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1. FC Köln

Bundesliga · season 2026-27 · 7 matches

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11League position11 of 18 in the regular season table (8 points, 7 played).
1421Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 18 of 18 in Bundesliga. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

1. FC Köln11th of 18Poor form 0 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5DLWLDPoints rate · last 1030%league 46%Goal difference −9 in the last 10 · Elo −2.0 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Both teams score17 of 20league 62%Winless17 of 20league 62%
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

1. FC Union Berlin – 1. FC Köln

· Away

40%1≈ 1 in 2.50
27%X≈ 1 in 3.72
33%2≈ 1 in 3.02

Explore 1. FC Köln

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator44%chance of finishing in the bottom 3Where does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.69difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time60%won after leading at half-time (6 of 10)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model1upset in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 1.9)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores1–1the team's most common score (15 of 75 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers2Thijs Dallinga, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1421Elo rating: #18 in BundesligaHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 75

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1421now
1496highest19 Aug 2023
1419lowest19 Sep 2026
−11last 10 matches
1. FC Kölnleague average (teams of the same season)
140014201440146014801500152015402023-242025-262026-27outside the leagues we follow
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
24 Oct 2026Schalke (H)0–0142101530
16 Oct 2026Frankfurt (A)0–11421−31530
11 Oct 2026M'gladbach (H)2–11424+51530
19 Sep 2026HSV (A)1–21419−41530
12 Sep 2026Bremen (H)1–1142301530
4 Sep 2026Stuttgart (A)1–41423−41530
29 Aug 2026Hoffenheim (H)3–21427+61530
16 May 2026Bayern (A)1–51421−21516
10 May 2026Heidenheim (H)1–31423−91516
2 May 2026Union Berlin (A)2–21432+11516
25 Apr 2026Leverkusen (H)1–21432−31516
17 Apr 2026St. Pauli (A)1–11435+11516
12 Apr 2026Bremen (H)3–11434+71516
5 Apr 2026Frankfurt (A)2–21427+21516
21 Mar 2026M'gladbach (H)3–3142401516
14 Mar 2026HSV (A)1–11425+21516
7 Mar 2026Dortmund (H)1–21423−31516
27 Feb 2026Augsburg (A)0–21426−61516
21 Feb 2026Hoffenheim (H)2–21432+11516
14 Feb 2026Stuttgart (A)1–31431−41516
8 Feb 2026RB Leipzig (H)1–21434−41516
30 Jan 2026Wolfsburg (H)1–01438+51516
25 Jan 2026Freiburg (A)1–21433−31516
17 Jan 2026Mainz (H)2–11437+51516
14 Jan 2026Bayern (H)1–31432−31516
10 Jan 2026Heidenheim (A)2–2143501516
20 Dec 2025Union Berlin (H)0–11434−61516
13 Dec 2025Leverkusen (A)0–21440−31516
6 Dec 2025St. Pauli (H)1–11443−11516
29 Nov 2025Bremen (A)1–11444+21516
22 Nov 2025Frankfurt (H)3–41442−41516
8 Nov 2025M'gladbach (A)1–31446−61516
2 Nov 2025HSV (H)4–11452+91516
25 Oct 2025Dortmund (A)0–11444−21516
18 Oct 2025Augsburg (H)1–1144601516
3 Oct 2025Hoffenheim (A)1–01447+61516
28 Sep 2025Stuttgart (H)1–21441−41516
20 Sep 2025RB Leipzig (A)1–31445−41516
13 Sep 2025Wolfsburg (A)3–31449+11516
31 Aug 2025Freiburg (H)4–11448+91516
24 Aug 2025Mainz (A)1–01439+71516
18 May 2024Heidenheim (A)1–41432−61500
11 May 2024Union Berlin (H)3–21438+41500
4 May 2024Freiburg (H)0–0143401500
28 Apr 2024Mainz (A)1–11434+11500
20 Apr 2024Darmstadt (H)0–21433−91500
13 Apr 2024Bayern (A)0–21442−41500
6 Apr 2024Bochum (H)2–11446+41500
31 Mar 2024Augsburg (A)1–11442+21500
15 Mar 2024RB Leipzig (H)1–51440−81500
9 Mar 2024M'gladbach (A)3–31448+11500
3 Mar 2024Leverkusen (H)0–21447−51500
24 Feb 2024Stuttgart (A)1–11452+21500
16 Feb 2024Bremen (H)0–11450−51500
11 Feb 2024Hoffenheim (A)1–11455+11500
3 Feb 2024Frankfurt (H)2–01454+81500
27 Jan 2024Wolfsburg (A)1–11446+11500
20 Jan 2024Dortmund (H)0–41445−91500
13 Jan 2024Heidenheim (H)1–1145301500
20 Dec 2023Union Berlin (A)0–21454−71500
17 Dec 2023Freiburg (A)0–21460−61500
10 Dec 2023Mainz (H)0–01466−11500
1 Dec 2023Darmstadt (A)1–01467+61500
24 Nov 2023Bayern (H)0–11461−41500
11 Nov 2023Bochum (A)1–11465+11500
4 Nov 2023Augsburg (H)1–1146401500
28 Oct 2023RB Leipzig (A)0–61465−71500
22 Oct 2023M'gladbach (H)3–11472+71500
8 Oct 2023Leverkusen (A)0–31465−61500
30 Sep 2023Stuttgart (H)0–21471−81500
23 Sep 2023Bremen (A)1–21479−41500
16 Sep 2023Hoffenheim (H)1–31483−81500
3 Sep 2023Frankfurt (A)1–11491+11500
26 Aug 2023Wolfsburg (H)1–21490−61500
19 Aug 2023Dortmund (A)0–11496—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

