Getafe | 3–0 | 79% / 15% / 6% | 1 · hit | 0.23 |
How the chances moved
The difference between the simulator's chances before the round and after it: who gained and who lost the most for 1st place, the top 4 and the bottom 3.
1st place
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid CF | 5% → 5% | +0 pp |
| Club Atlético de Madrid | 1% → 1% | +0 pp |
| Real Betis Balompié | 0% → 0% | +0 pp |
| FC Barcelona | 94% → 94% | -0 pp |
| Athletic Club | 0% → 0% | 0 pp |
| CA Osasuna | 0% → 0% | 0 pp |
top 4
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Real Betis Balompié | 61% → 71% | +10 pp |
| Club Atlético de Madrid | 90% → 94% | +3 pp |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 3% → 4% | +1 pp |
| Villarreal CF | 29% → 21% | -8 pp |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña | 4% → 1% | -2 pp |
| Deportivo Alavés | 2% → 1% | -1 pp |
bottom 3
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| CA Osasuna | 25% → 30% | +5 pp |
| Real Racing Club de Santander | 52% → 54% | +2 pp |
| Getafe CF | 23% → 25% | +2 pp |
| Valencia CF | 40% → 36% | -4 pp |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 4% → 1% | -2 pp |
| RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 21% → 19% | -2 pp |
run before: 9 Oct 2026 06:05 · run after: 13 Oct 2026 06:05
Updated 25 Oct 2026 07:07