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TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Bundesliga · season 2026-27 · 6 matches

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14League position14 of 18 in the regular season table (6 points, 6 played).
1513Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 8 of 18 in Bundesliga. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Hoffenheim14th of 18Poor form 0 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5LWLLWPoints rate · last 1043%league 46%Goal difference −5 in the last 10 · Elo −7.1 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Nothing above the league rate in the cautious reading.
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim – Bayer 04 Leverkusen

· Home

29%1≈ 1 in 3.48
22%X≈ 1 in 4.60
50%2≈ 1 in 2.02

Explore TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator15%chance of finishing in the bottom 3Where does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.50difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time72%won after leading at half-time (28 of 39)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model1upset in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 1.0)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores1–1the team's most common score (14 of 108 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers2Adam Daghim, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1513Elo rating: #8 in BundesligaHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 108

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1513now
1540highest14 Feb 2026
1458lowest8 Feb 2025
−15last 10 matches
TSG 1899 Hoffenheimleague average (teams of the same season)
1440146014801500152015402023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
18 Oct 2026M'gladbach (A)2–11513+51530
10 Oct 2026HSV (H)2–31508−61530
20 Sep 2026SC Paderborn (A)1–31515−71530
12 Sep 2026Stuttgart (H)2–11522+61530
5 Sep 2026Dortmund (H)2–31516−41530
29 Aug 20261. FC Köln (A)2–31520−61530
16 May 2026M'gladbach (A)0–41526−101516
9 May 2026Bremen (H)1–01536+31516
2 May 2026Stuttgart (H)3–3153301516
25 Apr 2026HSV (A)2–11533+51516
18 Apr 2026Dortmund (H)2–11528+61516
10 Apr 2026Augsburg (A)2–2152201516
4 Apr 2026Mainz (H)1–21522−61516
20 Mar 2026RB Leipzig (A)0–51528−71516
14 Mar 2026Wolfsburg (H)1–11535−21516
7 Mar 2026Heidenheim (A)4–21537+51516
28 Feb 2026St. Pauli (H)0–11532−71516
21 Feb 20261. FC Köln (A)2–21539−11516
14 Feb 2026Freiburg (H)3–01540+71516
8 Feb 2026Bayern (A)1–51533−41516
31 Jan 2026Union Berlin (H)3–11537+51516
27 Jan 2026Bremen (A)2–01532+81516
24 Jan 2026Frankfurt (A)3–11524+91516
17 Jan 2026Leverkusen (H)1–01515+61516
14 Jan 2026M'gladbach (H)5–11508+71516
20 Dec 2025Stuttgart (A)0–01501+21516
13 Dec 2025HSV (H)4–11499+71516
7 Dec 2025Dortmund (A)0–21492−41516
29 Nov 2025Augsburg (H)3–01496+71516
21 Nov 2025Mainz (A)1–11490+11516
8 Nov 2025RB Leipzig (H)3–11489+91516
2 Nov 2025Wolfsburg (A)3–21480+61516
25 Oct 2025Heidenheim (H)3–11474+51516
19 Oct 2025St. Pauli (A)3–01469+101516
3 Oct 20251. FC Köln (H)0–11459−61516
28 Sep 2025Freiburg (A)1–11465+11516
20 Sep 2025Bayern (H)1–41464−51516
13 Sep 2025Union Berlin (A)4–21468+81516
30 Aug 2025Frankfurt (H)1–31460−61516
23 Aug 2025Leverkusen (A)2–11467+81516
17 May 2025Bayern (H)0–41459−51510
9 May 2025Wolfsburg (A)2–21464+11510
3 May 2025M'gladbach (A)4–41463+11510
26 Apr 2025Dortmund (H)2–31462−41510
19 Apr 2025Freiburg (A)2–31467−41510
12 Apr 2025Mainz (H)2–01471+81510
5 Apr 2025RB Leipzig (A)1–31463−41510
29 Mar 2025Augsburg (H)1–1146701510
14 Mar 2025St. Pauli (A)0–11467−41510
9 Mar 2025Heidenheim (H)1–11472−11510
1 Mar 2025Bochum (A)1–01473+51510
23 Feb 2025Stuttgart (H)1–11468+11510
16 Feb 2025Bremen (A)3–11467+91510
8 Feb 2025Union Berlin (H)0–41458−121510
2 Feb 2025Leverkusen (A)1–31470−31510
26 Jan 2025Frankfurt (H)2–2147301510
18 Jan 2025Holstein Kiel (A)3–11472+81510
15 Jan 2025Bayern (A)0–51464−41510
11 Jan 2025Wolfsburg (H)0–11469−61510
21 Dec 2024M'gladbach (H)1–21474−61510
15 Dec 2024Dortmund (A)1–11480+21510
8 Dec 2024Freiburg (H)1–11478−11510
1 Dec 2024Mainz (A)0–21479−61510
23 Nov 2024RB Leipzig (H)4–31485+61510
10 Nov 2024Augsburg (A)0–01479+11510
2 Nov 2024St. Pauli (H)0–21478−91510
27 Oct 2024Heidenheim (A)0–01487+11510
19 Oct 2024Bochum (H)3–11486+51510
6 Oct 2024Stuttgart (A)1–11481+21510
29 Sep 2024Bremen (H)3–41479−61510
21 Sep 2024Union Berlin (A)1–21485−51510
14 Sep 2024Leverkusen (H)1–41490−61510
31 Aug 2024Frankfurt (A)1–31496−61510
24 Aug 2024Holstein Kiel (H)3–21502+41510
18 May 2024Bayern (H)4–21498+81500
12 May 2024Darmstadt (A)6–01490+101500
3 May 2024RB Leipzig (H)1–11480+11500
26 Apr 2024Bochum (A)2–31479−51500
20 Apr 2024M'gladbach (H)4–31484+41500
13 Apr 2024Mainz (A)1–41480−81500
7 Apr 2024Augsburg (H)3–11488+71500
30 Mar 2024Leverkusen (A)1–21481−31500
16 Mar 2024Stuttgart (H)0–31484−81500
10 Mar 2024Frankfurt (A)1–31492−61500
3 Mar 2024Bremen (H)2–11498+41500
25 Feb 2024Dortmund (A)3–21494+71500
17 Feb 2024Union Berlin (H)0–11487−61500
11 Feb 20241. FC Köln (H)1–11493−11500
4 Feb 2024Wolfsburg (A)2–21494+11500
27 Jan 2024Heidenheim (H)1–11494−11500
20 Jan 2024Freiburg (A)2–31495−41500
12 Jan 2024Bayern (A)0–31499−61500
19 Dec 2023Darmstadt (H)3–31505−21500
16 Dec 2023RB Leipzig (A)1–31506−61500
8 Dec 2023Bochum (H)3–11512+61500
2 Dec 2023M'gladbach (A)1–21506−51500
26 Nov 2023Mainz (H)1–11511−11500
11 Nov 2023Augsburg (A)1–1151201500
4 Nov 2023Leverkusen (H)2–31512−51500
28 Oct 2023Stuttgart (A)3–21517+61500
21 Oct 2023Frankfurt (H)1–31511−91500
7 Oct 2023Bremen (A)3–21520+51500
29 Sep 2023Dortmund (H)1–31515−91500
23 Sep 2023Union Berlin (A)2–01523+81500
16 Sep 20231. FC Köln (A)3–11515+81500
2 Sep 2023Wolfsburg (H)3–11507+71500
26 Aug 2023Heidenheim (A)3–21500+61500
19 Aug 2023Freiburg (H)1–21494—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheimleague, last 12 months · n = 303

