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Stade Brestois 29

Ligue 1 · season 2026-27 · 8 matches

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11League position11 of 18 in the regular season table (9 points, 8 played).
1495Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 12 of 18 in Ligue 1. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Brest11th of 18Below average 1 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5LLWDLPoints rate · last 1033%league 46%Goal difference +1 in the last 10 · Elo −4.6 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Nothing above the league rate in the cautious reading.
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

FC Lorient – Stade Brestois 29

· Away

49%1≈ 1 in 2.02
26%X≈ 1 in 3.92
25%2≈ 1 in 3.98

Explore Stade Brestois 29

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator10%chance of finishing in the bottom 3Where does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.58difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time77%won after leading at half-time (30 of 39)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model1upset in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 1.7)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores2–0the team's most common score (12 of 110 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers4Kamory Doumbia, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1495Elo rating: #12 in Ligue 1How strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 110

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1495now
1554highest7 Apr 2024
1492lowest20 Sep 2026
−6last 10 matches
Stade Brestois 29league average (teams of the same season)
148015001520154015602023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
23 Oct 2026Nice (H)1–21495−61530
17 Oct 2026Lille (A)1–11500+21530
10 Oct 2026Angers SCO (H)5–11498+71530
20 Sep 2026Auxerre (A)1–21492−51530
13 Sep 2026PSG (H)0–11496−31530
5 Sep 2026Le Havre (A)2–11499+51530
29 Aug 2026Toulouse (H)2–21494−11530
22 Aug 2026Le Mans (A)2–21495+11530
17 May 2026Angers SCO (H)1–11494−21518
13 May 2026Strasbourg (H)1–21496−51518
10 May 2026PSG (A)0–11501−21518
3 May 2026Paris FC (A)0–41503−81518
24 Apr 2026RC Lens (H)3–3151101518
19 Apr 2026Nantes (A)1–11511−11518
4 Apr 2026Stade Rennais (H)3–41512−51518
21 Mar 2026Auxerre (A)0–31517−91518
14 Mar 2026Monaco (A)0–21527−51518
8 Mar 2026Le Havre (H)2–01532+41518
1 Mar 2026FC Metz (A)1–01528+41518
20 Feb 2026Marseille (H)2–01524+81518
14 Feb 2026Lille (A)1–11516+11518
7 Feb 2026Lorient (H)2–01514+61518
1 Feb 2026Nice (A)2–21509+11518
25 Jan 2026Toulouse (H)0–21508−91518
18 Jan 2026Olympique Lyon (A)1–21516−41518
4 Jan 2026Auxerre (H)2–01520+51518
13 Dec 2025Stade Rennais (A)1–31515−61518
5 Dec 2025Monaco (H)1–01521+51518
30 Nov 2025Strasbourg (A)2–11516+61518
23 Nov 2025FC Metz (H)3–21510+31518
8 Nov 2025Marseille (A)0–31507−61518
2 Nov 2025Olympique Lyon (H)0–0151201518
29 Oct 2025Le Havre (A)0–11512−61518
25 Oct 2025PSG (H)0–31518−61518
19 Oct 2025Lorient (A)3–31524−11518
4 Oct 2025Nantes (H)0–01524−21518
28 Sep 2025Angers SCO (A)2–01526+71518
20 Sep 2025Nice (H)4–11519+91518
14 Sep 2025Paris FC (H)1–21510−61518
29 Aug 2025RC Lens (A)1–31516−61518
24 Aug 2025Toulouse (A)0–21522−71518
17 Aug 2025Lille (H)3–3152901518
17 May 2025Nice (A)0–61530−81511
10 May 2025Lille (H)2–01538+81511
4 May 2025Montpellier (H)1–01530+21511
27 Apr 2025Marseille (A)1–41528−71511
20 Apr 2025RC Lens (H)1–31535−91511
13 Apr 2025Saint-Étienne (A)3–31544−11511
5 Apr 2025Monaco (H)2–11545+51511
30 Mar 2025Toulouse (A)4–21540+81511
16 Mar 2025Stade de Reims (H)0–01532−21511
9 Mar 2025Angers SCO (H)2–01534+51511
2 Mar 2025Olympique Lyon (A)1–21529−41511
23 Feb 2025Strasbourg (A)0–0153301511
14 Feb 2025Auxerre (H)2–21532−11511
7 Feb 2025Nantes (A)2–01534+71511
1 Feb 2025PSG (H)2–51527−71511
26 Jan 2025Le Havre (A)1–01534+41511
18 Jan 2025Stade Rennais (A)2–11530+51511
11 Jan 2025Olympique Lyon (H)2–11525+51511
5 Jan 2025Angers SCO (A)0–21520−81511
15 Dec 2024Nantes (H)4–11528+51511
6 Dec 2024Lille (A)1–31522−61511
30 Nov 2024Strasbourg (H)3–11528+51511
22 Nov 2024Monaco (A)2–31523−31511
10 Nov 2024Montpellier (A)1–31526−81511
2 Nov 2024Nice (H)0–11534−61511
26 Oct 2024Stade de Reims (A)2–11540+51511
19 Oct 2024Stade Rennais (H)1–11535−11511
6 Oct 2024Le Havre (H)2–01536+51511
27 Sep 2024Auxerre (A)0–31531−91511
22 Sep 2024Toulouse (H)2–01540+61511
14 Sep 2024PSG (A)1–31535−51511
31 Aug 2024Saint-Étienne (H)4–01539+71511
25 Aug 2024RC Lens (A)0–21533−71511
17 Aug 2024Marseille (H)1–51539−121511
19 May 2024Toulouse (A)3–01551+91500
10 May 2024Stade de Reims (H)1–11542−21500
4 May 2024Nantes (H)0–01543−21500
28 Apr 2024Stade Rennais (A)5–41545+51500
21 Apr 2024Monaco (H)0–21540−91500
14 Apr 2024Olympique Lyon (A)3–41549−51500
7 Apr 2024FC Metz (H)4–31554+31500
31 Mar 2024Lorient (A)1–01551+51500
17 Mar 2024Lille (H)1–11546−11500
9 Mar 2024RC Lens (A)0–11547−51500
3 Mar 2024Le Havre (H)1–01552+31500
24 Feb 2024Strasbourg (A)3–01549+81500
18 Feb 2024Marseille (H)1–01540+41500
11 Feb 2024Clermont Foot (A)1–11536−11500
4 Feb 2024Nice (H)0–01537−11500
28 Jan 2024PSG (A)2–21537+11500
14 Jan 2024Montpellier (H)2–01536+61500
20 Dec 2023Lorient (H)4–01531+61500
17 Dec 2023Nantes (A)2–01524+81500
10 Dec 2023FC Metz (A)1–01516+51500
7 Dec 2023Strasbourg (H)1–11511−11500
3 Dec 2023Clermont Foot (H)3–01512+71500
26 Nov 2023Montpellier (A)3–11505+91500
5 Nov 2023Monaco (A)0–21497−61500
29 Oct 2023PSG (H)2–31503−51500
22 Oct 2023Lille (A)0–11508−41500
8 Oct 2023Toulouse (H)1–11512−11500
1 Oct 2023Nice (A)0–01513+11500
23 Sep 2023Olympique Lyon (H)1–01512+41500
17 Sep 2023Stade de Reims (A)2–11509+61500
2 Sep 2023Stade Rennais (H)0–01503−11500
26 Aug 2023Marseille (A)0–21503−71500
20 Aug 2023Le Havre (A)2–11510+61500
13 Aug 2023RC Lens (H)3–21504—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

