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RB Leipzig

Bundesliga · season 2026-27 · 7 matches

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5League position5 of 18 in the regular season table (12 points, 7 played).
1595Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 4 of 18 in Bundesliga. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

RB Leipzig5th of 18Good form 3 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5WLWLWPoints rate · last 1050%league 46%Goal difference +4 in the last 10 · Elo +9.0 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Wins12 of 20league 38%
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

FC Schalke 04 – RB Leipzig

· Away

The model's estimate appears at most 14 days before kick-off.

Explore RB Leipzig

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator58%chance of a top-4 finishWhere does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.37difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time74%won after leading at half-time (34 of 46)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model0upsets in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 0.4)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores0–0the team's most common score (10 of 109 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers4Christopher Nkunku, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1595Elo rating: #4 in BundesligaHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 109

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1595now
1605highest24 Apr 2026
1496lowest19 Aug 2023
−10last 10 matches
RB Leipzigleague average (teams of the same season)
148015001520154015601580160016202023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
24 Oct 2026Elversberg (H)4–01595+61530
17 Oct 2026Bayern (A)1–61589−41530
10 Oct 2026Frankfurt (H)6–01593+71530
20 Sep 2026Leverkusen (A)0–21586−51530
13 Sep 2026HSV (H)5–01591+51530
5 Sep 2026Bremen (A)1–31586−101530
29 Aug 2026M'gladbach (H)3–01595+51530
16 May 2026Freiburg (A)1–41591−101516
9 May 2026St. Pauli (H)2–11601+21516
2 May 2026Leverkusen (A)1–41599−61516
24 Apr 2026Union Berlin (H)3–11605+31516
18 Apr 2026Frankfurt (A)3–11602+81516
11 Apr 2026M'gladbach (H)1–01595+31516
4 Apr 2026Bremen (A)2–11592+41516
20 Mar 2026Hoffenheim (H)5–01588+71516
15 Mar 2026Stuttgart (A)0–11581−41516
7 Mar 2026Augsburg (H)2–11585+31516
1 Mar 2026HSV (A)2–11582+41516
21 Feb 2026Dortmund (H)2–2157701516
15 Feb 2026Wolfsburg (H)2–21577−21516
8 Feb 20261. FC Köln (A)2–11580+41516
31 Jan 2026Mainz (H)1–21576−71516
27 Jan 2026St. Pauli (A)1–11583−21516
24 Jan 2026Heidenheim (A)3–01584+61516
17 Jan 2026Bayern (H)1–51579−71516
14 Jan 2026Freiburg (H)2–01585+51516
20 Dec 2025Leverkusen (H)1–31580−71516
12 Dec 2025Union Berlin (A)1–31588−101516
6 Dec 2025Frankfurt (H)6–01597+81516
28 Nov 2025M'gladbach (A)0–01589−11516
23 Nov 2025Bremen (H)2–01590+51516
8 Nov 2025Hoffenheim (A)1–31585−91516
1 Nov 2025Stuttgart (H)3–11594+61516
25 Oct 2025Augsburg (A)6–01588+91516
18 Oct 2025HSV (H)2–11579+31516
4 Oct 2025Dortmund (A)1–11576+11516
27 Sep 2025Wolfsburg (A)1–01575+41516
20 Sep 20251. FC Köln (H)3–11570+41516
13 Sep 2025Mainz (A)1–01566+51516
30 Aug 2025Heidenheim (H)2–01561+41516
22 Aug 2025Bayern (A)0–61557−61516
17 May 2025Stuttgart (H)2–31563−61510
10 May 2025Bremen (A)0–0156901510
3 May 2025Bayern (H)3–31569+11510
26 Apr 2025Frankfurt (A)0–41568−91510
19 Apr 2025Holstein Kiel (H)1–11577−31510
11 Apr 2025Wolfsburg (A)3–21580+41510
5 Apr 2025Hoffenheim (H)3–11575+41510
29 Mar 2025M'gladbach (A)0–11571−61510
15 Mar 2025Dortmund (H)2–01577+61510
8 Mar 2025Freiburg (A)0–0157101510
1 Mar 2025Mainz (H)1–21571−61510
23 Feb 2025Heidenheim (H)2–21578−31510
14 Feb 2025Augsburg (A)0–01580−11510
9 Feb 2025St. Pauli (H)2–01581+51510
1 Feb 2025Union Berlin (A)0–01576−11510
25 Jan 2025Leverkusen (H)2–21578+11510
18 Jan 2025Bochum (A)3–31577−21510
15 Jan 2025Stuttgart (A)1–21579−41510
12 Jan 2025Bremen (H)4–21583+51510
20 Dec 2024Bayern (A)1–51578−71510
15 Dec 2024Frankfurt (H)2–11585+41510
7 Dec 2024Holstein Kiel (A)2–01581+61510
30 Nov 2024Wolfsburg (H)1–51575−141510
23 Nov 2024Hoffenheim (A)3–41589−61510
9 Nov 2024M'gladbach (H)0–01595−21510
2 Nov 2024Dortmund (A)1–21597−51510
26 Oct 2024Freiburg (H)3–11602+41510
19 Oct 2024Mainz (A)2–01598+61510
6 Oct 2024Heidenheim (A)1–01591+41510
28 Sep 2024Augsburg (H)4–01587+51510
22 Sep 2024St. Pauli (A)0–01582−11510
14 Sep 2024Union Berlin (H)0–01583−21510
31 Aug 2024Leverkusen (A)3–21585+71510
24 Aug 2024Bochum (H)1–01578+31510
18 May 2024Frankfurt (A)2–2157601500
11 May 2024Bremen (H)1–11576−21500
3 May 2024Hoffenheim (A)1–11578−11500
27 Apr 2024Dortmund (H)4–11579+71500
20 Apr 2024Heidenheim (A)2–11571+51500
13 Apr 2024Wolfsburg (H)3–01567+51500
6 Apr 2024Freiburg (A)4–11561+81500
30 Mar 2024Mainz (H)0–01553−21500
15 Mar 20241. FC Köln (A)5–11555+81500
9 Mar 2024Darmstadt (H)2–01547+41500
2 Mar 2024Bochum (A)4–11543+91500
24 Feb 2024Bayern (A)1–21535−41500
17 Feb 2024M'gladbach (H)2–01538+51500
10 Feb 2024Augsburg (A)2–2153301500
4 Feb 2024Union Berlin (H)2–01533+51500
27 Jan 2024Stuttgart (A)2–51528−81500
20 Jan 2024Leverkusen (H)2–31536−51500
13 Jan 2024Frankfurt (H)0–11541−61500
19 Dec 2023Bremen (A)1–1154701500
16 Dec 2023Hoffenheim (H)3–11547+61500
9 Dec 2023Dortmund (A)3–21541+61500
2 Dec 2023Heidenheim (H)2–11536+31500
25 Nov 2023Wolfsburg (A)1–21532−51500
12 Nov 2023Freiburg (H)3–11537+61500
4 Nov 2023Mainz (A)0–21531−81500
28 Oct 20231. FC Köln (H)6–01540+71500
21 Oct 2023Darmstadt (A)3–11532+81500
7 Oct 2023Bochum (H)0–01524−11500
30 Sep 2023Bayern (H)2–21526−11500
23 Sep 2023M'gladbach (A)1–01527+51500
16 Sep 2023Augsburg (H)3–01521+71500
3 Sep 2023Union Berlin (A)3–01514+101500
25 Aug 2023Stuttgart (H)5–11504+81500
19 Aug 2023Leverkusen (A)2–31496—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

