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FC Bayern München

Bundesliga · season 2026-27 · 6 matches

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2League position2 of 18 in the regular season table (14 points, 6 played).
1766Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 1 of 18 in Bundesliga. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Bayern2nd of 18Good form 3 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5DWWDWPoints rate · last 1080%league 46%Goal difference +23 in the last 10 · Elo +3.4 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Unbeaten20 of 20league 62%
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

SC Freiburg – FC Bayern München

· Away

12%1≈ 1 in 8.14
15%X≈ 1 in 6.45
72%2≈ 1 in 1.38

Explore FC Bayern München

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator97%title chanceWhere does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.21difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time93%won after leading at half-time (57 of 61)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model4upsets in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 3.8)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores3–0the team's most common score (11 of 108 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers5Michael Olise, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1766Elo rating: #1 in BundesligaHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 108

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1766now
1766highest17 Oct 2026
1511lowest18 Aug 2023
+10last 10 matches
FC Bayern Münchenleague average (teams of the same season)
15001550160016501700175018002023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
17 Oct 2026RB Leipzig (H)6–11766+41530
10 Oct 2026Augsburg (A)2–21761−31530
18 Sep 2026Union Berlin (H)7–01764+21530
13 Sep 2026Elversberg (A)2–11762+21530
5 Sep 2026Schalke (A)0–01759−31530
28 Aug 2026Stuttgart (H)5–11762+41530
16 May 20261. FC Köln (H)5–11758+21516
9 May 2026Wolfsburg (A)1–01756+21516
2 May 2026Heidenheim (H)3–31754−41516
25 Apr 2026Mainz (A)4–31758+21516
19 Apr 2026Stuttgart (H)4–21756+41516
11 Apr 2026St. Pauli (A)5–01752+41516
4 Apr 2026Freiburg (A)3–21749+21516
21 Mar 2026Union Berlin (H)4–01746+21516
14 Mar 2026Leverkusen (A)1–11744−11516
6 Mar 2026M'gladbach (H)4–11745+21516
28 Feb 2026Dortmund (A)3–21743+41516
21 Feb 2026Frankfurt (H)3–21738+21516
14 Feb 2026Bremen (A)3–01736+41516
8 Feb 2026Hoffenheim (H)5–11732+41516
31 Jan 2026HSV (A)2–21729−31516
24 Jan 2026Augsburg (H)1–21731−91516
17 Jan 2026RB Leipzig (A)5–11740+71516
14 Jan 20261. FC Köln (A)3–11733+31516
11 Jan 2026Wolfsburg (H)8–11730+31516
21 Dec 2025Heidenheim (A)4–01727+31516
14 Dec 2025Mainz (H)2–21724−31516
6 Dec 2025Stuttgart (A)5–01727+71516
29 Nov 2025St. Pauli (H)3–11720+21516
22 Nov 2025Freiburg (H)6–21718+31516
8 Nov 2025Union Berlin (A)2–21715−31516
1 Nov 2025Leverkusen (H)3–01718+61516
25 Oct 2025M'gladbach (A)3–01711+41516
18 Oct 2025Dortmund (H)2–11707+31516
4 Oct 2025Frankfurt (A)3–01704+71516
26 Sep 2025Bremen (H)4–01698+41516
20 Sep 2025Hoffenheim (A)4–11694+51516
13 Sep 2025HSV (H)5–01689+41516
30 Aug 2025Augsburg (A)3–21685+31516
22 Aug 2025RB Leipzig (H)6–01682+61516
17 May 2025Hoffenheim (A)4–01676+51510
10 May 2025M'gladbach (H)2–01671+31510
3 May 2025RB Leipzig (A)3–31668−11510
26 Apr 2025Mainz (H)3–01668+41510
19 Apr 2025Heidenheim (A)4–01664+51510
12 Apr 2025Dortmund (H)2–21659−21510
4 Apr 2025Augsburg (A)3–11661+51510
29 Mar 2025St. Pauli (H)3–21656+21510
15 Mar 2025Union Berlin (A)1–11654−21510
8 Mar 2025Bochum (H)2–31657−91510
28 Feb 2025Stuttgart (A)3–11665+71510
23 Feb 2025Frankfurt (H)4–01658+61510
15 Feb 2025Leverkusen (A)0–01653+11510
7 Feb 2025Bremen (H)3–01652+41510
1 Feb 2025Holstein Kiel (H)4–31647+21510
25 Jan 2025Freiburg (A)2–11645+31510
18 Jan 2025Wolfsburg (H)3–21642+21510
15 Jan 2025Hoffenheim (H)5–01640+41510
11 Jan 2025M'gladbach (A)1–01635+41510
20 Dec 2024RB Leipzig (H)5–11631+71510
14 Dec 2024Mainz (A)1–21624−61510
7 Dec 2024Heidenheim (H)4–21630+31510
30 Nov 2024Dortmund (A)1–1162701510
22 Nov 2024Augsburg (H)3–01627+41510
9 Nov 2024St. Pauli (A)1–01623+41510
2 Nov 2024Union Berlin (H)3–01619+41510
27 Oct 2024Bochum (A)5–01615+61510
19 Oct 2024Stuttgart (H)4–01609+81510
6 Oct 2024Frankfurt (A)3–3160101510
28 Sep 2024Leverkusen (H)1–1160201510
21 Sep 2024Bremen (A)5–01602+91510
14 Sep 2024Holstein Kiel (A)6–11593+91510
1 Sep 2024Freiburg (H)2–01584+41510
25 Aug 2024Wolfsburg (A)3–21580+41510
18 May 2024Hoffenheim (A)2–41576−81500
12 May 2024Wolfsburg (H)2–01584+41500
4 May 2024Stuttgart (A)1–31580−71500
27 Apr 2024Frankfurt (H)2–11587+31500
20 Apr 2024Union Berlin (A)5–11583+71500
13 Apr 20241. FC Köln (H)2–01576+41500
6 Apr 2024Heidenheim (A)2–31572−61500
30 Mar 2024Dortmund (H)0–21577−91500
16 Mar 2024Darmstadt (A)5–21587+61500
9 Mar 2024Mainz (H)8–11581+61500
1 Mar 2024Freiburg (A)2–21575−11500
24 Feb 2024RB Leipzig (H)2–11575+41500
18 Feb 2024Bochum (A)2–31571−61500
10 Feb 2024Leverkusen (A)0–31577−71500
3 Feb 2024M'gladbach (H)3–11584+51500
27 Jan 2024Augsburg (A)3–21580+41500
24 Jan 2024Union Berlin (H)1–01575+31500
21 Jan 2024Bremen (H)0–11573−71500
12 Jan 2024Hoffenheim (H)3–01580+61500
20 Dec 2023Wolfsburg (A)2–11574+51500
17 Dec 2023Stuttgart (H)3–01569+71500
9 Dec 2023Frankfurt (A)1–51562−101500
24 Nov 20231. FC Köln (A)1–01572+41500
11 Nov 2023Heidenheim (H)4–21568+51500
4 Nov 2023Dortmund (A)4–01563+101500
28 Oct 2023Darmstadt (H)8–01553+81500
21 Oct 2023Mainz (A)3–11545+71500
8 Oct 2023Freiburg (H)3–01538+71500
30 Sep 2023RB Leipzig (A)2–21531+11500
23 Sep 2023Bochum (H)7–01530+91500
15 Sep 2023Leverkusen (H)2–21522−11500
2 Sep 2023M'gladbach (A)2–11522+51500
27 Aug 2023Augsburg (H)3–11517+61500
18 Aug 2023Bremen (A)4–01511—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

