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Round story · 16–19 Oct

Round 16–19 Oct, across all tracked leagues — facts only, each with its source.

The round's facts n = 48

What happened in the round, in numbers: every sentence comes from official results or from model estimates frozen before kick-off, and links to the page the figure comes from. It shows what happened and in what order, not why. A fact without data (for example no frozen estimates) is left out, not guessed.

  1. 3.17

    48 matches, 152 goals: 3.17 per match. Before the round, the same leagues' season averaged 3.09 per match (297 matches).

    competitions →
  2. 6–1

    Bayern 6–1 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga): the biggest winning margin of the round.

    the match →
  3. 10%

    Venezia FC 1–0 Napoli (Serie A): the frozen estimate ❄ gave this result 10% (≈ 1 in 9.60) — the least expected result of the round.

    the match →
  4. 24/40

    The frozen estimate's ❄ favourite came through in 24 of 40 matches (60%, 95% interval: 45%–74%); by its own chances, the model expected about 20.9.

    estimates ledger →
  5. -11.4

    Udinese Calcio (Serie A, matchday 7): 1469 → 1457 Elo points, the biggest move of the round.

    matchday 7 →
  6. -11 pp

    Manchester City FC (Premier League, matchday 7): title chance in the simulator 62% → 51%, the biggest change of the round.

    matchday 7 →
  7. 22

    Chelsea FC (Premier League): the “conceding” streak of 22 matches ended in this round.

    the team →
  8. 27

    Paris Saint-Germain FC (Ligue 1): the “scoring” streak reached 27 matches in a row.

    the team →

Earlier rounds n = 13

The stories of the earlier rounds this season, most recent first. A round = the matches from Friday to Monday or from Tuesday to Thursday, in all the leagues we follow.

Updated: 25 Oct 08:20 UTC