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SC Freiburg

Bundesliga · season 2026-27 · 6 matches

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3League position3 of 18 in the regular season table (13 points, 6 played).
1525Elo ratingGoes up when the team gets more from its matches than expected, down when it gets less. Rank 6 of 18 in Bundesliga. Own rating (H = 50, K = 10), parameters calibrated on 624 Liga 1 match (Brier 0.1582 vs 0.1679) and used in every league.

How it is doing now

In short, from results: the last 5 matches (W = win, D = draw, L = loss, most recent on the right), the points rate (how many of the possible points it took, next to the league average), the state (how many of 3 measures are above the league average) and what happens to it most consistently.

Freiburg3rd of 18Good form 3 of 3 measures above the benchmarkLast 5WWDWLPoints rate · last 1057%league 46%Goal difference +7 in the last 10 · Elo +14.6 in the last 5Most consistent · last 20Nothing above the league rate in the cautious reading.
How the box is calculated
  • Points rate = the points taken in the last 10 matches, divided by the possible ones (3 per match). League average = the same calculation over all the league's matches in the 365 days before.
  • The state counts 3 measures: (1) the points rate over the last 10 matches is above the league average; (2) the goal difference over the last 10 matches is positive; (3) the Elo rating rose over the last 5 matches (Elo accounts for the opponents' strength). Equal to the benchmark does not count.
  • 3 of 3 = good form · 2 = above average · 1 = below average · 0 = poor form. The state appears from 6 consecutive matches in our data.
  • Most consistent = at most 3 things from the last 20 matches that happened more often than in the league even in the cautious reading (the lower bound of the 95% interval is above the league rate). If there is none, the box says so.
  • “Consecutive” = no break longer than 180 days: for a team back in the league, the count starts from its return.
  • The state describes results so far, not what comes next and not the team's morale.

Next match

The team's next scheduled match, with the model's estimate for 1 (home win), X (draw) and 2 (away win). An estimate, not advice; it is frozen before kick-off and its record is public.

SC Freiburg – FC Bayern München

· Home

12%1≈ 1 in 8.14
15%X≈ 1 in 6.45
72%2≈ 1 in 1.38

Explore SC Freiburg

The analysis pages this team appears on. Each card shows the team's figure taken from the very page it opens; open it to see it next to the other teams and the league benchmark.

01 / 07Season simulator54%chance of a top-6 finishWhere does its season end? →02 / 07Fixture difficulty0.53difficulty of the next 5 matches (from 0, easy, to 1, hard)How hard is what comes next? →03 / 07Half-time → full-time78%won after leading at half-time (25 of 32)Does it hold on to a half-time lead? →04 / 07Upsets against the model0upsets in the team's favour in 2025-26 ↺ (expected 1.5)How often did it surprise the model? →05 / 07Exact scores2–1the team's most common score (13 of 108 matches)What score do its matches end with most? →06 / 07Top scorers4Yuito Suzuki, the team's top league scorerWho scores its goals? →07 / 07Elo ratings1525Elo rating: #6 in BundesligaHow strong is it, really? →

Elo rating over time n = 108

The team's Elo rating after every match in our database (green line) next to the average rating of the teams playing the same season of its league (grey line). The rating goes up after a result better than expected and down after a worse one; the line breaks where the team played outside the leagues we follow. Hover or tap the chart for a single match; every value is also in the table below.