league · Wins: 228 of 606 (38%)league · Scores: 477 of 606 (79%)league · 3+ goals: 197 of 303 (65%)league · Both teams score: 188 of 303 (62%)league · Concedes: 477 of 606 (79%)league · Leads at half-time: 192 of 606 (32%)team · Wins: 7 of 20 (35%)team · Scores: 17 of 20 (85%)team · 3+ goals: 17 of 20 (85%)team · Both teams score: 15 of 20 (75%)team · Concedes: 18 of 20 (90%)team · Leads at half-time: 9 of 20 (45%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
TSG 1899 Hoffenheimleague
Winswon the match35%7 of 2018–57%38%228 of 60634–42%
Scoresscored at least once85%17 of 2064–95%79%477 of 60675–82%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)85%17 of 2064–95%65%197 of 30359–70%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)75%15 of 2053–89%62%188 of 30356–67%
Concedesconceded at least once90%18 of 2070–97%79%477 of 60675–82%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)45%9 of 2026–66%32%192 of 60628–35%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

LWLLW
6points
1.20per match
2-0-3W-D-L
9scored
11conceded

Last 6 matches n = 6

LLWLLW
6points
1.00per match
2-0-4W-D-L
11scored
14conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 6

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

1unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 1
6scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 6
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 0
6both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 6

Goals: home and away n = 6

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches61.83league 1.782.33league 1.78100%6 of 6 · league 57%100%6 of 6 · league 70%0%0 of 6 · league 25%0%0 of 6 · league 25%
Home32.00league 2.202.33league 1.36100%3 of 3 · league 57%100%3 of 3 · league 70%0%0 of 3 · league 34%0%0 of 3 · league 16%
Away31.67league 1.362.33league 2.20100%3 of 3 · league 57%100%3 of 3 · league 70%0%0 of 3 · league 16%0%0 of 3 · league 34%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

Not enough data yet (6 of 8 matches needed).

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 2

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Christian Ilzer15 Nov 2024now641.41
Pellegrino Matarazzo8 Feb 202311 Nov 2024441.25
Whole period in our database19 Aug 202318 Oct 20261081.34

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 6

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

18 Oct 2026AwayABorussia Mönchengladbach2–1
10 Oct 2026HomeHHamburger SV2–3
20 Sep 2026AwayASC Paderborn 071–3
12 Sep 2026HomeHVfB Stuttgart2–1
5 Sep 2026HomeHBorussia Dortmund2–3
29 Aug 2026AwayA1. FC Köln2–3

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

HomeHBayer 04 Leverkusen
AwayASV Werder Bremen
HomeHFC Schalke 04
AwayAEintracht Frankfurt
HomeHFC Augsburg

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 7

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Adam Daghim26—2
Adam Hložek26—1
Bambase Conte26—2
Alexander Prass12—1
Tim Lemperle15——
Leon Avdullahu16——
Ozan Kabak16——

The players in the list have 10 goals between them; the team has scored 11 in the league. A 1-goal difference between the source's scorer list and the results; the source does not say who scored the rest. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 18

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026