RadarRound story · 20–22 Oct
Round 20–22 Oct, across all tracked leagues — facts only, each with its source.
The round's facts n = 1
What happened in the round, in numbers: every sentence comes from official results or from model estimates frozen before kick-off, and links to the page the figure comes from. It shows what happened and in what order, not why. A fact without data (for example no frozen estimates) is left out, not guessed.
- 4.00
1 match, 4 goals: 4.00 per match. Before the round, the same leagues' season averaged 3.10 per match (345 matches).
competitions → - 3–1
Levante 3–1 Athletic (La Liga): the biggest winning margin of the round.
the match → - 41%
Levante 3–1 Athletic (La Liga): the frozen estimate ❄ gave this result 41% (≈ 1 in 2.45) — the least expected result of the round.
the match → - 1/1
The frozen estimate's ❄ favourite came through in 1 of 1 match (100%, 95% interval: 21%–100%); by its own chances, the model expected about 0.4.
estimates ledger → - +21.9
FC Barcelona (La Liga, matchday 6): 1748 → 1770 Elo points, the biggest move of the round.
matchday 6 → - 5
Athletic Club (La Liga): the “unbeaten” streak of 5 matches ended in this round.
the team → - 5
Levante UD (La Liga): the “scoring” streak reached 5 matches in a row.
the team →
The title chance change is missing: the simulator has no run before and after this round.
Earlier rounds n = 13
The stories of the earlier rounds this season, most recent first. A round = the matches from Friday to Monday or from Tuesday to Thursday, in all the leagues we follow.
Updated: 25 Oct 07:20 UTC