1525now
1528highest11 Oct 2026
1473lowest18 May 2024
+20last 10 matches
SC Freiburgleague average (teams of the same season)
147014801490150015101520153015402023-242024-252025-262026-27
All ratings (table)
dateopponentscoreratingchangeleague avg.
18 Oct 2026Leverkusen (A)1–21525−31530
11 Oct 2026Schalke (H)2–11528+41530
19 Sep 2026Frankfurt (A)2–21524+11530
12 Sep 2026M'gladbach (H)5–01523+71530
5 Sep 2026SC Paderborn (A)1–01516+61530
30 Aug 2026Bremen (H)4–11511+61530
16 May 2026RB Leipzig (H)4–11504+101516
10 May 2026HSV (A)2–31494−51516
3 May 2026Wolfsburg (H)1–11499−21516
26 Apr 2026Dortmund (A)0–41501−51516
19 Apr 2026Heidenheim (H)2–11505+31516
12 Apr 2026Mainz (A)1–01503+61516
4 Apr 2026Bayern (H)2–31497−21516
22 Mar 2026St. Pauli (A)2–11499+51516
15 Mar 2026Union Berlin (H)0–11494−71516
7 Mar 2026Leverkusen (H)3–31501+11516
1 Mar 2026Frankfurt (A)0–21499−61516
22 Feb 2026M'gladbach (H)2–11505+41516
14 Feb 2026Hoffenheim (A)0–31501−71516
7 Feb 2026Bremen (H)1–01508+41516
1 Feb 2026Stuttgart (A)0–11504−31516
25 Jan 20261. FC Köln (H)2–11508+31516
18 Jan 2026Augsburg (A)2–2150401516
14 Jan 2026RB Leipzig (A)0–21504−51516
10 Jan 2026HSV (H)2–11509+41516
20 Dec 2025Wolfsburg (A)4–31505+51516
14 Dec 2025Dortmund (H)1–11500+11516
6 Dec 2025Heidenheim (A)1–21499−61516
30 Nov 2025Mainz (H)4–01505+81516
22 Nov 2025Bayern (A)2–61497−31516
9 Nov 2025St. Pauli (H)2–11500+31516
1 Nov 2025Union Berlin (A)0–0149701516
26 Oct 2025Leverkusen (A)0–21497−31516
19 Oct 2025Frankfurt (H)2–2150001516
5 Oct 2025M'gladbach (A)0–0150001516
28 Sep 2025Hoffenheim (H)1–11500−11516
20 Sep 2025Bremen (A)3–01501+111516
13 Sep 2025Stuttgart (H)3–11491+81516
31 Aug 20251. FC Köln (A)1–41482−91516
23 Aug 2025Augsburg (H)1–31491−91516
17 May 2025Frankfurt (H)1–31500−81510
10 May 2025Holstein Kiel (A)2–11508+51510
4 May 2025Leverkusen (H)2–21503+21510
26 Apr 2025Wolfsburg (A)1–01502+61510
19 Apr 2025Hoffenheim (H)3–21496+41510
12 Apr 2025M'gladbach (A)2–11492+61510
5 Apr 2025Dortmund (H)1–41486−91510
30 Mar 2025Union Berlin (H)1–21495−71510
15 Mar 2025Mainz (A)2–21502+11510
8 Mar 2025RB Leipzig (H)0–0150001510
2 Mar 2025Augsburg (A)0–0150001510
21 Feb 2025Bremen (H)5–01500+81510
15 Feb 2025St. Pauli (A)1–01491+61510
8 Feb 2025Heidenheim (H)1–01486+41510
1 Feb 2025Bochum (A)1–01482+51510
25 Jan 2025Bayern (H)1–21477−31510
18 Jan 2025Stuttgart (A)0–41481−51510
14 Jan 2025Frankfurt (A)1–41486−61510
11 Jan 2025Holstein Kiel (H)3–21493+41510
21 Dec 2024Leverkusen (A)1–51489−41510
13 Dec 2024Wolfsburg (H)3–21493+41510
8 Dec 2024Hoffenheim (A)1–11489+11510
30 Nov 2024M'gladbach (H)3–11488+61510
23 Nov 2024Dortmund (A)0–41482−61510
8 Nov 2024Union Berlin (A)0–0148801510
3 Nov 2024Mainz (H)0–01488−11510
26 Oct 2024RB Leipzig (A)1–31489−41510
19 Oct 2024Augsburg (H)3–11493+61510
5 Oct 2024Bremen (A)1–01487+61510
28 Sep 2024St. Pauli (H)0–31481−101510
21 Sep 2024Heidenheim (A)3–01491+111510
14 Sep 2024Bochum (H)2–11481+41510
1 Sep 2024Bayern (A)0–21477−41510
24 Aug 2024Stuttgart (H)3–11482+91510
18 May 2024Union Berlin (A)1–21473−51500
11 May 2024Heidenheim (H)1–11477−11500
4 May 20241. FC Köln (A)0–0147801500
27 Apr 2024Wolfsburg (H)1–21478−61500
21 Apr 2024Mainz (H)1–11484−11500
14 Apr 2024Darmstadt (A)1–01485+51500
6 Apr 2024RB Leipzig (H)1–41480−81500
30 Mar 2024M'gladbach (A)3–01489+101500
17 Mar 2024Leverkusen (H)2–31479−41500
10 Mar 2024Bochum (A)2–11482+61500
1 Mar 2024Bayern (H)2–21477+11500
25 Feb 2024Augsburg (A)1–21476−41500
18 Feb 2024Frankfurt (H)3–3148101500
9 Feb 2024Dortmund (A)0–31481−61500
3 Feb 2024Stuttgart (H)1–31487−81500
27 Jan 2024Bremen (A)1–31494−71500
20 Jan 2024Hoffenheim (H)3–21501+41500
13 Jan 2024Union Berlin (H)0–01497−11500
20 Dec 2023Heidenheim (A)2–31498−51500
17 Dec 20231. FC Köln (H)2–01503+61500
9 Dec 2023Wolfsburg (A)1–01497+61500
3 Dec 2023Mainz (A)1–01491+51500
25 Nov 2023Darmstadt (H)1–11486−11500
12 Nov 2023RB Leipzig (A)1–31487−61500
4 Nov 2023M'gladbach (H)3–31493−11500
29 Oct 2023Leverkusen (A)1–21493−41500
21 Oct 2023Bochum (H)2–11497+41500
8 Oct 2023Bayern (A)0–31493−71500
1 Oct 2023Augsburg (H)2–01500+61500
24 Sep 2023Frankfurt (A)0–01493+11500
16 Sep 2023Dortmund (H)2–41492−91500
2 Sep 2023Stuttgart (A)0–51501−91500
26 Aug 2023Bremen (H)1–01510+41500
19 Aug 2023Hoffenheim (A)2–11506—1500

