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SV Werder Bremen

Bundesliga · season 2026-27 · 7 matches

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6League position6 of 18 in the regular season table (12 points, 7 played).
1473Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 14 of 18 in Bundesliga. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Bremen6th of 18Below average 1 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5DWDDWPoints rate · last 1040%league 46%Goal difference −4 in the last 10 · Elo +14.0 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Nothing above the league rate in the cautious reading.
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

SV Werder Bremen – TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

· Home

40%1≈ 1 in 2.49
24%X≈ 1 in 4.24
36%2≈ 1 in 2.76

Explore SV Werder Bremen

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator12%chance of a top-6 finishWhere does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.53difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time76%won after leading at half-time (19 of 25)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model0upsets in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 1.2)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores2–2the team's most common score (12 of 109 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers6Niclas Füllkrug, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1473Elo rating: #14 in BundesligaHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 109

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1473now
1515highest14 Sep 2025
1449lowest30 Aug 2026
0last 10 matches
SV Werder Bremenleague average (teams of the same season)
1440146014801500152015402023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
24 Oct 2026Mainz (A)3–21473+61530
17 Oct 2026SC Paderborn (H)2–2146701530
9 Oct 2026Dortmund (A)2–21467+31530
19 Sep 2026Augsburg (H)3–21464+51530
12 Sep 20261. FC Köln (A)1–1145901530
5 Sep 2026RB Leipzig (H)3–11459+101530
30 Aug 2026Freiburg (A)1–41449−61530
16 May 2026Dortmund (H)0–21456−51516
9 May 2026Hoffenheim (A)0–11461−31516
2 May 2026Augsburg (H)1–31464−91516
26 Apr 2026Stuttgart (A)1–11473+21516
18 Apr 2026HSV (H)3–11470+71516
12 Apr 20261. FC Köln (A)1–31464−71516
4 Apr 2026RB Leipzig (H)1–21471−41516
21 Mar 2026Wolfsburg (A)1–01475+51516
15 Mar 2026Mainz (H)0–21470−81516
8 Mar 2026Union Berlin (A)4–11478+91516
28 Feb 2026Heidenheim (H)2–01469+51516
22 Feb 2026St. Pauli (A)1–21464−51516
14 Feb 2026Bayern (H)0–31469−41516
7 Feb 2026Freiburg (A)0–11473−41516
31 Jan 2026M'gladbach (H)1–11476−11516
27 Jan 2026Hoffenheim (H)0–21477−81516
24 Jan 2026Leverkusen (A)0–11485−21516
16 Jan 2026Frankfurt (H)3–3148701516
13 Jan 2026Dortmund (A)0–31487−51516
20 Dec 2025Augsburg (A)0–0149201516
14 Dec 2025Stuttgart (H)0–41492−91516
7 Dec 2025HSV (A)2–31501−51516
29 Nov 20251. FC Köln (H)1–11505−21516
23 Nov 2025RB Leipzig (A)0–21507−51516
7 Nov 2025Wolfsburg (H)2–11512+41516
1 Nov 2025Mainz (A)1–11508+11516
24 Oct 2025Union Berlin (H)1–01508+31516
18 Oct 2025Heidenheim (A)2–21504−11516
4 Oct 2025St. Pauli (H)1–01505+41516
26 Sep 2025Bayern (A)0–41501−41516
20 Sep 2025Freiburg (H)0–31505−111516
14 Sep 2025M'gladbach (A)4–01515+101516
30 Aug 2025Leverkusen (H)3–31506+11516
23 Aug 2025Frankfurt (A)1–41504−61516
17 May 2025Heidenheim (A)4–11510+81510
10 May 2025RB Leipzig (H)0–0150201510
3 May 2025Union Berlin (A)2–2150201510
27 Apr 2025St. Pauli (H)0–01502−11510
19 Apr 2025Bochum (H)1–01503+31510
13 Apr 2025Stuttgart (A)2–11500+71510
5 Apr 2025Frankfurt (H)2–01493+81510
29 Mar 2025Holstein Kiel (A)3–01486+91510
15 Mar 2025M'gladbach (H)2–41477−91510
8 Mar 2025Leverkusen (A)2–01485+121510
1 Mar 2025Wolfsburg (H)1–21473−51510
21 Feb 2025Freiburg (A)0–51479−81510
16 Feb 2025Hoffenheim (H)1–31487−91510
7 Feb 2025Bayern (A)0–31496−41510
31 Jan 2025Mainz (H)1–01501+51510
25 Jan 2025Dortmund (A)2–21496+11510
19 Jan 2025Augsburg (H)0–21495−101510
15 Jan 2025Heidenheim (H)3–31504−11510
12 Jan 2025RB Leipzig (A)2–41506−51510
21 Dec 2024Union Berlin (H)4–11511+61510
14 Dec 2024St. Pauli (A)2–01505+81510
7 Dec 2024Bochum (A)1–01497+41510
30 Nov 2024Stuttgart (H)2–21492+11510
23 Nov 2024Frankfurt (A)0–11492−41510
9 Nov 2024Holstein Kiel (H)2–11495+41510
3 Nov 2024M'gladbach (A)1–41491−81510
26 Oct 2024Leverkusen (H)2–21500+11510
20 Oct 2024Wolfsburg (A)4–21498+81510
5 Oct 2024Freiburg (H)0–11490−61510
29 Sep 2024Hoffenheim (A)4–31496+61510
21 Sep 2024Bayern (H)0–51490−91510
15 Sep 2024Mainz (A)2–11499+61510
31 Aug 2024Dortmund (H)0–0149401510
24 Aug 2024Augsburg (A)2–2149301510
18 May 2024Bochum (H)4–11493+71500
11 May 2024RB Leipzig (A)1–11486+21500
4 May 2024M'gladbach (H)2–21484−11500
27 Apr 2024Augsburg (A)3–01485+101500
21 Apr 2024Stuttgart (H)2–11475+61500
14 Apr 2024Leverkusen (A)0–51469−51500
5 Apr 2024Frankfurt (A)1–11474+11500
30 Mar 2024Wolfsburg (H)0–21472−91500
16 Mar 2024Union Berlin (A)1–21481−51500
9 Mar 2024Dortmund (H)1–21486−51500
3 Mar 2024Hoffenheim (A)1–21491−41500
24 Feb 2024Darmstadt (H)1–11495−21500
16 Feb 20241. FC Köln (A)1–01497+51500
10 Feb 2024Heidenheim (H)1–21492−61500
3 Feb 2024Mainz (A)1–01497+51500
27 Jan 2024Freiburg (H)3–11492+71500
21 Jan 2024Bayern (A)1–01485+71500
14 Jan 2024Bochum (A)1–11478+11500
19 Dec 2023RB Leipzig (H)1–1147801500
15 Dec 2023M'gladbach (A)2–21477+11500
9 Dec 2023Augsburg (H)2–01477+71500
2 Dec 2023Stuttgart (A)0–21470−51500
25 Nov 2023Leverkusen (H)0–31475−81500
12 Nov 2023Frankfurt (H)2–2148301500
5 Nov 2023Wolfsburg (A)2–21483+11500
28 Oct 2023Union Berlin (H)2–01482+61500
20 Oct 2023Dortmund (A)0–11475−41500
7 Oct 2023Hoffenheim (H)2–31479−51500
1 Oct 2023Darmstadt (A)2–41484−71500
23 Sep 20231. FC Köln (H)2–11491+41500
17 Sep 2023Heidenheim (A)2–41487−71500
2 Sep 2023Mainz (H)4–01493+81500
26 Aug 2023Freiburg (A)0–11485−41500
18 Aug 2023Bayern (H)0–41489—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

