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Ligue 1 · Matchday 8

2026-27 · 23 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026 ← matchday 7

Round on radar: all leagues, before and after

Results 2 played · 7 postponed

Every match of the round with the final score. Matches not yet played are shown as postponed.

The round in numbers

The round's figures against the season average before it: goals per match, how often both teams scored, how often there were at least 3 goals, and how results split between home wins, draws and away wins.

6goals3.00 per match · season before this round: 3.05
100.0%both teams scoredseason before this round: 63.5%
100.0%3+ goalsseason before this round: 63.5%
1 / 0 / 1home / draw / away

Table moves

How the table changed: each team's position before and after the round. At the top, the biggest climbs and drops.

Teambefore → afterpts
OGC Nice13 → 9+411
Racing Club de Lens8 → 6+213
Stade Rennais FC 19016 → 7-113
Stade Rennais FC 19016 → 7-113
FC Lorient7 → 8-111
Olympique de Marseille9 → 10-19

Elo moves

The Elo rating before and after the round. It rises when a team gets more from a match than expected and falls when it gets less; beating a strong opponent moves it more than beating a weak one.

Teambefore → afterΔ
OGC Nice1491 → 1497+5.8
Racing Club de Lens1590 → 1594+3.4
Toulouse FC1509 → 15090.0
Stade Brestois 291500 → 1495-5.9
Paris FC1528 → 1525-3.4
Toulouse FC1509 → 15090.0

Streaks ended and new records

Streaks of at least 5 matches that ended in this round, and streaks that became a new own record (the longest in our database for that team).

Team
Stade Brestois 29conceding17new own record old record: 16
Racing Club de Lensconceding8new own record old record: 7
Racing Club de Lensboth teams score5new own record old record: 4

What the model said 1 of 2 hit · Brier 0.6008

Only estimates frozen within the last hour before each match; nothing recomputed afterwards. “Hit” = the most probable result was the real one. The round's Brier score: 0 = perfect, 0.6667 = random guessing. “Surprise” = how unlikely the real result was for the model (higher = more surprising).

result1 / X / 2model's picksurprise
Brest – Nice1–249% / 25% / 26%1 · miss1.34
RC Lens – Paris FC2–151% / 24% / 24%1 · hit0.67

How the chances moved

The difference between the simulator's chances before the round and after it: who gained and who lost the most for 1st place, the top 4 and the bottom 3.

1st place

Teambefore → afterΔ
Lille OSC3% → 3%+0 pp
Olympique Lyonnais6% → 6%+0 pp
Paris FC1% → 1%+0 pp
Paris Saint-Germain FC81% → 80%-1 pp
AJ Auxerre0% → 0%-0 pp
Stade Brestois 290% → 0%0 pp

top 4

Teambefore → afterΔ
Olympique Lyonnais59% → 62%+2 pp
Racing Club de Lens43% → 44%+1 pp
Paris FC28% → 28%+0 pp
Stade Rennais FC 190125% → 24%-1 pp
RC Strasbourg Alsace7% → 6%-1 pp
Stade Brestois 291% → 0%-1 pp

bottom 3

Teambefore → afterΔ
Stade Brestois 295% → 11%+6 pp
AJ Auxerre11% → 12%+1 pp
Le Mans FC20% → 21%+1 pp
OGC Nice16% → 8%-8 pp
ES Troyes AC90% → 89%-0 pp
RC Strasbourg Alsace1% → 1%-0 pp

run before: 23 Oct 2026 06:05 · run after: 24 Oct 2026 19:17

Updated 25 Oct 2026 06:08