FC Bayern Münchenleague, last 12 months · n = 303

league · Wins: 228 of 606 (38%)league · Scores: 477 of 606 (79%)league · 3+ goals: 197 of 303 (65%)league · Both teams score: 188 of 303 (62%)league · Concedes: 477 of 606 (79%)league · Leads at half-time: 192 of 606 (32%)team · Wins: 16 of 20 (80%)team · Scores: 19 of 20 (95%)team · 3+ goals: 17 of 20 (85%)team · Both teams score: 14 of 20 (70%)team · Concedes: 14 of 20 (70%)team · Leads at half-time: 12 of 20 (60%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
FC Bayern Münchenleague
Winswon the match80%16 of 2058–92%38%228 of 60634–42%
Scoresscored at least once95%19 of 2076–99%79%477 of 60675–82%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)85%17 of 2064–95%65%197 of 30359–70%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)70%14 of 2048–85%62%188 of 30356–67%
Concedesconceded at least once70%14 of 2048–85%79%477 of 60675–82%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)60%12 of 2039–78%32%192 of 60628–35%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

DWWDW
11points
2.20per match
3-2-0W-D-L
17scored
4conceded

Last 6 matches n = 6

WDWWDW
14points
2.33per match
4-2-0W-D-L
22scored
5conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 6

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

6unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 6
4scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 4
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 1
2both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 2

Goals: home and away n = 6

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches63.67league 1.780.83league 1.7867%4 of 6 · league 57%83%5 of 6 · league 70%33%2 of 6 · league 25%17%1 of 6 · league 25%
Home36.00league 2.200.67league 1.3667%2 of 3 · league 57%100%3 of 3 · league 70%33%1 of 3 · league 34%0%0 of 3 · league 16%
Away31.33league 1.361.00league 2.2067%2 of 3 · league 57%67%2 of 3 · league 70%33%1 of 3 · league 16%33%1 of 3 · league 34%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

Not enough data yet (6 of 8 matches needed).

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 2

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Vincent Kompany1 Jul 2024now742.50
Thomas Tuchel24 Mar 202330 Jun 2024342.12
Whole period in our database18 Aug 202317 Oct 20261082.38

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 6

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

17 Oct 2026HomeHRB Leipzig6–1
10 Oct 2026AwayAFC Augsburg2–2
18 Sep 2026HomeH1. FC Union Berlin7–0
13 Sep 2026AwayASV 07 Elversberg2–1
5 Sep 2026AwayAFC Schalke 040–0
28 Aug 2026HomeHVfB Stuttgart5–1

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

AwayASC Freiburg
HomeHBorussia Dortmund
AwayA1. FSV Mainz 05
HomeH1. FC Köln
AwayAHamburger SV

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 9

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Michael Olise56—2
Harry Kane4614
Luis Díaz46—1
Aleksandar Pavlović26—1
Ismael Saibari26—3
Jamal Musiala13—1
Dayot Upamecano16——
Lennart Karl16——
Nathaniel Brown16—1

The players in the list have 21 goals between them; the team has scored 22 in the league. A 1-goal difference between the source's scorer list and the results; the source does not say who scored the rest. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 17

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026