1. FC Kölnleague, last 12 months · n = 303

league · Wins: 228 of 606 (38%)league · Scores: 477 of 606 (79%)league · 3+ goals: 197 of 303 (65%)league · Both teams score: 188 of 303 (62%)league · Concedes: 477 of 606 (79%)league · Leads at half-time: 192 of 606 (32%)team · Wins: 3 of 20 (15%)team · Scores: 17 of 20 (85%)team · 3+ goals: 14 of 20 (70%)team · Both teams score: 17 of 20 (85%)team · Concedes: 19 of 20 (95%)team · Leads at half-time: 3 of 20 (15%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
1. FC Kölnleague
Winswon the match15%3 of 205–36%38%228 of 60634–42%
Scoresscored at least once85%17 of 2064–95%79%477 of 60675–82%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)70%14 of 2048–85%65%197 of 30359–70%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)85%17 of 2064–95%62%188 of 30356–67%
Concedesconceded at least once95%19 of 2076–99%79%477 of 60675–82%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)15%3 of 205–36%32%192 of 60628–35%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

DLWLD
5points
1.00per match
1-2-2W-D-L
4scored
5conceded

Last 7 matches n = 7

WLDLWLD
8points
1.14per match
2-2-3W-D-L
8scored
11conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 7

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

1unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 1
0scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 5
1clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 1
0both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 5

Goals: home and away n = 7

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches71.14league 1.781.57league 1.7871%5 of 7 · league 57%57%4 of 7 · league 70%14%1 of 7 · league 25%29%2 of 7 · league 25%
Home41.50league 2.201.00league 1.3675%3 of 4 · league 57%50%2 of 4 · league 70%25%1 of 4 · league 34%25%1 of 4 · league 16%
Away30.67league 1.362.33league 2.2067%2 of 3 · league 57%67%2 of 3 · league 70%0%0 of 3 · league 16%33%1 of 3 · league 34%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

Not enough data yet (7 of 8 matches needed).

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 6

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
René Wagner23 Mar 2026now141.00
Lukas Kwasniok1 Jul 202522 Mar 2026270.96
Friedhelm Funkel5 May 202530 Jun 20250—
Gerhard Struber1 Jul 20244 May 20250—
Timo Schultz4 Jan 202430 Jun 2024180.94
Steffen Baumgart1 Jul 202131 Dec 2023160.62
Whole period in our database19 Aug 202324 Oct 2026750.89

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 7

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

24 Oct 2026HomeHFC Schalke 040–0
16 Oct 2026AwayAEintracht Frankfurt0–1
11 Oct 2026HomeHBorussia Mönchengladbach2–1
19 Sep 2026AwayAHamburger SV1–2
12 Sep 2026HomeHSV Werder Bremen1–1
4 Sep 2026AwayAVfB Stuttgart1–4
29 Aug 2026HomeHTSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

AwayA1. FC Union Berlin
HomeHBayer 04 Leverkusen
AwayAFC Bayern München
HomeHSV 07 Elversberg
5 Dec 2026 · kick-off time not set yetAwayAFC Augsburg

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 5

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Thijs Dallinga23——
Said El Mala25——
Ragnar Ache14——
Ísak Jóhannesson16——
Linton Maina16—2

The players in the list have 7 goals between them; the team has scored 8 in the league. A 1-goal difference between the source's scorer list and the results; the source does not say who scored the rest. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 16

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026