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Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Bundesliga · season 2026-27 · 6 matches

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4League position4 of 18 in the regular season table (13 points, 6 played).
1652Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 3 of 18 in Bundesliga. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Leverkusen4th of 18Good form 3 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5WDWWWPoints rate · last 1067%league 46%Goal difference +9 in the last 10 · Elo +14.3 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Nothing above the league rate in the cautious reading.
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim – Bayer 04 Leverkusen

· Away

29%1≈ 1 in 3.48
22%X≈ 1 in 4.60
50%2≈ 1 in 2.02

Explore Bayer 04 Leverkusen

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator85%chance of a top-4 finishWhere does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.36difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time83%won after leading at half-time (48 of 58)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model3upsets in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 1.9)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores2–1the team's most common score (12 of 108 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers6Patrik Schick, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1652Elo rating: #3 in BundesligaHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 108

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1652now
1683highest1 Mar 2025
1504lowest19 Aug 2023
+7last 10 matches
Bayer 04 Leverkusenleague average (teams of the same season)
150015501600165017002023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
18 Oct 2026Freiburg (H)2–11652+31530
10 Oct 2026Mainz (A)4–31649+41530
20 Sep 2026RB Leipzig (H)2–01645+51530
12 Sep 2026Augsburg (A)2–21640−11530
5 Sep 2026Union Berlin (H)4–01641+41530
29 Aug 2026Elversberg (A)2–31637−61530
16 May 2026HSV (H)1–11644−31516
9 May 2026Stuttgart (A)1–31647−81516
2 May 2026RB Leipzig (H)4–11654+61516
25 Apr 20261. FC Köln (A)2–11648+31516
18 Apr 2026Augsburg (H)1–21645−81516
11 Apr 2026Dortmund (A)1–01653+61516
4 Apr 2026Wolfsburg (H)6–31647+31516
21 Mar 2026Heidenheim (A)3–31644−31516
14 Mar 2026Bayern (H)1–11647+11516
7 Mar 2026Freiburg (A)3–31646−11516
4 Mar 2026HSV (A)1–01647+31516
28 Feb 2026Mainz (H)1–11644−31516
21 Feb 2026Union Berlin (A)0–11647−71516
14 Feb 2026St. Pauli (H)4–01654+31516
7 Feb 2026M'gladbach (A)1–11651−21516
31 Jan 2026Frankfurt (A)3–11652+61516
24 Jan 2026Bremen (H)1–01646+21516
17 Jan 2026Hoffenheim (A)0–11644−61516
10 Jan 2026Stuttgart (H)1–41650−121516
20 Dec 2025RB Leipzig (A)3–11662+71516
13 Dec 20251. FC Köln (H)2–01655+31516
6 Dec 2025Augsburg (A)0–21652−111516
29 Nov 2025Dortmund (H)1–21663−71516
22 Nov 2025Wolfsburg (A)3–11670+41516
8 Nov 2025Heidenheim (H)6–01665+31516
1 Nov 2025Bayern (A)0–31662−61516
26 Oct 2025Freiburg (H)2–01669+31516
18 Oct 2025Mainz (A)4–31665+41516
4 Oct 2025Union Berlin (H)2–01662+31516
27 Sep 2025St. Pauli (A)2–11659+31516
21 Sep 2025M'gladbach (H)1–11656−31516
12 Sep 2025Frankfurt (H)3–11659+51516
30 Aug 2025Bremen (A)3–31654−11516
23 Aug 2025Hoffenheim (H)1–21656−81516
17 May 2025Mainz (A)2–21664−11510
11 May 2025Dortmund (H)2–41665−111510
4 May 2025Freiburg (A)2–21676−21510
26 Apr 2025Augsburg (H)2–01678+31510
20 Apr 2025St. Pauli (A)1–11674−21510
12 Apr 2025Union Berlin (H)0–01677−31510
5 Apr 2025Heidenheim (A)1–01680+21510
28 Mar 2025Bochum (H)3–11677+21510
16 Mar 2025Stuttgart (A)4–31675+41510
8 Mar 2025Bremen (H)0–21671−121510
1 Mar 2025Frankfurt (A)4–11683+71510
22 Feb 2025Holstein Kiel (A)2–01676+41510
15 Feb 2025Bayern (H)0–01673−11510
8 Feb 2025Wolfsburg (A)0–01674−21510
2 Feb 2025Hoffenheim (H)3–11676+31510
25 Jan 2025RB Leipzig (A)2–21673−11510
18 Jan 2025M'gladbach (H)3–11673+31510
14 Jan 2025Mainz (H)1–01670+21510
10 Jan 2025Dortmund (A)3–21668+41510
21 Dec 2024Freiburg (H)5–11664+41510
14 Dec 2024Augsburg (A)2–01659+51510
7 Dec 2024St. Pauli (H)2–11655+21510
30 Nov 2024Union Berlin (A)2–11653+31510
23 Nov 2024Heidenheim (H)5–21650+41510
9 Nov 2024Bochum (A)1–11646−31510
1 Nov 2024Stuttgart (H)0–01648−21510
26 Oct 2024Bremen (A)2–21650−11510
19 Oct 2024Frankfurt (H)2–11651+31510
5 Oct 2024Holstein Kiel (H)2–21649−31510
28 Sep 2024Bayern (A)1–1165101510
22 Sep 2024Wolfsburg (H)4–31651+21510
14 Sep 2024Hoffenheim (A)4–11649+61510
31 Aug 2024RB Leipzig (H)2–31643−71510
23 Aug 2024M'gladbach (A)3–21650+31510
18 May 2024Augsburg (H)2–11647+21500
12 May 2024Bochum (A)5–01644+61500
5 May 2024Frankfurt (A)5–11638+81500
27 Apr 2024Stuttgart (H)2–21630−21500
21 Apr 2024Dortmund (A)1–1163201500
14 Apr 2024Bremen (H)5–01632+51500
6 Apr 2024Union Berlin (A)1–01627+31500
30 Mar 2024Hoffenheim (H)2–11624+31500
17 Mar 2024Freiburg (A)3–21621+41500
10 Mar 2024Wolfsburg (H)2–01618+41500
3 Mar 20241. FC Köln (A)2–01614+51500
23 Feb 2024Mainz (H)2–11609+21500
17 Feb 2024Heidenheim (A)2–11606+41500
10 Feb 2024Bayern (H)3–01602+71500
3 Feb 2024Darmstadt (A)2–01595+51500
27 Jan 2024M'gladbach (H)0–01589−21500
20 Jan 2024RB Leipzig (A)3–21592+51500
13 Jan 2024Augsburg (A)1–01586+41500
20 Dec 2023Bochum (H)4–01582+61500
17 Dec 2023Frankfurt (H)3–01576+61500
10 Dec 2023Stuttgart (A)1–1157001500
3 Dec 2023Dortmund (H)1–11570−11500
25 Nov 2023Bremen (A)3–01571+81500
12 Nov 2023Union Berlin (H)4–01563+61500
4 Nov 2023Hoffenheim (A)3–21558+51500
29 Oct 2023Freiburg (H)2–11552+41500
21 Oct 2023Wolfsburg (A)2–11549+51500
8 Oct 20231. FC Köln (H)3–01544+61500
30 Sep 2023Mainz (A)3–01538+91500
24 Sep 2023Heidenheim (H)4–11529+71500
15 Sep 2023Bayern (A)2–21522+11500
2 Sep 2023Darmstadt (H)5–11522+71500
26 Aug 2023M'gladbach (A)3–01514+101500
19 Aug 2023RB Leipzig (H)3–21504—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