Team fingerprint

Six things that happened in the team's last 20 league matches in our database, next to how often they happened across the whole league over one year (the period is in the legend). The shape shows what happens to this team more or less often than across the league. It is not a rating and does not say what comes next.

SC Freiburgleague, last 12 months · n = 303

league · Wins: 228 of 606 (38%)league · Scores: 477 of 606 (79%)league · 3+ goals: 197 of 303 (65%)league · Both teams score: 188 of 303 (62%)league · Concedes: 477 of 606 (79%)league · Leads at half-time: 192 of 606 (32%)team · Wins: 10 of 20 (50%)team · Scores: 16 of 20 (80%)team · 3+ goals: 14 of 20 (70%)team · Both teams score: 12 of 20 (60%)team · Concedes: 16 of 20 (80%)team · Leads at half-time: 7 of 20 (35%)WinsScores3+ goalsBoth teamsscoreConcedesLeads athalf-time
SC Freiburgleague
Winswon the match50%10 of 2030–70%38%228 of 60634–42%
Scoresscored at least once80%16 of 2058–92%79%477 of 60675–82%
3+ goalsat least 3 goals in the match, both teams (2-1 counts, 1-1 does not)70%14 of 2048–85%65%197 of 30359–70%
Both teams scoreboth teams scored (1-1 counts, 2-0 does not)60%12 of 2039–78%62%188 of 30356–67%
Concedesconceded at least once80%16 of 2058–92%79%477 of 60675–82%
Leads at half-timemore goals at the break (1-0 counts, 1-1 does not)35%7 of 2018–57%32%192 of 60628–35%

Under each percentage: the 95% confidence interval. The rings in the chart: 25, 50, 75 and 100%.

