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VfB Stuttgart

Bundesliga · season 2026-27 · 7 matches

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15League position15 of 18 in the regular season table (6 points, 7 played).
1586Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 5 of 18 in Bundesliga. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Stuttgart15th of 18Poor form 0 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5LLWLLPoints rate · last 1037%league 46%Goal difference −1 in the last 10 · Elo −17.7 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Nothing above the league rate in the cautious reading.
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen – VfB Stuttgart

· Away

53%1≈ 1 in 1.89
21%X≈ 1 in 4.66
26%2≈ 1 in 3.90

Explore VfB Stuttgart

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator46%chance of a top-6 finishWhere does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.43difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time81%won after leading at half-time (35 of 43)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model0upsets in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 0.5)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores3–1the team's most common score (10 of 109 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers3Ermedin Demirovic, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1586Elo rating: #5 in BundesligaHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 109

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1586now
1606highest22 Mar 2026
1500lowest25 Aug 2023
−11last 10 matches
VfB Stuttgartleague average (teams of the same season)
15001520154015601580160016202023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
23 Oct 2026M'gladbach (H)2–31586−81530
17 Oct 2026HSV (A)0–11594−61530
10 Oct 2026SC Paderborn (A)2–01600+71530
19 Sep 2026Dortmund (H)0–11594−51530
12 Sep 2026Hoffenheim (A)1–21599−61530
4 Sep 20261. FC Köln (H)4–11604+41530
28 Aug 2026Bayern (A)1–51600−41530
16 May 2026Frankfurt (A)2–2160501516
9 May 2026Leverkusen (H)3–11605+81516
2 May 2026Hoffenheim (A)3–3159801516
26 Apr 2026Bremen (H)1–11598−21516
19 Apr 2026Bayern (A)2–41600−41516
12 Apr 2026HSV (H)4–01604+51516
4 Apr 2026Dortmund (H)0–21599−81516
22 Mar 2026Augsburg (A)5–21606+71516
15 Mar 2026RB Leipzig (H)1–01600+41516
7 Mar 2026Mainz (A)2–21596−11516
1 Mar 2026Wolfsburg (H)4–01596+51516
22 Feb 2026Heidenheim (A)3–31592−21516
14 Feb 20261. FC Köln (H)3–11594+41516
7 Feb 2026St. Pauli (A)1–21590−71516
1 Feb 2026Freiburg (H)1–01597+31516
25 Jan 2026M'gladbach (A)3–01594+71516
18 Jan 2026Union Berlin (H)1–11587−21516
13 Jan 2026Frankfurt (H)3–21589+41516
10 Jan 2026Leverkusen (A)4–11585+121516
20 Dec 2025Hoffenheim (H)0–01573−21516
14 Dec 2025Bremen (A)4–01575+91516
6 Dec 2025Bayern (H)0–51566−71516
30 Nov 2025HSV (A)1–21573−61516
22 Nov 2025Dortmund (A)3–31579+11516
9 Nov 2025Augsburg (H)3–21578+31516
1 Nov 2025RB Leipzig (A)1–31575−61516
26 Oct 2025Mainz (H)2–11582+31516
18 Oct 2025Wolfsburg (A)3–01579+71516
5 Oct 2025Heidenheim (H)1–01571+21516
28 Sep 20251. FC Köln (A)2–11569+41516
19 Sep 2025St. Pauli (H)2–01565+51516
13 Sep 2025Freiburg (A)1–31560−81516
30 Aug 2025M'gladbach (H)1–01568+31516
23 Aug 2025Union Berlin (A)1–21565−61516
17 May 2025RB Leipzig (A)3–21571+61510
11 May 2025Augsburg (H)4–01566+61510
3 May 2025St. Pauli (A)1–01560+51510
25 Apr 2025Heidenheim (H)0–11555−71510
19 Apr 2025Union Berlin (A)4–41563−11510
13 Apr 2025Bremen (H)1–21564−71510
5 Apr 2025Bochum (A)4–01570+71510
29 Mar 2025Frankfurt (A)0–11564−51510
16 Mar 2025Leverkusen (H)3–41568−41510
8 Mar 2025Holstein Kiel (A)2–21573−11510
28 Feb 2025Bayern (H)1–31574−71510
23 Feb 2025Hoffenheim (A)1–11581−11510
15 Feb 2025Wolfsburg (H)1–21582−71510
8 Feb 2025Dortmund (A)2–11589+51510
1 Feb 2025M'gladbach (H)1–21583−71510
25 Jan 2025Mainz (A)0–21591−81510
18 Jan 2025Freiburg (H)4–01599+51510
15 Jan 2025RB Leipzig (H)2–11594+41510
12 Jan 2025Augsburg (A)1–01589+41510
21 Dec 2024St. Pauli (H)0–11586−71510
15 Dec 2024Heidenheim (A)3–11593+61510
6 Dec 2024Union Berlin (H)3–21587+31510
30 Nov 2024Bremen (A)2–21584−11510
23 Nov 2024Bochum (H)2–01585+31510
10 Nov 2024Frankfurt (H)2–31582−61510
1 Nov 2024Leverkusen (A)0–01588+21510
26 Oct 2024Holstein Kiel (H)2–11587+31510
19 Oct 2024Bayern (A)0–41584−81510
6 Oct 2024Hoffenheim (H)1–11592−21510
28 Sep 2024Wolfsburg (A)2–21594−11510
22 Sep 2024Dortmund (H)5–11595+81510
14 Sep 2024M'gladbach (A)3–11588+61510
31 Aug 2024Mainz (H)3–31581−21510
24 Aug 2024Freiburg (A)1–31583−91510
18 May 2024M'gladbach (H)4–01592+51500
10 May 2024Augsburg (A)1–01587+41500
4 May 2024Bayern (H)3–11583+71500
27 Apr 2024Leverkusen (A)2–21576+11500
21 Apr 2024Bremen (A)1–21575−61500
13 Apr 2024Frankfurt (H)3–01581+61500
6 Apr 2024Dortmund (A)1–01575+61500
31 Mar 2024Heidenheim (H)3–31569−21500
16 Mar 2024Hoffenheim (A)3–01571+81500
8 Mar 2024Union Berlin (H)2–01563+51500
2 Mar 2024Wolfsburg (A)3–21558+51500
24 Feb 20241. FC Köln (H)1–11553−21500
17 Feb 2024Darmstadt (A)2–11555+41500
11 Feb 2024Mainz (H)3–11551+51500
3 Feb 2024Freiburg (A)3–11547+81500
27 Jan 2024RB Leipzig (H)5–21539+81500
20 Jan 2024Bochum (A)0–11532−51500
14 Jan 2024M'gladbach (A)1–31537−81500
20 Dec 2023Augsburg (H)3–01545+61500
17 Dec 2023Bayern (A)0–31538−71500
10 Dec 2023Leverkusen (H)1–1154501500
2 Dec 2023Bremen (H)2–01546+51500
25 Nov 2023Frankfurt (A)2–11541+61500
11 Nov 2023Dortmund (H)2–11535+41500
5 Nov 2023Heidenheim (A)0–21531−81500
28 Oct 2023Hoffenheim (H)2–31539−61500
21 Oct 2023Union Berlin (A)3–01545+91500
7 Oct 2023Wolfsburg (H)3–11536+61500
30 Sep 20231. FC Köln (A)2–01530+81500
22 Sep 2023Darmstadt (H)3–11523+61500
16 Sep 2023Mainz (A)3–11517+81500
2 Sep 2023Freiburg (H)5–01509+91500
25 Aug 2023RB Leipzig (A)1–51500−81500
19 Aug 2023Bochum (H)5–01509—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

