RadarLigue 1 · Matchday 6
2026-27 · 9 Oct 2026 – 11 Oct 2026 ← matchday 5 matchday 7 →
Round on radar: all leagues, before and after
Results 9 played
Every match of the round with the final score. Matches not yet played are shown as postponed.
The round in numbers
The round's figures against the season average before it: goals per match, how often both teams scored, how often there were at least 3 goals, and how results split between home wins, draws and away wins.
Table moves
How the table changed: each team's position before and after the round. At the top, the biggest climbs and drops.
| Team | before → after | pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OGC Nice | 14 → 9 | +5 | 8 |
| Racing Club de Lens | 15 → 10 | +5 | 7 |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 11 → 7 | +4 | 8 |
| AJ Auxerre | 10 → 16 | -6 | 6 |
| Angers SCO | 7 → 12 | -5 | 7 |
| Le Mans FC | 9 → 14 | -5 | 6 |
Elo moves
The Elo rating before and after the round. It rises when a team gets more from a match than expected and falls when it gets less; beating a strong opponent moves it more than beating a weak one.
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 | 1492 → 1498 | +6.8 |
| Olympique de Marseille | 1563 → 1570 | +6.8 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 1554 → 1560 | +5.5 |
| ES Troyes AC | 1483 → 1476 | -6.9 |
| Angers SCO | 1444 → 1437 | -6.8 |
| AJ Auxerre | 1471 → 1465 | -5.5 |
Streaks ended and new records
Streaks of at least 5 matches that ended in this round, and streaks that became a new own record (the longest in our database for that team).
| Team | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | unbeaten | 6 | ended |
| Olympique Lyonnais | unbeaten | 5 | ended |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC | scoring | 26 | new own record old record: 25 |
| Stade Brestois 29 | conceding | 15 | new own record old record: 14 |
What the model said 5 of 7 hit · Brier 0.5309
Only estimates frozen within the last hour before each match; nothing recomputed afterwards. “Hit” = the most probable result was the real one. The round's Brier score: 0 = perfect, 0.6667 = random guessing. “Surprise” = how unlikely the real result was for the model (higher = more surprising).
| result | 1 / X / 2 | model's pick | surprise | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco – Toulouse | 2–2 | 58% / 22% / 20% | 1 · miss | 1.50 |
| Nice – Strasbourg | 2–1 | 30% / 25% / 45% | 2 · miss | 1.20 |
| Lorient – Paris FC | 1–0 | 36% / 29% / 35% | 1 · hit | 1.02 |
| RC Lens – Olympique Lyon | 2–1 | 43% / 26% / 31% | 1 · hit | 0.84 |
| Brest – Angers SCO | 5–1 | 49% / 28% / 23% | 1 · hit | 0.71 |
| Stade Rennais – Auxerre | 4–1 | 57% / 22% / 21% | 1 · hit | 0.56 |
| Lille – Le Havre | 1–0 | 62% / 25% / 13% | 1 · hit | 0.47 |
How the chances moved
The difference between the simulator's chances before the round and after it: who gained and who lost the most for 1st place, the top 4 and the bottom 3.
1st place
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain FC | 66% → 73% | +7 pp |
| Racing Club de Lens | 1% → 2% | +1 pp |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 1% → 2% | +1 pp |
| AS Monaco FC | 14% → 9% | -5 pp |
| Olympique Lyonnais | 10% → 6% | -4 pp |
| Paris FC | 2% → 1% | -1 pp |
top 4
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Club de Lens | 26% → 37% | +11 pp |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 22% → 33% | +10 pp |
| Olympique de Marseille | 13% → 20% | +7 pp |
| Paris FC | 30% → 19% | -11 pp |
| Olympique Lyonnais | 64% → 55% | -9 pp |
| RC Strasbourg Alsace | 19% → 10% | -9 pp |
bottom 3
| Team | before → after | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Angers SCO | 48% → 67% | +19 pp |
| ES Troyes AC | 66% → 85% | +18 pp |
| AJ Auxerre | 25% → 32% | +7 pp |
| OGC Nice | 37% → 19% | -18 pp |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 25% → 9% | -16 pp |
| FC Lorient | 9% → 4% | -5 pp |
run before: 9 Oct 2026 06:05 · run after: 11 Oct 2026 21:17
Updated 25 Oct 2026 06:08