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1. FC Union Berlin

Bundesliga · season 2026-27 · 7 matches

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17League position17 of 18 in the regular season table (6 points, 7 played).
1438Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 17 of 18 in Bundesliga. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Union Berlin17th of 18Poor form 0 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5LLWDDPoints rate · last 1043%league 46%Goal difference −6 in the last 10 · Elo −0.5 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Nothing above the league rate in the cautious reading.
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

1. FC Union Berlin – 1. FC Köln

· Home

40%1≈ 1 in 2.50
27%X≈ 1 in 3.72
33%2≈ 1 in 3.02

Explore 1. FC Union Berlin

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator58%chance of finishing in the bottom 3Where does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.58difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time74%won after leading at half-time (17 of 23)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model5upsets in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 1.8)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores1–1the team's most common score (11 of 109 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers2Tim Skarke, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1438Elo rating: #17 in BundesligaHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 109

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1438now
1517highest26 Aug 2023
1418lowest2 Mar 2025
+15last 10 matches
1. FC Union Berlinleague average (teams of the same season)
140014201440146014801500152015402023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
24 Oct 2026Augsburg (A)1–11438+11530
17 Oct 2026Dortmund (H)0–01437+21530
10 Oct 2026Elversberg (H)1–01434+51530
18 Sep 2026Bayern (A)0–71429−21530
11 Sep 2026Schalke (H)1–31431−71530
5 Sep 2026Leverkusen (A)0–41438−41530
29 Aug 2026Frankfurt (H)3–31442+11530
16 May 2026Augsburg (H)4–01442+91516
10 May 2026Mainz (A)3–11432+101516
2 May 20261. FC Köln (H)2–21422−11516
24 Apr 2026RB Leipzig (A)1–31422−31516
18 Apr 2026Wolfsburg (H)1–21426−61516
11 Apr 2026Heidenheim (A)1–31431−81516
5 Apr 2026St. Pauli (H)1–11439−11516
21 Mar 2026Bayern (A)0–41440−21516
15 Mar 2026Freiburg (A)1–01442+71516
8 Mar 2026Bremen (H)1–41436−91516
28 Feb 2026M'gladbach (A)0–11445−41516
21 Feb 2026Leverkusen (H)1–01449+71516
14 Feb 2026HSV (A)2–31442−41516
6 Feb 2026Frankfurt (H)1–11446+11516
31 Jan 2026Hoffenheim (A)1–31445−51516
24 Jan 2026Dortmund (H)0–31450−61516
18 Jan 2026Stuttgart (A)1–11456+21516
15 Jan 2026Augsburg (A)1–11453+11516
10 Jan 2026Mainz (H)2–2145301516
20 Dec 20251. FC Köln (A)1–01453+61516
12 Dec 2025RB Leipzig (H)3–11448+101516
6 Dec 2025Wolfsburg (A)1–31438−61516
29 Nov 2025Heidenheim (H)1–21444−61516
23 Nov 2025St. Pauli (A)1–01450+61516
8 Nov 2025Bayern (H)2–21445+31516
1 Nov 2025Freiburg (H)0–0144201516
24 Oct 2025Bremen (A)0–11442−31516
17 Oct 2025M'gladbach (H)3–11445+71516
4 Oct 2025Leverkusen (A)0–21439−31516
28 Sep 2025HSV (H)0–0144101516
21 Sep 2025Frankfurt (A)4–31441+71516
13 Sep 2025Hoffenheim (H)2–41434−81516
31 Aug 2025Dortmund (A)0–31442−41516
23 Aug 2025Stuttgart (H)2–11446+61516
17 May 2025Augsburg (A)2–11440+61510
10 May 2025Heidenheim (H)0–31434−101510
3 May 2025Bremen (H)2–2144401510
27 Apr 2025Bochum (A)1–1144401510
19 Apr 2025Stuttgart (H)4–41444+11510
12 Apr 2025Leverkusen (A)0–01443+31510
6 Apr 2025Wolfsburg (H)1–01440+51510
30 Mar 2025Freiburg (A)2–11435+71510
15 Mar 2025Bayern (H)1–11428+21510
9 Mar 2025Frankfurt (A)2–11426+71510
2 Mar 2025Holstein Kiel (H)0–11418−61510
22 Feb 2025Dortmund (A)0–61424−61510
15 Feb 2025M'gladbach (H)1–21430−51510
8 Feb 2025Hoffenheim (A)4–01435+121510
1 Feb 2025RB Leipzig (H)0–01423+11510
26 Jan 2025St. Pauli (A)0–31422−61510
19 Jan 2025Mainz (H)2–11428+61510
15 Jan 2025Augsburg (H)0–21422−81510
11 Jan 2025Heidenheim (A)0–21431−61510
21 Dec 2024Bremen (A)1–41437−61510
14 Dec 2024Bochum (H)0–21443−101510
6 Dec 2024Stuttgart (A)2–31453−31510
30 Nov 2024Leverkusen (H)1–21455−31510
23 Nov 2024Wolfsburg (A)0–11458−41510
8 Nov 2024Freiburg (H)0–0146301510
2 Nov 2024Bayern (A)0–31463−41510
27 Oct 2024Frankfurt (H)1–1146701510
20 Oct 2024Holstein Kiel (A)2–01467+91510
5 Oct 2024Dortmund (H)2–11458+61510
28 Sep 2024M'gladbach (A)0–11452−41510
21 Sep 2024Hoffenheim (H)2–11457+51510
14 Sep 2024RB Leipzig (A)0–01452+21510
30 Aug 2024St. Pauli (H)1–01449+51510
24 Aug 2024Mainz (A)1–11444+11510
18 May 2024Freiburg (H)2–11443+51500
11 May 20241. FC Köln (A)2–31438−41500
5 May 2024Bochum (H)3–41443−61500
28 Apr 2024M'gladbach (A)0–01448+11500
20 Apr 2024Bayern (H)1–51447−71500
12 Apr 2024Augsburg (A)0–21455−61500
6 Apr 2024Leverkusen (H)0–11460−31500
30 Mar 2024Frankfurt (A)0–01464+21500
16 Mar 2024Bremen (H)2–11462+51500
8 Mar 2024Stuttgart (A)0–21458−51500
2 Mar 2024Dortmund (H)0–21462−71500
24 Feb 2024Heidenheim (H)2–2146901500
17 Feb 2024Hoffenheim (A)1–01470+61500
10 Feb 2024Wolfsburg (H)1–01464+51500
7 Feb 2024Mainz (A)1–11459+11500
4 Feb 2024RB Leipzig (A)0–21458−51500
28 Jan 2024Darmstadt (H)1–01463+41500
24 Jan 2024Bayern (A)0–11459−31500
13 Jan 2024Freiburg (A)0–01462+11500
20 Dec 20231. FC Köln (H)2–01461+71500
16 Dec 2023Bochum (A)0–31454−71500
9 Dec 2023M'gladbach (H)3–11462+71500
25 Nov 2023Augsburg (H)1–1145401500
12 Nov 2023Leverkusen (A)0–41455−61500
4 Nov 2023Frankfurt (H)0–31460−91500
28 Oct 2023Bremen (A)0–21469−61500
21 Oct 2023Stuttgart (H)0–31476−91500
7 Oct 2023Dortmund (A)2–41484−61500
30 Sep 2023Heidenheim (A)0–11490−41500
23 Sep 2023Hoffenheim (H)0–21494−81500
16 Sep 2023Wolfsburg (A)1–21503−41500
3 Sep 2023RB Leipzig (H)0–31507−101500
26 Aug 2023Darmstadt (A)4–11517+101500
20 Aug 2023Mainz (H)4–11508—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