SV Werder Bremenleague, last 12 months · n = 303

league · Wins: 228 of 606 (38%)league · Scores: 477 of 606 (79%)league · 3+ goals: 197 of 303 (65%)league · Both teams score: 188 of 303 (62%)league · Concedes: 477 of 606 (79%)league · Leads at half-time: 192 of 606 (32%)team · Wins: 7 of 20 (35%)team · Scores: 16 of 20 (80%)team · 3+ goals: 13 of 20 (65%)team · Both teams score: 14 of 20 (70%)team · Concedes: 18 of 20 (90%)team · Leads at half-time: 4 of 20 (20%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
SV Werder Bremenleague
Winswon the match35%7 of 2018–57%38%228 of 60634–42%
Scoresscored at least once80%16 of 2058–92%79%477 of 60675–82%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)65%13 of 2043–82%65%197 of 30359–70%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)70%14 of 2048–85%62%188 of 30356–67%
Concedesconceded at least once90%18 of 2070–97%79%477 of 60675–82%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)20%4 of 208–42%32%192 of 60628–35%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

DWDDW
9points
1.80per match
2-3-0W-D-L
11scored
9conceded

Last 7 matches n = 7

LWDWDDW
12points
1.71per match
3-3-1W-D-L
15scored
14conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 7

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

6unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 6
7scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 7
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 0
7both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 7

Goals: home and away n = 7

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches72.14league 1.782.00league 1.78100%7 of 7 · league 57%86%6 of 7 · league 70%0%0 of 7 · league 25%0%0 of 7 · league 25%
Home32.67league 2.201.67league 1.36100%3 of 3 · league 57%100%3 of 3 · league 70%0%0 of 3 · league 34%0%0 of 3 · league 16%
Away41.75league 1.362.25league 2.20100%4 of 4 · league 57%75%3 of 4 · league 70%0%0 of 4 · league 16%0%0 of 4 · league 34%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

Not enough data yet (7 of 8 matches needed).

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 3

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Daniel Thioune4 Feb 2026now211.19
Horst Steffen29 May 20251 Feb 2026200.95
Ole Werner28 Nov 202127 May 2025681.37
Whole period in our database18 Aug 202324 Oct 20261091.26

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 7

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

24 Oct 2026AwayA1. FSV Mainz 053–2
17 Oct 2026HomeHSC Paderborn 072–2
9 Oct 2026AwayABorussia Dortmund2–2
19 Sep 2026HomeHFC Augsburg3–2
12 Sep 2026AwayA1. FC Köln1–1
5 Sep 2026HomeHRB Leipzig3–1
30 Aug 2026AwayASC Freiburg1–4

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

HomeHTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
AwayAVfB Stuttgart
HomeHHamburger SV
HomeHBorussia Mönchengladbach
5 Dec 2026 · kick-off time not set yetAwayAEintracht Frankfurt

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 6

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Niclas Füllkrug661—
Marco Grüll26—4
Mitchell Weiser14——
Dariusz Stalmach16——
Eren Dinkci16—1
Ludovit Reis16——

The players in the list have 12 goals between them; the team has scored 15 in the league. A 3-goal difference between the source's scorer list and the results; the source does not say who scored the rest. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 17

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026