VfB Stuttgartleague, last 12 months · n = 303

league · Wins: 228 of 606 (38%)league · Scores: 477 of 606 (79%)league · 3+ goals: 197 of 303 (65%)league · Both teams score: 188 of 303 (62%)league · Concedes: 477 of 606 (79%)league · Leads at half-time: 192 of 606 (32%)team · Wins: 8 of 20 (40%)team · Scores: 17 of 20 (85%)team · 3+ goals: 14 of 20 (70%)team · Both teams score: 13 of 20 (65%)team · Concedes: 16 of 20 (80%)team · Leads at half-time: 8 of 20 (40%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
VfB Stuttgartleague
Winswon the match40%8 of 2022–61%38%228 of 60634–42%
Scoresscored at least once85%17 of 2064–95%79%477 of 60675–82%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)70%14 of 2048–85%65%197 of 30359–70%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)65%13 of 2043–82%62%188 of 30356–67%
Concedesconceded at least once80%16 of 2058–92%79%477 of 60675–82%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)40%8 of 2022–61%32%192 of 60628–35%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

LLWLL
3points
0.60per match
1-0-4W-D-L
5scored
7conceded

Last 7 matches n = 7

LWLLWLL
6points
0.86per match
2-0-5W-D-L
10scored
13conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 7

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

0unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 1
1scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 3
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 1
1both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 3

Goals: home and away n = 7

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches71.43league 1.781.86league 1.7857%4 of 7 · league 57%57%4 of 7 · league 70%14%1 of 7 · league 25%29%2 of 7 · league 25%
Home32.00league 2.201.67league 1.3667%2 of 3 · league 57%67%2 of 3 · league 70%0%0 of 3 · league 34%33%1 of 3 · league 16%
Away41.00league 1.362.00league 2.2050%2 of 4 · league 57%50%2 of 4 · league 70%25%1 of 4 · league 16%25%1 of 4 · league 34%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

Not enough data yet (7 of 8 matches needed).

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 1

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Sebastian Hoeneß3 Apr 2023now1091.75
Whole period in our database19 Aug 202323 Oct 20261091.75

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 7

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

23 Oct 2026HomeHBorussia Mönchengladbach2–3
17 Oct 2026AwayAHamburger SV0–1
10 Oct 2026AwayASC Paderborn 072–0
19 Sep 2026HomeHBorussia Dortmund0–1
12 Sep 2026AwayATSG 1899 Hoffenheim1–2
4 Sep 2026HomeH1. FC Köln4–1
28 Aug 2026AwayAFC Bayern München1–5

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

AwayABayer 04 Leverkusen
HomeHSV Werder Bremen
AwayAFC Schalke 04
HomeHEintracht Frankfurt
5 Dec 2026 · kick-off time not set yetAwayASV 07 Elversberg

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 7

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Ermedin Demirovic37——
Josha Vagnoman26—1
Chris Führich16——
Maximilian Mittelstädt16—1
Bilal El Khannouss17——
Grischa Prömel17——
Julian Chabot17——

The players in the list have 10 goals between them; the team has scored 10 in the league. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 18

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026