RB Leipzigleague, last 12 months · n = 303

league · Wins: 228 of 606 (38%)league · Scores: 477 of 606 (79%)league · 3+ goals: 197 of 303 (65%)league · Both teams score: 188 of 303 (62%)league · Concedes: 477 of 606 (79%)league · Leads at half-time: 192 of 606 (32%)team · Wins: 12 of 20 (60%)team · Scores: 18 of 20 (90%)team · 3+ goals: 17 of 20 (85%)team · Both teams score: 12 of 20 (60%)team · Concedes: 14 of 20 (70%)team · Leads at half-time: 8 of 20 (40%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
RB Leipzigleague
Winswon the match60%12 of 2039–78%38%228 of 60634–42%
Scoresscored at least once90%18 of 2070–97%79%477 of 60675–82%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)85%17 of 2064–95%65%197 of 30359–70%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)60%12 of 2039–78%62%188 of 30356–67%
Concedesconceded at least once70%14 of 2048–85%79%477 of 60675–82%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)40%8 of 2022–61%32%192 of 60628–35%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

WLWLW
9points
1.80per match
3-0-2W-D-L
16scored
8conceded

Last 7 matches n = 7

WLWLWLW
12points
1.71per match
4-0-3W-D-L
20scored
11conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 7

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

1unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 1
3scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 3
1clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 1
0both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 1

Goals: home and away n = 7

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches72.86league 1.781.57league 1.7829%2 of 7 · league 57%86%6 of 7 · league 70%57%4 of 7 · league 25%14%1 of 7 · league 25%
Home44.50league 2.200.00league 1.360%0 of 4 · league 57%100%4 of 4 · league 70%100%4 of 4 · league 34%0%0 of 4 · league 16%
Away30.67league 1.363.67league 2.2067%2 of 3 · league 57%67%2 of 3 · league 70%0%0 of 3 · league 16%33%1 of 3 · league 34%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

Not enough data yet (7 of 8 matches needed).

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 4

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Martín Demichelis22 Jun 2026now71.71
Ole Werner24 Jun 202517 Jun 2026341.91
Zsolt Lőw30 Mar 2025Jun 202571.29
Marco Rose8 Sep 202230 Mar 2025611.75
Whole period in our database19 Aug 202324 Oct 20261091.77

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 7

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

24 Oct 2026HomeHSV 07 Elversberg4–0
17 Oct 2026AwayAFC Bayern München1–6
10 Oct 2026HomeHEintracht Frankfurt6–0
20 Sep 2026AwayABayer 04 Leverkusen0–2
13 Sep 2026HomeHHamburger SV5–0
5 Sep 2026AwayASV Werder Bremen1–3
29 Aug 2026HomeHBorussia Mönchengladbach3–0

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

AwayAFC Schalke 04
HomeHFC Augsburg
AwayA1. FC Union Berlin
AwayASC Freiburg
5 Dec 2026 · kick-off time not set yetHomeH1. FSV Mainz 05

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 9

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Christopher Nkunku46—1
Antonio Nusa36—3
Ridle Baku26——
Tidiam Gomis26—2
Rocco Reitz13——
Romulo Cruz14——
Andrija Maksimović16—1
Ezechiel Banzuzi16—2
Willi Orban16——

The players in the list have 16 goals between them; the team has scored 20 in the league. A 4-goal difference between the source's scorer list and the results; the source does not say who scored the rest. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 18

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026