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Serie A · Matchday 3

2026-27 · 4 Sep 2026 – 7 Sep 2026 ← matchday 2 matchday 4 →

Round on radar: all leagues, before and after

Results 10 played

Every match of the round with the final score. Matches not yet played are shown as postponed.

Genoa CFC1–4Como 1907
ACF Fiorentina1–2Torino FC
FC Internazionale Milano3–2SSC Napoli
AS Roma2–1Atalanta BC
Parma Calcio 19131–1AC Monza
Frosinone Calcio3–2Venezia FC
Bologna FC 19092–2US Sassuolo Calcio
Juventus FC1–1AC Milan
Cagliari Calcio1–0US Lecce
Udinese Calcio1–2SS Lazio

kick-off (UTC).

The round in numbers

The round's figures against the season average before it: goals per match, how often both teams scored, how often there were at least 3 goals, and how results split between home wins, draws and away wins.

33goals3.30 per match · season before this round: 2.45
90.0%both teams scoredseason before this round: 35.0%
70.0%3+ goalsseason before this round: 45.0%
4 / 3 / 3home / draw / away

Table moves

How the table changed: each team's position before and after the round. At the top, the biggest climbs and drops.

Teambefore → afterpts
SS Lazio6 → 3+39
Cagliari Calcio12 → 9+36
Como 19078 → 6+27
Atalanta BC5 → 8-36
Udinese Calcio7 → 10-34
Genoa CFC16 → 19-30

Elo moves

The Elo rating before and after the round. It rises when a team gets more from a match than expected and falls when it gets less; beating a strong opponent moves it more than beating a weak one.

Teambefore → afterΔ
Como 19071598 → 1605+6.6
Torino FC1466 → 1473+6.3
SS Lazio1558 → 1562+4.7
Genoa CFC1461 → 1455-6.6
ACF Fiorentina1512 → 1506-6.3
Udinese Calcio1486 → 1481-4.7

Streaks ended and new records

Streaks of at least 5 matches that ended in this round, and streaks that became a new own record (the longest in our database for that team).

Team
AS Romawins in a row8new own record old record: 7
Torino FCconceding8new own record old record: 7
Torino FCboth teams score6new own record old record: 5
Torino FC3+ goals6new own record old record: 5

What the model said

Only estimates frozen within the last hour before each match; nothing recomputed afterwards. “Hit” = the most probable result was the real one. The round's Brier score: 0 = perfect, 0.6667 = random guessing. “Surprise” = how unlikely the real result was for the model (higher = more surprising).

No estimate was frozen before the matches of this round. The model was published on 24 Sep 2026; estimates are frozen within the last hour before each match, starting with the first round after publication.

How the chances moved

The difference between the simulator's chances before the round and after it: who gained and who lost the most for 1st place, the top 4 and the bottom 3.

No simulator run before this round; the comparison appears from the first round with a run before and one after.

Updated 25 Oct 2026 06:08