RadarRound story · 9–12 Oct
Round 9–12 Oct, across all tracked leagues — facts only, each with its source.
The round's facts n = 47
What happened in the round, in numbers: every sentence comes from official results or from model estimates frozen before kick-off, and links to the page the figure comes from. It shows what happened and in what order, not why. A fact without data (for example no frozen estimates) is left out, not guessed.
- 3.36
47 matches, 158 goals: 3.36 per match. Before the round, the same leagues' season averaged 3.04 per match (250 matches). 1 match scheduled in the round was not played (postponed or cancelled).
competitions → - 6–0
RB Leipzig 6–0 Frankfurt (Bundesliga): the biggest winning margin of the round.
the match → - 14%
Augsburg 2–2 Bayern (Bundesliga): the frozen estimate ❄ gave this result 14% (≈ 1 in 7.36) — the least expected result of the round.
the match → - 21/36
The frozen estimate's ❄ favourite came through in 21 of 36 matches (58%, 95% interval: 42%–73%); by its own chances, the model expected about 19.0.
estimates ledger → - -8.9
Newcastle United FC (Premier League, matchday 6): 1540 → 1531 Elo points, the biggest move of the round.
matchday 6 → - +8 pp
Manchester City FC (Premier League, matchday 6): title chance in the simulator 54% → 61%, the biggest change of the round.
matchday 6 → - 20
AS Roma (Serie A): the “scoring” streak of 20 matches ended in this round.
the team → - 26
Paris Saint-Germain FC (Ligue 1): the “scoring” streak reached 26 matches in a row.
the team →
Earlier rounds n = 13
The stories of the earlier rounds this season, most recent first. A round = the matches from Friday to Monday or from Tuesday to Thursday, in all the leagues we follow.
Updated: 25 Oct 08:20 UTC