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Hamburger SV

Bundesliga · season 2026-27 · 7 matches

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10League position10 of 18 in the regular season table (9 points, 7 played).
1472Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 15 of 18 in Bundesliga. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

HSV10th of 18Above average 2 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5LWWWLPoints rate · last 1053%league 46%Goal difference −8 in the last 10 · Elo +6.8 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Nothing above the league rate in the cautious reading.
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

Eintracht Frankfurt – Hamburger SV

· Away

59%1≈ 1 in 1.71
22%X≈ 1 in 4.58
20%2≈ 1 in 5.10

Explore Hamburger SV

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

Elo rating over time n = 41

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1472now
1500highest24 Aug 2025
1460lowest13 Sep 2026
+7last 10 matches
Hamburger SVleague average (teams of the same season)
1440146014801500152015402025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
24 Oct 2026SC Paderborn (A)0–11472−41530
17 Oct 2026Stuttgart (H)1–01476+61530
10 Oct 2026Hoffenheim (A)3–21470+61530
19 Sep 20261. FC Köln (H)2–11464+41530
13 Sep 2026RB Leipzig (A)0–51460−51530
6 Sep 2026Mainz (H)0–51465−111530
29 Aug 2026Dortmund (A)0–21476−31530
16 May 2026Leverkusen (A)1–11479+31516
10 May 2026Freiburg (H)3–21476+51516
2 May 2026Frankfurt (A)2–11472+71516
25 Apr 2026Hoffenheim (H)1–21465−51516
18 Apr 2026Bremen (A)1–31470−71516
12 Apr 2026Stuttgart (A)0–41477−51516
4 Apr 2026Augsburg (H)1–11482−11516
21 Mar 2026Dortmund (A)2–31483−21516
14 Mar 20261. FC Köln (H)1–11485−21516
7 Mar 2026Wolfsburg (A)2–11487+51516
4 Mar 2026Leverkusen (H)0–11482−31516
1 Mar 2026RB Leipzig (H)1–21485−41516
20 Feb 2026Mainz (A)1–11490+11516
14 Feb 2026Union Berlin (H)3–21489+41516
7 Feb 2026Heidenheim (A)2–01485+71516
31 Jan 2026Bayern (H)2–21478+31516
23 Jan 2026St. Pauli (A)0–0147601516
17 Jan 2026M'gladbach (H)0–01476−11516
10 Jan 2026Freiburg (A)1–21477−41516
20 Dec 2025Frankfurt (H)1–1148101516
13 Dec 2025Hoffenheim (A)1–41480−71516
7 Dec 2025Bremen (H)3–21488+51516
30 Nov 2025Stuttgart (H)2–11483+61516
22 Nov 2025Augsburg (A)0–11477−51516
8 Nov 2025Dortmund (H)1–11482+11516
2 Nov 20251. FC Köln (A)1–41481−91516
25 Oct 2025Wolfsburg (H)0–11490−61516
18 Oct 2025RB Leipzig (A)1–21496−31516
5 Oct 2025Mainz (H)4–01499+91516
28 Sep 2025Union Berlin (A)0–0149001516
20 Sep 2025Heidenheim (H)2–11490+31516
13 Sep 2025Bayern (A)0–51487−41516
29 Aug 2025St. Pauli (H)0–21491−91516
24 Aug 2025M'gladbach (A)0–01500—1516

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

Hamburger SVleague, last 12 months · n = 303

league · Wins: 228 of 606 (38%)league · Scores: 477 of 606 (79%)league · 3+ goals: 197 of 303 (65%)league · Both teams score: 188 of 303 (62%)league · Concedes: 477 of 606 (79%)league · Leads at half-time: 192 of 606 (32%)team · Wins: 6 of 20 (30%)team · Scores: 14 of 20 (70%)team · 3+ goals: 12 of 20 (60%)team · Both teams score: 13 of 20 (65%)team · Concedes: 19 of 20 (95%)team · Leads at half-time: 2 of 20 (10%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
Hamburger SVleague
Winswon the match30%6 of 2015–52%38%228 of 60634–42%
Scoresscored at least once70%14 of 2048–85%79%477 of 60675–82%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)60%12 of 2039–78%65%197 of 30359–70%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)65%13 of 2043–82%62%188 of 30356–67%
Concedesconceded at least once95%19 of 2076–99%79%477 of 60675–82%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)10%2 of 203–30%32%192 of 60628–35%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

LWWWL
9points
1.80per match
3-0-2W-D-L
6scored
9conceded

Last 7 matches n = 7

LLLWWWL
9points
1.29per match
3-0-4W-D-L
6scored
16conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (4 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 7

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

0unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 3
0scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 3
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 1
0both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 2

Goals: home and away n = 7

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches70.86league 1.782.29league 1.7829%2 of 7 · league 57%57%4 of 7 · league 70%14%1 of 7 · league 25%57%4 of 7 · league 25%
Home31.00league 2.202.00league 1.3633%1 of 3 · league 57%67%2 of 3 · league 70%33%1 of 3 · league 34%33%1 of 3 · league 16%
Away40.75league 1.362.50league 2.2025%1 of 4 · league 57%50%2 of 4 · league 70%0%0 of 4 · league 16%75%3 of 4 · league 34%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

Not enough data yet (7 of 8 matches needed).

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches n = 1

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

CoachFromToMatchesPts per match
Merlin Polzin25 Nov 2024now411.15
Whole period in our database24 Aug 202524 Oct 2026411.15

What coach changes show across all cases →

Last matches n = 7

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

24 Oct 2026AwayASC Paderborn 070–1
17 Oct 2026HomeHVfB Stuttgart1–0
10 Oct 2026AwayATSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2
19 Sep 2026HomeH1. FC Köln2–1
13 Sep 2026AwayARB Leipzig0–5
6 Sep 2026HomeH1. FSV Mainz 050–5
29 Aug 2026AwayABorussia Dortmund0–2

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

AwayAEintracht Frankfurt
HomeHBorussia Mönchengladbach
AwayASV Werder Bremen
HomeHFC Bayern München
5 Dec 2026 · kick-off time not set yetAwayA1. FC Union Berlin

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 4

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Miro Muheim22—1
Yussuf Poulsen26——
Nicolás Capaldo16——
Terem Moffi16——

The players in the list have 6 goals between them; the team has scored 6 in the league. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 6

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026