Form

The team's recent results this season: wins, draws, losses, points per match and goals over the last 5 and up to 10 matches, home and away. What happened, not what comes next.

Last 5 matches n = 5

WWDWL
10points
2.00per match
3-1-1W-D-L
11scored
5conceded

Last 6 matches n = 6

WWWDWL
13points
2.17per match
4-1-1W-D-L
15scored
6conceded

Home, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Away, last 5

Not enough data yet (3 of 5 matches needed).

Streaks n = 6

Current and longest streaks in the sample: consecutive matches unbeaten, scoring, keeping a clean sheet, or with both teams scoring. A long streak says nothing about the next match.

0unbeaten · currentlongest in the sample: 5
6scoring · currentlongest in the sample: 6
0clean sheets · currentlongest in the sample: 2
3both teams scored · currentlongest in the sample: 3

Goals: home and away n = 6

How the team's matches usually end this season, split into home and away: how often both teams scored, how often there were 3 or more goals (2-1 yes, 1-1 no), how often it kept a clean sheet and how often it failed to score. Under each percentage: out of how many matches, and the league average on the same matches (home = the league's home teams, away = the visitors).

matchesscored / matchconceded / matchboth scored3+ goalsclean sheetfailed to score
All matches62.50league 1.781.00league 1.7867%4 of 6 · league 57%83%5 of 6 · league 70%33%2 of 6 · league 25%0%0 of 6 · league 25%
Home33.67league 2.200.67league 1.3667%2 of 3 · league 57%100%3 of 3 · league 70%33%1 of 3 · league 34%0%0 of 3 · league 16%
Away31.33league 1.361.33league 2.2067%2 of 3 · league 57%67%2 of 3 · league 70%33%1 of 3 · league 16%0%0 of 3 · league 34%

Every team in the league: form, home, away, goals →

First half vs second half

Goals scored and conceded in the first half versus the second, from half-time scores. Shows in which part of the match the team has been more active or more exposed.

Not enough data yet (6 of 8 matches needed).

Goals by 15-minute interval · Late goals (after minute 75)

When the goals come: the match split into 15-minute slices, with goals scored and conceded in each. Stoppage time counts in the last slice.

Not available for this league (the free data source has no goal minutes).

Coaches

The team's coaches, with the dates they started and left according to Wikidata, and the league matches in our database played under each, with points per match. A match where the coach is not known (missing or conflicting data) counts for no one. The current coach is shown only when football-data.org names the same person.

We do not have this team's coach dates yet.

Last matches n = 6

The most recent matches played, with score and opponent, newest first.

18 Oct 2026AwayABayer 04 Leverkusen1–2
11 Oct 2026HomeHFC Schalke 042–1
19 Sep 2026AwayAEintracht Frankfurt2–2
12 Sep 2026HomeHBorussia Mönchengladbach5–0
5 Sep 2026AwayASC Paderborn 071–0
30 Aug 2026HomeHSV Werder Bremen4–1

Next matches n = 5

The team's next scheduled matches, with kick-off time. The Stats button opens both teams' form, the head-to-head record and the probability of the main events.

HomeHFC Bayern München
AwayAFC Augsburg
HomeH1. FC Union Berlin
AwayASV 07 Elversberg
HomeHRB Leipzig

kick-off (UTC)

The team's scorers · 2026-27 n = 6

The team's players who have scored in the league this season, from the official data source. Below: their goals next to the goals the team has scored in league matches; any difference is shown as it is (the source has no match events, so it does not say who scored the rest).

Playergoalsmatchespenaltiesassists
Yuito Suzuki45——
Igor Matanovic36—1
Maximilian Eggestein36——
Derry Scherhant26—3
Yannik Engelhardt26——
Keisuke Goto16——

The players in the list have 15 goals between them; the team has scored 15 in the league. “—” = the source gives no value.

All league top scorers →

Head-to-head n = 17

Opponents this team has met at least 3 times in our database; each link opens the full head-to-head page with every meeting.

Updated 25 Oct 2026