Bayer 04 Leverkusenleague, last 12 months · n = 303

league · Wins: 228 of 606 (38%)league · Scores: 477 of 606 (79%)league · 3+ goals: 197 of 303 (65%)league · Both teams score: 188 of 303 (62%)league · Concedes: 477 of 606 (79%)league · Leads at half-time: 192 of 606 (32%)team · Wins: 10 of 20 (50%)team · Scores: 19 of 20 (95%)team · 3+ goals: 13 of 20 (65%)team · Both teams score: 14 of 20 (70%)team · Concedes: 15 of 20 (75%)team · Leads at half-time: 9 of 20 (45%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
Bayer 04 Leverkusenleague
Winswon the match50%10 of 2030–70%38%228 of 60634–42%
Scoresscored at least once95%19 of 2076–99%79%477 of 60675–82%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)65%13 of 2043–82%65%197 of 30359–70%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)70%14 of 2048–85%62%188 of 30356–67%
Concedesconceded at least once75%15 of 2053–89%79%477 of 60675–82%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)45%9 of 2026–66%32%192 of 60628–35%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

WDWWW
13points
2.60per match
4-1-0W-D-L
14scored
6conceded

Last 6 matches n = 6

LWDWWW
13points
2.17per match
4-1-1W-D-L
16scored
9conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 6

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

5unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 5
6scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 6
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 1
2both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 2

Goals: home and away n = 6

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches62.67league 1.781.50league 1.7867%4 of 6 · league 57%83%5 of 6 · league 70%33%2 of 6 · league 25%0%0 of 6 · league 25%
Home32.67league 2.200.33league 1.3633%1 of 3 · league 57%67%2 of 3 · league 70%67%2 of 3 · league 34%0%0 of 3 · league 16%
Away32.67league 1.362.67league 2.20100%3 of 3 · league 57%100%3 of 3 · league 70%0%0 of 3 · league 16%0%0 of 3 · league 34%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

Not enough data yet (6 of 8 matches needed).

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 4

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Carles Martínez Novell4 Jun 2026now62.17
Kasper Hjulmand8 Sep 20254 Jun 2026321.81
Erik ten Hag1 Jul 20251 Sep 202520.50
Xabi Alonso5 Oct 202225 May 2025682.34
Whole period in our database19 Aug 202318 Oct 20261082.14

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 6

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

18 Oct 2026HomeHSC Freiburg2–1
10 Oct 2026AwayA1. FSV Mainz 054–3
20 Sep 2026HomeHRB Leipzig2–0
12 Sep 2026AwayAFC Augsburg2–2
5 Sep 2026HomeH1. FC Union Berlin4–0
29 Aug 2026AwayASV 07 Elversberg2–3

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

AwayATSG 1899 Hoffenheim
HomeHVfB Stuttgart
AwayA1. FC Köln
HomeHSC Paderborn 07
AwayABorussia Dortmund

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 9

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Patrik Schick66—2
Christian Kofane24——
Ibrahim Maza26—2
Moussa Diaby15——
Facundo Medina16——
Jarell Quansah16—1
Miguel Gutiérrez16—3
Nicolás Ezequiel Fernández16——
Robert Andrich16——

The players in the list have 16 goals between them; the team has scored 16 in the league. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 17

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026