FC Barcelona 3–0 Getafe CF

La Liga · Matchday 8 · 10 Oct 2026 16:30 UTC · referee: Jesús Gil Manzano (62 matches in our database)

After the match

The final result against the estimate frozen before the match, marked explicitly: hit when the most likely result was the real one, miss otherwise; “surprise” = how unlikely the real result was for the model.

3–0 · hit · surprise: 0.23 ❄

Model estimate

The model's chances for a home win, a draw and an away win. ❄ = the estimate was frozen within the last hour before kick-off (the model runs hourly) and no longer changes; “provisional” = it can still change until it is frozen. How good the model is can be seen on the calibration page.

79%1 · Barça≈ 1 in 1.26

15%X≈ 1 in 6.62

6%2 · Getafe≈ 1 in 17.49

❄ frozen before kick-off · How good is the model?

In three sentences

Three sentences, each from a figure in our database: what happened (streaks, form or head-to-head), why it matters today (rest, congestion, table, derby) and what the model estimates. Nothing hand-written, nothing guessed.

The home side have scored in each of their last 9 matches. The away side travel roughly 500 km. The model estimates 79% for a home win (frozen before kick-off).

League position1 vs 14

Elo rating1762 vs 1476

Last 5WWWWW homeLDDLW away

Rest days20 vs 20

Most likely scores

The scores the model sees as most likely, from the same calculation as the 1 / X / 2 chances. In the grid, rows are the home goals and columns the away goals; 10% means roughly 1 match in 10 with exactly that score.

2–0: 16% · 1–0: 14% · 3–0: 13%

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
0	6%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
1	14%	7%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
2	16%	8%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
3	13%	6%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
4	7%	4%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
5	4%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
6	1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%

Rows: home goals · columns: away goals. Any other score (a team with 7+ goals): 1%.

Side by side at a glance

Both teams side by side at a glance: position, Elo, recent results, points rate, goals and rest, with the league average where it makes sense. Each number is detailed further down the page.

points rate 80% vs 47%

The home and away teams before the match, from their matches in a row. = ahead on that row. League = average over the last 12 months.

	Barça	Getafe	League
League position	1st of 20 · 21 pts	14th of 20 · 8 pts	—
Elo rating	1762	1476	—
Last 5	WWWWW	LDDLW	—
Points rate (last 10)	80%	47%	46%
Goals scored per match (10)	3.5	0.8	—
Goals conceded per match (10)	1.2	0.9	—
At venue (10): home team at home, away team away	100%	33%	56% · 36%
Both teams score (10)	6 of 10	3 of 10	56%
3+ goals in the match (10)	8 of 10	2 of 10	51%
Days of rest	20	20	—

Match radar

Six things that happened in each team's last 20 league matches before this one, next to how often they happened across the whole league in the year before the match. The further a point is from the centre, the more often it happened. It is not a rating and does not say who wins.

Wins: 90% vs 45% · league 38%

BarçaGetafeleague, year before the match · n = 371

	Barça	league	Getafe
Winswon the match	90%18 of 2070–97%	38%281 of 74234–41%	45%9 of 2026–66%
Scoresscored at least once	95%19 of 2076–99%	76%561 of 74272–79%	55%11 of 2034–74%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)	65%13 of 2043–82%	51%191 of 37146–57%	15%3 of 205–36%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)	55%11 of 2034–74%	56%209 of 37151–61%	20%4 of 208–42%
Concedesconceded at least once	60%12 of 2039–78%	76%561 of 74272–79%	60%12 of 2039–78%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)	70%14 of 2048–85%	28%207 of 74225–31%	35%7 of 2018–57%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form before the match

Each team's last 5 matches before this one: anywhere, and separately the home side at home / the away side away. Points, wins-draws-losses, goals.

points, last 5: 15 vs 5

Barça · Last 5, anywhere n = 5

WWWWW

15pts

5-0-0W-D-L

24:7goals

Getafe · Last 5, anywhere n = 5

LDDLW

5pts

1-2-2W-D-L

3:4goals

Barça · Last 5 at home n = 5

WWWWW

15pts

5-0-0W-D-L

19:5goals

Getafe · Last 5 away n = 5

DLLLL

1pts

0-1-4W-D-L

0:6goals

What changed

Each team's direction before the match: the previous 5 matches against the last 5 (points, goals, how strong the opponents were by Elo) and how many Elo points it gained or lost. It says what happened, not why or what comes next; 5 matches are few.

Points (of 15): 9 → 15 vs 9 → 5

The previous 5 matches → the last 5, played before kick-off.

	Barça	Getafe
Points (of 15)	9 → 15 ▲	9 → 5 ▼
Goals scored per match	2.2 → 4.8 ▲	1.0 → 0.6 ▼
Goals conceded per match	1.0 → 1.4 ▲	1.0 → 0.8 ▼
Average Elo of the opponents	1504 → 1491 easier opponents	1481 → 1514 tougher opponents
Elo over the last 5 matches	+17 (1762)	−3 (1476)

Context

Figures about both teams' situation before the match, in real units: days since the previous match on the calendar (league and Champions League; domestic cups are not in the free source), matches in the 7 and 14 days before, position and points distance to the important zones with matches remaining, the simulator impact when the match is near, and each team's coach on the match date with the league matches led before it (Wikidata; the current one only if football-data.org names the same person). What the free source does not give is shown as such, not hidden.

rest days: 20 vs 20

	Barça	Getafe
days since last match	20	20
matches in last 7 days	0	0
matches in last 14 days	0	0
position	1 (21 pts)	14 (8 pts)
points off 1st	0	13
points off top 4	in top 4	7
points above bottom 3	16	3
matches left (incl. this one)	31	31
coach (league matches led before)	Hansi Flick since 1 Jul 2024 · 83 matches	José Bordalás since 29 Apr 2023 · 121 matches
travel distance (away side)	—	≈ 500 km
weather at kick-off	23 °C · 0.0 mm · 12 km/h	forecast from 10 Oct 2026, Open-Meteo

no data in the free source: absentees, starting XI.

Head-to-head

The latest head-to-head matches in our database, with the score and who played at home. Few matches = little information; an old result says nothing about today's.

Barça 4-1-0 (n = 5)

	home		away
25 Apr 2026	Getafe	0–2	Barça
21 Sep 2025	Barça	3–0	Getafe
18 Jan 2025	Getafe	1–1	Barça
25 Sep 2024	Barça	1–0	Getafe
24 Feb 2024	Barça	4–0	Getafe

All 7 meetings in our database →

Ongoing streaks

Both teams' ongoing streaks before the match: matches in a row unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet and so on. A streak describes the past; today's match can end it.

FC Barcelona · unbeaten: 7

		now	longest in our database
FC Barcelona	unbeaten	7	17
FC Barcelona	wins in a row	7	11
FC Barcelona	scoring	9	55
FC Barcelona	conceding	3	10
FC Barcelona	both teams score	3	7
FC Barcelona	3+ goals	5	13

Updated 25 Oct 2026 07:20

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
0	6%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
1	14%	7%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
2	16%	8%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
3	13%	6%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
4	7%	4%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
5	4%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
6	1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
0	6%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
1	14%	7%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
2	16%	8%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
3	13%	6%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
4	7%	4%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
5	4%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
6	1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%

	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
0	6%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
1	14%	7%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
2	16%	8%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
3	13%	6%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
4	7%	4%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
5	4%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
6	1%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%