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Ligue 1 · Matchday 5

2026-27 · 18 Sep 2026 – 20 Sep 2026 ← matchday 4 matchday 6 →

Round on radar: all leagues, before and after

Results 9 played

Every match of the round with the final score. Matches not yet played are shown as postponed.

AS Monaco FC2–1Racing Club de Lens
Paris FC2–1RC Strasbourg Alsace
Le Mans FC2–1FC Lorient
Toulouse FC3–2Le Havre AC
Angers SCO2–0ES Troyes AC
Olympique Lyonnais4–0Stade Rennais FC 1901
AJ Auxerre2–1Stade Brestois 29
OGC Nice2–1Lille OSC
Olympique de Marseille1–2Paris Saint-Germain FC

kick-off (UTC).

The round in numbers

The round's figures against the season average before it: goals per match, how often both teams scored, how often there were at least 3 goals, and how results split between home wins, draws and away wins.

29goals3.22 per match · season before this round: 2.75
77.8%both teams scoredseason before this round: 55.6%
88.9%3+ goalsseason before this round: 52.8%
8 / 0 / 1home / draw / away

Table moves

How the table changed: each team's position before and after the round. At the top, the biggest climbs and drops.

Teambefore → afterpts
Le Mans FC14 → 9+56
AJ Auxerre15 → 10+56
Angers SCO11 → 7+47
Racing Club de Lens10 → 15-54
ES Troyes AC12 → 16-44
Olympique de Marseille13 → 17-43

Elo moves

The Elo rating before and after the round. It rises when a team gets more from a match than expected and falls when it gets less; beating a strong opponent moves it more than beating a weak one.

Teambefore → afterΔ
Angers SCO1436 → 1444+7.6
Olympique Lyonnais1581 → 1588+7.5
OGC Nice1483 → 1489+6.0
ES Troyes AC1491 → 1483-7.6
Stade Rennais FC 19011562 → 1554-7.5
Lille OSC1603 → 1597-6.0

Streaks ended and new records

Streaks of at least 5 matches that ended in this round, and streaks that became a new own record (the longest in our database for that team).

Team
OGC Nicewinless12ended
Stade Rennais FC 1901scoring11ended
Toulouse FCwinless5ended
Paris Saint-Germain FCscoring25new own record old record: 24
Stade Brestois 29conceding14new own record old record: 13

What the model said

Only estimates frozen within the last hour before each match; nothing recomputed afterwards. “Hit” = the most probable result was the real one. The round's Brier score: 0 = perfect, 0.6667 = random guessing. “Surprise” = how unlikely the real result was for the model (higher = more surprising).

No estimate was frozen before the matches of this round. The model was published on 24 Sep 2026; estimates are frozen within the last hour before each match, starting with the first round after publication.

How the chances moved

The difference between the simulator's chances before the round and after it: who gained and who lost the most for 1st place, the top 4 and the bottom 3.

No simulator run before this round; the comparison appears from the first round with a run before and one after.

Updated 25 Oct 2026 06:08