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Ligue 1 · Matchday 4

2026-27 · 11 Sep 2026 – 13 Sep 2026 ← matchday 3 matchday 5 →

Round on radar: all leagues, before and after

Results 9 played

Every match of the round with the final score. Matches not yet played are shown as postponed.

Stade Rennais FC 19011–0Olympique de Marseille
RC Strasbourg Alsace1–1AS Monaco FC
FC Lorient2–2Toulouse FC
AJ Auxerre1–0OGC Nice
Le Havre AC0–0Angers SCO
Paris FC0–0Olympique Lyonnais
Lille OSC2–0ES Troyes AC
Le Mans FC2–2Racing Club de Lens
Stade Brestois 290–1Paris Saint-Germain FC

kick-off (UTC).

The round in numbers

The round's figures against the season average before it: goals per match, how often both teams scored, how often there were at least 3 goals, and how results split between home wins, draws and away wins.

15goals1.67 per match · season before this round: 3.11
33.3%both teams scoredseason before this round: 63.0%
22.2%3+ goalsseason before this round: 63.0%
3 / 5 / 1home / draw / away

Table moves

How the table changed: each team's position before and after the round. At the top, the biggest climbs and drops.

Teambefore → afterpts
Paris Saint-Germain FC13 → 7+65
Lille OSC4 → 1+310
AJ Auxerre18 → 15+33
ES Troyes AC9 → 12-34
Olympique de Marseille10 → 13-33
OGC Nice15 → 18-32

Elo moves

The Elo rating before and after the round. It rises when a team gets more from a match than expected and falls when it gets less; beating a strong opponent moves it more than beating a weak one.

Teambefore → afterΔ
AJ Auxerre1461 → 1466+4.7
Stade Rennais FC 19011557 → 1562+4.5
Lille OSC1598 → 1603+4.4
OGC Nice1488 → 1483-4.7
Olympique de Marseille1572 → 1567-4.5
ES Troyes AC1495 → 1491-4.4

Streaks ended and new records

Streaks of at least 5 matches that ended in this round, and streaks that became a new own record (the longest in our database for that team).

Team
Stade Rennais FC 19013+ goals10ended
Angers SCOconceding9ended
Stade Rennais FC 1901conceding7ended
Stade Rennais FC 1901both teams score7ended
RC Strasbourg Alsace3+ goals5ended
Stade Brestois 29scoring5ended
Stade Brestois 29both teams score5ended
Stade Brestois 29conceding13new own record old record: 12
OGC Nicewinless12new own record old record: 11

What the model said

Only estimates frozen within the last hour before each match; nothing recomputed afterwards. “Hit” = the most probable result was the real one. The round's Brier score: 0 = perfect, 0.6667 = random guessing. “Surprise” = how unlikely the real result was for the model (higher = more surprising).

No estimate was frozen before the matches of this round. The model was published on 24 Sep 2026; estimates are frozen within the last hour before each match, starting with the first round after publication.

How the chances moved

The difference between the simulator's chances before the round and after it: who gained and who lost the most for 1st place, the top 4 and the bottom 3.

No simulator run before this round; the comparison appears from the first round with a run before and one after.

Updated 25 Oct 2026 06:08