1. FC Union Berlinleague, last 12 months · n = 303

league · Wins: 228 of 606 (38%)league · Scores: 477 of 606 (79%)league · 3+ goals: 197 of 303 (65%)league · Both teams score: 188 of 303 (62%)league · Concedes: 477 of 606 (79%)league · Leads at half-time: 192 of 606 (32%)team · Wins: 5 of 20 (25%)team · Scores: 15 of 20 (75%)team · 3+ goals: 13 of 20 (65%)team · Both teams score: 11 of 20 (55%)team · Concedes: 15 of 20 (75%)team · Leads at half-time: 3 of 20 (15%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
1. FC Union Berlinleague
Winswon the match25%5 of 2011–47%38%228 of 60634–42%
Scoresscored at least once75%15 of 2053–89%79%477 of 60675–82%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)65%13 of 2043–82%65%197 of 30359–70%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)55%11 of 2034–74%62%188 of 30356–67%
Concedesconceded at least once75%15 of 2053–89%79%477 of 60675–82%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)15%3 of 205–36%32%192 of 60628–35%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

LLWDD
5points
1.00per match
1-2-2W-D-L
3scored
11conceded

Last 7 matches n = 7

DLLLWDD
6points
0.86per match
1-3-3W-D-L
6scored
18conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 7

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

3unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 3
1scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 1
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 2
1both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 1

Goals: home and away n = 7

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches70.86league 1.782.57league 1.7843%3 of 7 · league 57%57%4 of 7 · league 70%29%2 of 7 · league 25%43%3 of 7 · league 25%
Home41.25league 2.201.50league 1.3650%2 of 4 · league 57%50%2 of 4 · league 70%50%2 of 4 · league 34%25%1 of 4 · league 16%
Away30.33league 1.364.00league 2.2033%1 of 3 · league 57%67%2 of 3 · league 70%0%0 of 3 · league 16%67%2 of 3 · league 34%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

Not enough data yet (7 of 8 matches needed).

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 9

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Mauro Lustrinelli1 Jul 2026now70.86
Marie-Louise Eta11 Apr 202630 Jun 202661.17
Steffen Baumgart2 Jan 202511 Apr 2026471.19
Marco Grote27 Dec 202430 Dec 20240—
Bo Svensson1 Jul 202427 Dec 2024151.07
Marco Grote6 May 202430 Jun 202421.50
Nenad Bjelica27 Nov 20236 May 2024201.15
Marco Grote15 Nov 202326 Nov 202311.00
Urs Fischer1 Jul 201815 Nov 2023110.55
Whole period in our database20 Aug 202324 Oct 20261091.08

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 7

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

24 Oct 2026AwayAFC Augsburg1–1
17 Oct 2026HomeHBorussia Dortmund0–0
10 Oct 2026HomeHSV 07 Elversberg1–0
18 Sep 2026AwayAFC Bayern München0–7
11 Sep 2026HomeHFC Schalke 041–3
5 Sep 2026AwayABayer 04 Leverkusen0–4
29 Aug 2026HomeHEintracht Frankfurt3–3

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

HomeH1. FC Köln
AwayASC Freiburg
HomeHRB Leipzig
AwayA1. FSV Mainz 05
5 Dec 2026 · kick-off time not set yetHomeHHamburger SV

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 4

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Tim Skarke26——
Emmanuel Latte Lath15——
Livan Burcu15——
Leopold Querfeld16—1

The players in the list have 5 goals between them; the team has scored 6 in the league. A 1-goal difference between the source's scorer list and the results; the source does not say who scored the rest. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 17

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026