RadarLigue 1 · Matchday 7
2026-27 · 16 Oct 2026 – 18 Oct 2026 ← matchday 6 matchday 8 →
Round on radar: all leagues, before and after
Results 9 played
Every match of the round with the final score. Matches not yet played are shown as postponed.
The round in numbers
The round's figures against the season average before it: goals per match, how often both teams scored, how often there were at least 3 goals, and how results split between home wins, draws and away wins.
Table moves
How the table changed: each team's position before and after the round. At the top, the biggest climbs and drops.
| Team | before → after | pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain FC | 6 → 2 | +4 | 14 |
| Olympique de Marseille | 13 → 9 | +4 | 9 |
| Toulouse FC | 15 → 11 | +4 | 9 |
| AS Monaco FC | 1 → 5 | -4 | 14 |
| OGC Nice | 9 → 13 | -4 | 8 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 3 → 6 | -3 | 13 |
Elo moves
The Elo rating before and after the round. It rises when a team gets more from a match than expected and falls when it gets less; beating a strong opponent moves it more than beating a weak one.
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC | 1499 → 1509 | +10.0 |
| AJ Auxerre | 1465 → 1473 | +7.6 |
| Olympique de Marseille | 1570 → 1577 | +6.7 |
| Le Mans FC | 1498 → 1488 | -10.0 |
| Le Havre AC | 1421 → 1413 | -7.6 |
| Angers SCO | 1437 → 1430 | -6.7 |
Streaks ended and new records
Streaks of at least 5 matches that ended in this round, and streaks that became a new own record (the longest in our database for that team).
| Team | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| AS Monaco FC | scoring | 7 | ended |
| AS Monaco FC | unbeaten | 6 | ended |
| Toulouse FC | conceding | 6 | ended |
| Le Mans FC | scoring | 6 | ended |
| Le Mans FC | both teams score | 6 | ended |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC | scoring | 27 | new own record old record: 26 |
| Stade Brestois 29 | conceding | 16 | new own record old record: 15 |
| Racing Club de Lens | conceding | 7 | new own record old record: 6 |
| FC Lorient | scoring | 6 | new own record old record: 5 |
What the model said 4 of 7 hit · Brier 0.5182
Only estimates frozen within the last hour before each match; nothing recomputed afterwards. “Hit” = the most probable result was the real one. The round's Brier score: 0 = perfect, 0.6667 = random guessing. “Surprise” = how unlikely the real result was for the model (higher = more surprising).
| result | 1 / X / 2 | model's pick | surprise | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille – Brest | 1–1 | 60% / 23% / 17% | 1 · miss | 1.46 |
| Le Havre – Auxerre | 1–3 | 37% / 30% / 33% | 1 · miss | 1.12 |
| Lorient – Monaco | 1–0 | 34% / 26% / 39% | 2 · miss | 1.06 |
| Paris FC – Stade Rennais | 4–3 | 45% / 25% / 30% | 1 · hit | 0.81 |
| Strasbourg – PSG | 1–3 | 25% / 22% / 53% | 2 · hit | 0.64 |
| Angers SCO – Marseille | 2–5 | 21% / 25% / 54% | 2 · hit | 0.62 |
| Olympique Lyon – Nice | 2–1 | 63% / 22% / 15% | 1 · hit | 0.46 |
How the chances moved
The difference between the simulator's chances before the round and after it: who gained and who lost the most for 1st place, the top 4 and the bottom 3.
1st place
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain FC | 73% → 81% | +8 pp |
| Olympique de Marseille | 1% → 1% | +0 pp |
| Racing Club de Lens | 2% → 3% | +0 pp |
| AS Monaco FC | 9% → 5% | -4 pp |
| Lille OSC | 5% → 3% | -3 pp |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 2% → 1% | -1 pp |
top 4
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Olympique de Marseille | 19% → 29% | +10 pp |
| Paris FC | 20% → 27% | +7 pp |
| Racing Club de Lens | 36% → 42% | +6 pp |
| AS Monaco FC | 66% → 55% | -10 pp |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 33% → 24% | -9 pp |
| Lille OSC | 55% → 46% | -9 pp |
bottom 3
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Le Mans FC | 6% → 19% | +13 pp |
| Le Havre AC | 72% → 81% | +9 pp |
| Angers SCO | 66% → 74% | +8 pp |
| AJ Auxerre | 33% → 12% | -21 pp |
| Toulouse FC | 6% → 1% | -5 pp |
| OGC Nice | 20% → 16% | -4 pp |
run before: 16 Oct 2026 06:05 · run after: 18 Oct 2026 21:17
Updated 25 Oct 2026 06:08