Stade Brestois 29league, last 12 months · n = 298

league · Wins: 225 of 596 (38%)league · Scores: 431 of 596 (72%)league · 3+ goals: 163 of 298 (55%)league · Both teams score: 158 of 298 (53%)league · Concedes: 431 of 596 (72%)league · Leads at half-time: 180 of 594 (30%)team · Wins: 5 of 20 (25%)team · Scores: 15 of 20 (75%)team · 3+ goals: 11 of 20 (55%)team · Both teams score: 12 of 20 (60%)team · Concedes: 17 of 20 (85%)team · Leads at half-time: 8 of 20 (40%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
Stade Brestois 29league
Winswon the match25%5 of 2011–47%38%225 of 59634–42%
Scoresscored at least once75%15 of 2053–89%72%431 of 59669–76%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)55%11 of 2034–74%55%163 of 29849–60%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)60%12 of 2039–78%53%158 of 29847–59%
Concedesconceded at least once85%17 of 2064–95%72%431 of 59669–76%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)40%8 of 2022–61%30%180 of 59427–34%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

LLWDL
4points
0.80per match
1-1-3W-D-L
8scored
7conceded

Last 8 matches n = 8

DDWLLWDL
9points
1.12per match
2-3-3W-D-L
14scored
12conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 8

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

0unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 3
4scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 4
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 0
4both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 4

Goals: home and away n = 8

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches81.75league 1.521.50league 1.5288%7 of 8 · league 65%75%6 of 8 · league 65%0%0 of 8 · league 21%12%1 of 8 · league 21%
Home42.00league 1.631.50league 1.4275%3 of 4 · league 65%75%3 of 4 · league 65%0%0 of 4 · league 23%25%1 of 4 · league 18%
Away41.50league 1.421.50league 1.63100%4 of 4 · league 65%75%3 of 4 · league 65%0%0 of 4 · league 18%0%0 of 4 · league 23%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half n = 8

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

scoredconcededscored per matchconceded per match
1st half1031.250.38
2nd half490.501.12

From half-time scores, 8 matches.

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 1

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Éric Roy3 Jan 202317 Jun 20261021.47
Whole period in our database13 Aug 202323 Oct 20261101.45

Current coach: the two sources do not name the same person, so this season's changes are not shown until they match.

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 8

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

23 Oct 2026HomeHOGC Nice1–2
17 Oct 2026AwayALille OSC1–1
10 Oct 2026HomeHAngers SCO5–1
20 Sep 2026AwayAAJ Auxerre1–2
13 Sep 2026HomeHParis Saint-Germain FC0–1
5 Sep 2026AwayALe Havre AC2–1
29 Aug 2026HomeHToulouse FC2–2
22 Aug 2026AwayALe Mans FC2–2

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

AwayAFC Lorient
HomeHOlympique Lyonnais
AwayARC Strasbourg Alsace
HomeHParis FC
AwayAStade Rennais FC 1901

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 7

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Kamory Doumbia4811
Ludovic Ajorque38—1
Mama Baldé27—1
Pathé Mboup28—1
Romain Del Castillo12——
Kenny Lala181—
Lucas Tousart18——

The players in the list have 14 goals between them; the team has scored 14 in the league. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 18

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026